Cvr Energy Stock Performance
| CVI Stock | USD 22.20 2.34 9.54% |
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.49, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, CVR Energy's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding CVR Energy is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, CVR Energy has a negative expected return of -0.69%. Please make sure to confirm CVR Energy's potential upside, as well as the relationship between the daily balance of power and market facilitation index , to decide if CVR Energy performance from the past will be repeated at future time.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days CVR Energy has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in February 2026. The recent confusion may also be a sign of long-lasting up-swing for the firm traders. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (1.17) | Five Day Return 5.1 | Year To Date Return (2.58) | Ten Year Return (12.39) | All Time Return 53.09 |
Dividend Date 2024-08-19 | Ex Dividend Date 2024-08-12 |
1 | CVR Energy Profit Margin Jump Challenges Bearish Narratives on Financial Resilience | 10/31/2025 |
2 | How CVR Energy Inc. stock reacts to stronger dollar - 2025 Institutional Moves Growth Focused Investment Plans - newser.com | 11/19/2025 |
3 | Is CVR Energy Inc. stock attractive post correction - July 2025 Short Interest Fast Moving Stock Watchlists - Newser | 12/04/2025 |
4 | Disposition of 28948 shares by David Lamp of CVR Energy at 33.98 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/10/2025 |
5 | Acquisition by Michael Wright of 11281 shares of CVR Energy subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/12/2025 |
6 | February 2026 Options Now Available For CVR Energy - Nasdaq | 12/18/2025 |
7 | CVR Energy Stock In Shambles Down 24 percent With 15-Day Losing Streak - Trefis | 12/22/2025 |
8 | CVR Energy appoints Mark A. Pytosh CEO and expands board - Stock Titan | 12/29/2025 |
9 | CVR Energy Announces 75 Million Term Loan Principal Payment and Preliminary 2026 Capital Spending Plan | 01/05/2026 |
10 | A Look At CVR Energy Valuation After Debt Prepayment And New CEO Appointment | 01/07/2026 |
11 | Is CVR Energy Quietly Resetting Its Risk Profile With New CEO And Faster Deleveraging | 01/12/2026 |
12 | Insider Trading | 01/16/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 1.2 B | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -121 M |
CVR Energy Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 3,840 in CVR Energy on October 28, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (1,386) from holding CVR Energy or give up 36.09% of portfolio value over 90 days. CVR Energy is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 2.6147% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 23% of stocks are less volatile than CVR, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
CVR Energy Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of CVR Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 22.20 | 90 days | 22.20 | over 95.41 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CVR Energy to move above the current price in 90 days from now is over 95.41 (This CVR Energy probability density function shows the probability of CVR Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon CVR Energy has a beta of 0.49 suggesting as returns on the market go up, CVR Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding CVR Energy will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally CVR Energy has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. CVR Energy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for CVR Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CVR Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of CVR Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
CVR Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CVR Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CVR Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CVR Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CVR Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.54 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.49 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.48 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.2 |
CVR Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CVR Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CVR Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| CVR Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| CVR Energy has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 70.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Is CVR Energy Quietly Resetting Its Risk Profile With New CEO And Faster Deleveraging |
CVR Energy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CVR Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CVR Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CVR Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 100.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 987 M |
CVR Energy Fundamentals Growth
CVR Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of CVR Energy, and CVR Energy fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on CVR Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.26 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0478 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.02 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.27 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 3.65 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 100.53 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 10.92 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 2.94 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.34 X | ||||
| Revenue | 7.61 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 784 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 394 M | ||||
| Net Income | 45 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 987 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 8.88 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 1.94 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 1.54 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 1.25 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 8.36 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 404 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 1.65 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 2.47 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 4.26 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (804 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | 726 M | ||||
| Current Asset | 1.27 B | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 484.6 M | ||||
About CVR Energy Performance
By evaluating CVR Energy's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into CVR Energy's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if CVR Energy has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if CVR Energy has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 28.42 | 29.50 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.02 | 0.02 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.01 | 0.01 |
Things to note about CVR Energy performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about CVR Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for CVR Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| CVR Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| CVR Energy has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 70.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Is CVR Energy Quietly Resetting Its Risk Profile With New CEO And Faster Deleveraging |
- Analyzing CVR Energy's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether CVR Energy's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining CVR Energy's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating CVR Energy's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of CVR Energy's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of CVR Energy's stock. These opinions can provide insight into CVR Energy's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for CVR Stock analysis
When running CVR Energy's price analysis, check to measure CVR Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CVR Energy is operating at the current time. Most of CVR Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CVR Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CVR Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CVR Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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