Comfort Systems Usa Stock Market Outlook
| FIX Stock | USD 1,338 37.93 2.92% |
Slightly above 67 percent of all Comfort Systems' investors are curious in acquiring. The current sentiment regarding investing in Comfort Systems USA stock implies that a large number of traders are confidant. Comfort Systems' investing sentiment can be driven by a variety of factors including economic data, Comfort Systems' earnings reports, geopolitical events, and overall market trends.
Comfort Level 67
Interested
Panic | Confidence |
Today, several news technology companies offer sentiment data to assist traders in manufacturing news sentiment indicators for investment decisions. We partner with these technology firms in helping retail investors build forecasting models that use Comfort Systems' input sentiment indicators derived from textual data and news published on major financial information outlets and social sites. These indicators can be used to analyze time-dependent numerical information representing public perception toward Comfort Systems USA.
News SentimentBullish | Hype SentimentBullish | Insider SentimentDisposing |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Comfort Systems USA is 'Strong Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Comfort Systems USA given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Comfort Systems USA, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Execute Comfort Systems Advice
The Comfort recommendation should be used to complement the investment advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Comfort Systems USA. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Comfort Systems USA or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Comfort Systems' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Solid | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Tiny | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
For the selected time horizon Comfort Systems USA has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.139, Jensen Alpha of 0.4455, Total Risk Alpha of 0.2821, Sortino Ratio of 0.1166 and Treynor Ratio of 0.3876Macroaxis provides advice on Comfort Systems USA to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Comfort Systems USA. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Comfort Systems is not overpriced, please confirm all Comfort Systems USA fundamentals, including its current ratio, total asset, and the relationship between the net income and price to earnings to growth . Given that Comfort Systems USA has a price to earning of 29.01 X, we suggest you to validate Comfort Systems USA market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.
Comfort Systems Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Comfort Systems USA appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Comfort Systems USA is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Comfort Systems USA has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Rhumbline Advisers Sells 1,732 Shares of Comfort Systems USA, Inc. FIX |
Comfort Systems Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Comfort Systems' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Comfort Systems' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Comfort Systems daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Comfort Systems USA price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Comfort Systems returns is essential to provide solid investment analysis for Comfort Systems.
| Mean Return | 0.54 | Value At Risk | -6.15 | Potential Upside | 5.70 | Standard Deviation | 3.30 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Comfort Systems historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Comfort Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Comfort Systems, soars without any apparent reason? This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Comfort Systems USA back and forth among themselves.
| Shares | Norges Bank | 2025-06-30 | 479.3 K | Baillie Gifford & Co Limited. | 2025-06-30 | 432.5 K | First Trust Advisors L.p. | 2025-06-30 | 395.4 K | Royal London Asset Management Ltd | 2025-06-30 | 342 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2025-06-30 | 335.9 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2025-06-30 | 332.1 K | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2025-06-30 | 325.6 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2025-06-30 | 302.2 K | Jacobs Levy Equity Management, Inc. | 2025-06-30 | 300.6 K | Blackrock Inc | 2025-06-30 | 3.9 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2025-06-30 | 3.8 M |
Comfort Systems Cash Flow Accounts
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (5.7M) | (13.5M) | (29.7M) | 6.5M | 5.9M | 6.2M | |
| Change In Cash | 3.9M | (1.6M) | 147.9M | 344.8M | 396.5M | 416.3M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 157.8M | 253.2M | 544.7M | 738.0M | 848.7M | 891.1M | |
| Depreciation | 68.9M | 81.3M | 81.6M | 145.5M | 167.3M | 175.7M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 7.3M | 28.2M | 52.9M | 123.7M | 142.3M | 149.4M | |
| Dividends Paid | 17.4M | 20.1M | (30.4M) | (42.8M) | (38.5M) | (36.6M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 22.3M | 48.4M | 94.8M | 111.1M | 127.7M | 134.1M | |
| Net Income | 143.3M | 245.9M | 323.4M | 522.4M | 600.8M | 630.8M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 58.8M | 57.2M | 205.2M | 549.9M | 632.4M | 664.1M | |
| Investments | (246.7M) | (2.5M) | (133.5M) | (343.5M) | (309.2M) | (293.7M) | |
| Change Receivables | (49.5M) | 38.5M | (58.0M) | (223.2M) | (200.9M) | (190.8M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 119.3M | (139.6M) | (227.0M) | (25.9M) | (23.3M) | (22.2M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 5.9M | (6.3M) | 6.7M | (78.1M) | (70.3M) | (66.7M) |
Comfort Systems Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Comfort Systems or Construction & Engineering sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Comfort Systems' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Comfort stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.45 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.36 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.26 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.14 |
Comfort Systems Volatility Alert
Comfort Systems USA shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Comfort Systems' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Comfort Systems' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Comfort Systems Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Comfort Systems' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Comfort Systems' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Comfort Systems and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Comfort Systems or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Comfort Systems' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Comfort Systems by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Comfort Systems to competition |
| Fundamentals | Comfort Systems | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.44 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.14 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.10 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.15 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 46.73 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 35.27 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 1.34 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 99.20 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 732.81 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 29.01 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 21.13 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 5.67 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 7.03 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 1.95 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 817.1 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 522.43 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 549.94 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 2.00 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 308.6 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.54 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.30 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 63.46 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 849.06 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 1.90 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 23.55 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 2.06 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 1247.2 | |
| Number Of Employees | 18.3 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.67 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 47.2 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 4.71 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 1.63 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 207.47 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 4500 shares by Franklin Myers of Comfort Systems at 683.5656 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Comfort Systems Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Comfort . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0577 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.4855 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.03 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1315.94 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1323.27 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 78.13 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 40.98 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 37.93 |
Comfort Systems Target Price Consensus
Comfort target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Comfort Systems' target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
| 7 | Strong Buy |
Most Comfort analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand Comfort stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of Comfort Systems USA, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice Exposure ValuationComfort Systems Target Price Projection
Comfort Systems' current and average target prices are 1,338 and 1,247, respectively. The current price of Comfort Systems is the price at which Comfort Systems USA is currently trading. On the other hand, Comfort Systems' target price is what analysts think the stock is worth. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.Current Price
Comfort Systems Market Quote on 17th of February 2026
Target Price
Analyst Consensus On Comfort Systems Target Price
Comfort Systems Analyst Ratings
Comfort Systems' analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Comfort Systems stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Comfort Systems' financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Comfort Systems' historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.Analyst Consensus Breakdown
Average Consensus Estimates
About Comfort Systems Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Comfort Systems USA? Buying financial instruments such as Comfort Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Additional Tools for Comfort Stock Analysis
When running Comfort Systems' price analysis, check to measure Comfort Systems' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Comfort Systems is operating at the current time. Most of Comfort Systems' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Comfort Systems' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Comfort Systems' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Comfort Systems to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.