Fat Brands Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

FAT Stock  USD 5.32  0.04  0.75%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding FAT Brands is 'Strong Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell FAT Brands given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards FAT Brands. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for FAT Brands, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out FAT Brands Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy FAT Stock please use our How to Invest in FAT Brands guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as FAT and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. FAT Brands. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute FAT Brands Buy or Sell Advice

The FAT recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on FAT Brands. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in FAT Brands or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute FAT Brands' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell FAT BrandsBuy FAT Brands
Strong Sell

Market Performance

InsignificantDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon FAT Brands has a Mean Deviation of 1.51, Semi Deviation of 2.03, Standard Deviation of 2.1, Variance of 4.41, Downside Variance of 4.62 and Semi Variance of 4.12
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on FAT Brands. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available today. To make sure FAT Brands is not overpriced, please confirm all FAT Brands fundamentals, including its revenue, cash flow from operations, current asset, as well as the relationship between the cash per share and beta . Given that FAT Brands has a price to earning of 16.21 X, we urge you to verify FAT Brands market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself for few more years given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

FAT Brands Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

FAT Brands has 1.38 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 7.2, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. FAT Brands has a current ratio of 0.4, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for FAT to invest in growth at high rates of return.
The entity reported the last year's revenue of 480.46 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (90.11 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 140.99 M.
FAT Brands has about 23.91 M in cash with (35.61 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.44.
FAT Brands has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 71.0% of FAT Brands shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: FAT Brands Float Percentage Of Total Shares Outst - GuruFocus.com

FAT Brands Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of FAT Brands' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of FAT Brands' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of FAT Brands daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use FAT Brands price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of FAT Brands returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for FAT Brands.
Mean Return
0.07
Value At Risk
-3.76
Potential Upside
3.66
Standard Deviation
2.10
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of FAT Brands historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

FAT Stock Institutional Investors

The FAT Brands' institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase FAT Brands' securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Cambridge Invest Research Advisors, Inc.2024-09-30
14.8 K
Edmonds Duncan Registered Investment Advisors, Llc2024-06-30
12.7 K
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
12.6 K
Royal Bank Of Canada2024-06-30
10.2 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-06-30
5.4 K
Wells Fargo & Co2024-06-30
2.5 K
Tower Research Capital Llc2024-06-30
1.9 K
Ubs Group Ag2024-06-30
1.3 K
Hartland & Co2024-06-30
500
Adw Capital Management, Llc2024-06-30
587.4 K
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
215.3 K
Note, although FAT Brands' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

FAT Brands Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory853K(4.8M)13.4M0.0(2.4M)(2.5M)
Change In Cash(628K)7.2M92.7M(31.2M)23.1M24.3M
Free Cash Flow3.0M(11.9M)(9.7M)(70.6M)(57.1M)(54.3M)
Other Non Cash Items1.5M10.6M13.2M50.9M6.7M10.8M
Dividends Paid2K318K13.3M16.6M16.3M17.2M
Capital Expenditures45K460K10.4M23.2M21.5M22.6M
Net Income(1.0M)(14.9M)(31.6M)(126.2M)(90.1M)(85.6M)
End Period Cash Flow25K7.2M99.9M68.8M91.9M96.5M
Net Borrowings6.3M49.2M803.9M50.3M57.9M55.0M
Depreciation785K1.2M8.6M27.0M31.1M32.7M
Change To Netincome4.1M5.7M32.3M78.8M90.6M95.1M
Investments(10.5M)(13.4M)212K1.8M(12.4M)(13.0M)

FAT Brands Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to FAT Brands or Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that FAT Brands' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a FAT stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.31
σ
Overall volatility
2.13
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

FAT Brands Volatility Alert

FAT Brands currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of -0.03 and Jensen Alpha of 0.02. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure FAT Brands' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact FAT Brands' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

FAT Brands Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing FAT Brands' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze FAT Brands' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between FAT Brands and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as FAT Brands or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of FAT Brands' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing FAT Brands by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare FAT Brands to competition
FundamentalsFAT BrandsPeer Average
Return On Equity-1.57-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0153-0.14
Profit Margin(0.25) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.06) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation1.52 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding15.84 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders70.58 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions8.13 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted78.94 K4.71 M
Price To Earning16.21 X28.72 X
Price To Book12.81 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.15 X11.42 X
Revenue480.46 M9.43 B
Gross Profit140.99 M27.38 B
EBITDA37.56 M3.9 B
Net Income(90.11 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents23.91 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.44 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.38 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity7.20 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.41 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share(24.98) X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(35.61 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio4.15 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(9.22) X3.12 X
Target Price15.0
Number Of Employees2.6 K18.84 K
Beta1.84-0.15
Market Capitalization90.09 M19.03 B
Total Asset1.39 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(268.78 M)9.33 B
Working Capital(155.59 M)1.48 B
Current Asset1.99 M9.34 B
Note: Acquisition by Fog Cutter Holdings, Llc of 1000 shares of FAT Brands at 9.53 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

FAT Brands Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as FAT . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About FAT Brands Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell FAT Brands? Buying financial instruments such as FAT Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having FAT Brands in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Real Estate Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for FAT Stock Analysis

When running FAT Brands' price analysis, check to measure FAT Brands' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FAT Brands is operating at the current time. Most of FAT Brands' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FAT Brands' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FAT Brands' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FAT Brands to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.