Farmmi Inc Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| FAMI Stock | USD 0.29 0.03 11.54% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding Farmmi Inc is 'Strong Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Farmmi's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Farmmi Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Farmmi and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Farmmi Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.
Farmmi |
Execute Farmmi Buy or Sell Advice
The Farmmi recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Farmmi Inc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Farmmi Inc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Farmmi's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Modest | Details | |
Volatility | Out of control | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Hyperactively responds to market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Frail | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
Farmmi Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Farmmi Inc is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Farmmi Inc has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Farmmi Inc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Farmmi Inc currently holds about 54.89 M in cash with (75.75 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.3, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Farmmi Inc has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures |
Farmmi Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Farmmi's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Farmmi's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Farmmi daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Farmmi Inc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Farmmi returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Farmmi.
| Mean Return | 0.30 | Value At Risk | -11.11 | Potential Upside | 15.00 | Standard Deviation | 7.90 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Farmmi historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Farmmi Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Ubs Group Ag | 2024-06-30 | 58.7 K | Renaissance Technologies Corp | 2024-09-30 | 34 K | Xtx Topco Ltd | 2024-09-30 | 20.6 K | Federation Des Caisses Desjardins Du Quebec | 2024-06-30 | 3.5 K | Td Waterhouse Canada Inc | 2024-06-30 | 125 | Virtu Financial Llc | 2024-06-30 | 0.0 | Citadel Advisors Llc | 2024-06-30 | 0.0 |
Farmmi Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 900.7K | (42.2M) | 515.6K | (3.3M) | (2.9M) | (3.1M) | |
| Investments | (247.2K) | (2.8M) | (42.0M) | 35.9M | 41.3M | 43.3M | |
| Change In Cash | 1.4M | 520.8K | (18.1M) | (28.4M) | (25.5M) | (24.3M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 6.8M | 2.8M | (3.4M) | (365.1K) | (419.9K) | (398.9K) | |
| Free Cash Flow | (1.9M) | (946.3K) | 20.6M | (75.8M) | (68.2M) | (64.8M) | |
| Depreciation | 82.8K | 68.4K | 367.9K | 289.6K | 333.0K | 349.6K | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 2.2M | (4.4M) | (598.9K) | 785.2K | 706.7K | 742.0K | |
| Capital Expenditures | 247.2K | 4.7K | 2.9K | 314.0 | 361.1 | 343.04 | |
| Net Income | 813.5K | 2.4M | 2.2M | 2.5M | 2.9M | 2.1M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 2.2M | 522.9K | 41.2M | 12.8M | 14.7M | 8.0M | |
| Change To Netincome | 1.1M | 1.1M | 775.5K | 1.4M | 1.6M | 1.7M |
Farmmi Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Farmmi or Food Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Farmmi's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Farmmi stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 7.97 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Farmmi Volatility Alert
Farmmi Inc is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Farmmi Inc is a potential penny stock. Although Farmmi may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny stocks are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Farmmi Inc. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on Farmmi instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.Farmmi Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Farmmi's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Farmmi's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Farmmi and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Farmmi or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Farmmi's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Farmmi by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Farmmi to competition |
| Fundamentals | Farmmi | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0098 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0083 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.02 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.03 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 8.09 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 10.68 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.45 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 2.39 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 571.6 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 10.78 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.02 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.03 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 110.36 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 5.44 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 3.8 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 2.54 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 54.89 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 2.30 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 11.06 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.02 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 49.62 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 23.83 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (75.75 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 0.22 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 2.12 X | 3.12 X |
| Number Of Employees | 70 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.21 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 2.81 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 174.8 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 16.91 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 147.46 M | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 17.19 M | 9.34 B |
| Current Liabilities | 4.26 M | 7.9 B |
Farmmi Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Farmmi . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Farmmi Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Farmmi Inc? Buying financial instruments such as Farmmi Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Farmmi in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Entertainment Thematic Idea Now
Entertainment
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Entertainment theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Entertainment Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
| View All Next | Launch |
Check out Farmmi Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
Is Packaged Foods & Meats space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Farmmi. If investors know Farmmi will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Farmmi listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.85) | Earnings Share 2.12 | Revenue Per Share 16.275 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.40) | Return On Assets 0.0083 |
The market value of Farmmi Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Farmmi that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Farmmi's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Farmmi's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Farmmi's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Farmmi's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Farmmi's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Farmmi is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Farmmi's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.