Americafirst Defensive Growth Fund Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

DGQAX Fund  USD 8.54  0.03  0.35%   
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Americafirst Defensive Growth is 'Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Americafirst Defensive Growth given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Americafirst Defensive. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Americafirst Defensive Growth, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Americafirst Defensive Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual funds such as Americafirst and provide practical buy, sell, or hold recommendation based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Americafirst Defensive Growth. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute Americafirst Defensive Buy or Sell Advice

The Americafirst recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Americafirst Defensive Growth. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Americafirst Defensive Growth or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Americafirst Defensive's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Americafirst DefensiveBuy Americafirst Defensive
Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails
For the selected time horizon Americafirst Defensive Growth has a Mean Deviation of 0.3153, Semi Deviation of 0.4218, Standard Deviation of 0.4174, Variance of 0.1743, Downside Variance of 0.2432 and Semi Variance of 0.1779
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Americafirst Defensive. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the fund's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. Please makes use of Americafirst Defensive price to book, one year return, as well as the relationship between the One Year Return and equity positions weight to make buy, hold, or sell decision on Americafirst Defensive.

Americafirst Defensive Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Americafirst Defensive generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund generated five year return of -2.0%
Americafirst Defensive retains about 31.44% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Americafirst Defensive Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Americafirst Defensive's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Americafirst Defensive's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Americafirst Defensive daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Americafirst Defensive Growth price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Americafirst Defensive returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Americafirst Defensive.
Mean Return
0.0009
Value At Risk
-0.7
Potential Upside
0.59
Standard Deviation
0.42
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Americafirst Defensive historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Americafirst Defensive Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Americafirst Defensive or AmericaFirst Funds sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Americafirst Defensive's price will be affected by overall mutual fund market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Americafirst fund's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.22
σ
Overall volatility
0.42
Ir
Information ratio -0.3

Americafirst Defensive Volatility Alert

Americafirst Defensive Growth exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.24 and kurtosis of 0.31. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Americafirst Defensive's mutual fund risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Americafirst Defensive's mutual fund price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Americafirst Defensive Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Americafirst Defensive's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Americafirst Defensive's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Americafirst Defensive and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Americafirst Defensive or determine the mutual funds which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Americafirst Defensive's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Americafirst Defensive by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Americafirst Defensive to competition
FundamentalsAmericafirst DefensivePeer Average
Price To Earning21.26 X6.53 X
Price To Book1.71 X0.74 X
Price To Sales1.13 X0.61 X
Year To Date Return8.03 %0.39 %
One Year Return12.62 %4.15 %
Three Year Return0.72 %3.60 %
Five Year Return(2.33) %3.24 %
Net Asset1.13 M4.11 B
Cash Position Weight31.44 %10.61 %
Equity Positions Weight62.04 %63.90 %

Americafirst Defensive Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Americafirst . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Americafirst Defensive Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Americafirst Defensive Growth? Buying financial instruments such as Americafirst Mutual Fund isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Other Information on Investing in Americafirst Mutual Fund

Americafirst Defensive financial ratios help investors to determine whether Americafirst Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Americafirst with respect to the benefits of owning Americafirst Defensive security.
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