ENCORE CAP (Germany) Market Outlook

ECP Stock  EUR 46.20  1.00  2.12%   
Roughly 62% of ENCORE CAP's investor base is looking to short. The current sentiment regarding investing in ENCORE CAP GROUP stock implies that many traders are alarmed. The current market sentiment, together with ENCORE CAP's historical and current headlines, can help investors time the market. In addition, many technical investors use ENCORE CAP GROUP stock news signals to limit their universe of possible portfolio assets.

Comfort Level 38

 Alarmed

 
Panic
 
Confidence
Today, several news technology companies offer sentiment data to assist traders in manufacturing news sentiment indicators for investment decisions. We partner with these technology firms in helping retail investors build forecasting models that use ENCORE CAP's input sentiment indicators derived from textual data and news published on major financial information outlets and social sites. These indicators can be used to analyze time-dependent numerical information representing public perception toward ENCORE CAP GROUP.
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your way above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding ENCORE CAP GROUP is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides ENCORE CAP buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding ECP positions.

Execute ENCORE CAP Advice

The ENCORE recommendation should be used to complement the investment advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on ENCORE CAP GROUP. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in ENCORE CAP GROUP or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute ENCORE CAP's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell ENCORE CAPBuy ENCORE CAP
Strong Hold

Market Performance

FairDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon ENCORE CAP GROUP has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0984, Jensen Alpha of 0.2193, Total Risk Alpha of 0.0869, Sortino Ratio of 0.0834 and Treynor Ratio of 1.66
Our advice tool can be used to complement ENCORE CAP GROUP trade recommendation provided by experts. It analyzes the company's potential to grow against your specific risk preferences and investment horizon. To make sure ENCORE CAP GROUP is not overpriced, please confirm all ENCORE CAP GROUP fundamentals, including its shares owned by institutions, gross profit, and the relationship between the shares outstanding and price to sales .

ENCORE CAP Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

ENCORE CAP GROUP has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 1.32 B. Net Loss for the year was (139.24 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.56 B.
Over 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

ENCORE CAP Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of ENCORE CAP's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of ENCORE CAP's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of ENCORE CAP daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use ENCORE CAP GROUP price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of ENCORE CAP returns is essential to provide solid investment analysis for ENCORE CAP.
Mean Return
0.24
Value At Risk
-3.46
Potential Upside
3.49
Standard Deviation
1.89
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of ENCORE CAP historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

ENCORE CAP Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to ENCORE CAP or Metals & Mining sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that ENCORE CAP's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a ENCORE stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.22
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.14
σ
Overall volatility
1.89
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

ENCORE CAP Volatility Alert

ENCORE CAP GROUP currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.09 and Jensen Alpha of 0.22. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure ENCORE CAP's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact ENCORE CAP's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

ENCORE CAP Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing ENCORE CAP's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze ENCORE CAP's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between ENCORE CAP and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as ENCORE CAP or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of ENCORE CAP's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ENCORE CAP by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare ENCORE CAP to competition
FundamentalsENCORE CAPPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.0451-0.31
Return On Asset0.0534-0.14
Profit Margin(0.03) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.38 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation4.17 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding22.3 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders3.66 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions96.34 %39.21 %
Price To Book1.28 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.68 X11.42 X
Revenue1.32 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.56 B27.38 B
EBITDA469 M3.9 B
Net Income(139.24 M)570.98 M
Total Debt4.02 B5.32 B
Book Value Per Share35.34 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations156.17 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share(1.52) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.17 X4.89 X
Number Of Employees7.35 K18.84 K
Beta1.4-0.15
Market Capitalization1.06 B19.03 B
Total Asset4.79 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings909.93 M9.33 B
Working Capital12.32 M1.48 B
Net Asset4.79 B

ENCORE CAP Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as ENCORE . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About ENCORE CAP Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell ENCORE CAP GROUP? Buying financial instruments such as ENCORE Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having ENCORE CAP in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Materials ETFs
Materials ETFs Theme
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Materials ETFs theme has 59 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Materials ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Other Information on Investing in ENCORE Stock

ENCORE CAP financial ratios help investors to determine whether ENCORE Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ENCORE with respect to the benefits of owning ENCORE CAP security.