ENCORE CAP (Germany) Performance

ECP Stock  EUR 46.20  1.00  2.12%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, ENCORE CAP holds a performance score of 9. The firm owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.37, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, ENCORE CAP's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding ENCORE CAP is expected to be smaller as well. Please check ENCORE CAP's semi deviation, jensen alpha, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the coefficient of variation and sortino ratio , to make a quick decision on whether ENCORE CAP's current price history will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in ENCORE CAP GROUP are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly fragile basic indicators, ENCORE CAP reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
1
Can Encore Capital Group Inc. stock beat analyst upgrades - 2025 Bull vs Bear AI Forecasted Stock Moves - newser.com
11/18/2025
2
Insider Sell John Yung Sells Shares of Encore Capital Group Inc - GuruFocus
11/26/2025
3
Should Value Investors Buy Encore Capital Group Stock - Yahoo Finance
12/01/2025
4
Encore Capital Group stock hits 52-week high at 53.65 USD - Investing.com Nigeria
12/05/2025
5
Encore Capital Group Insider Sells 137,500.00 in Stock - MarketBeat
12/12/2025
6
Zacks Industry Outlook Highlights Enova International and Encore Capital Group - Yahoo Finance
01/06/2026
7
Encore Capital Group Announces Q4 2025 Financial Results Release Date and Conference Call Details - Quiver Quantitative
01/15/2026
8
Encore Capital Group Valuation After Renewed Analyst Confidence And Strengthening Share Price Momentum - Yahoo Finance
01/22/2026
  

ENCORE CAP Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  4,060  in ENCORE CAP GROUP on November 7, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  560.00  from holding ENCORE CAP GROUP or generate 13.79% return on investment over 90 days. ENCORE CAP GROUP is currently producing 0.2367% returns and takes up 1.8867% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 16% of traded stocks are less volatile than ENCORE, and 96% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon ENCORE CAP is expected to generate 2.5 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.5 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.13 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of risk.

ENCORE CAP Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of ENCORE Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 46.20 90 days 46.20 
about 28.87
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ENCORE CAP to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 28.87 (This ENCORE CAP GROUP probability density function shows the probability of ENCORE Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon ENCORE CAP has a beta of 0.37 suggesting as returns on the market go up, ENCORE CAP average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding ENCORE CAP GROUP will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally ENCORE CAP GROUP has an alpha of 0.3333, implying that it can generate a 0.33 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   ENCORE CAP Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ENCORE CAP

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ENCORE CAP GROUP. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
44.3146.2048.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
41.5851.8653.75
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
44.4546.3448.22
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
45.0246.9248.83
Details

ENCORE CAP Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ENCORE CAP is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ENCORE CAP's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ENCORE CAP GROUP, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ENCORE CAP within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.33
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.37
σ
Overall volatility
3.50
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

ENCORE CAP Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ENCORE CAP for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ENCORE CAP GROUP can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ENCORE CAP GROUP has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 1.32 B. Net Loss for the year was (139.24 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.56 B.
Over 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: Encore Capital Group Valuation After Renewed Analyst Confidence And Strengthening Share Price Momentum - Yahoo Finance

ENCORE CAP Fundamentals Growth

ENCORE Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of ENCORE CAP, and ENCORE CAP fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on ENCORE Stock performance.

About ENCORE CAP Performance

By analyzing ENCORE CAP's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into ENCORE CAP's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if ENCORE CAP has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if ENCORE CAP has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
ENCORE CAP is entity of Germany. It is traded as Stock on F exchange.

Things to note about ENCORE CAP GROUP performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about ENCORE CAP for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for ENCORE CAP GROUP help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ENCORE CAP GROUP has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 1.32 B. Net Loss for the year was (139.24 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.56 B.
Over 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: Encore Capital Group Valuation After Renewed Analyst Confidence And Strengthening Share Price Momentum - Yahoo Finance
Evaluating ENCORE CAP's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate ENCORE CAP's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing ENCORE CAP's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether ENCORE CAP's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining ENCORE CAP's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating ENCORE CAP's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of ENCORE CAP's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of ENCORE CAP's stock. These opinions can provide insight into ENCORE CAP's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating ENCORE CAP's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact ENCORE CAP's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running ENCORE CAP's price analysis, check to measure ENCORE CAP's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ENCORE CAP is operating at the current time. Most of ENCORE CAP's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ENCORE CAP's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ENCORE CAP's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ENCORE CAP to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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