Federal National Mortgage Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

FNMFM Stock  USD 15.25  1.25  8.93%   
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding Federal National Mortgage is 'Strong Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Federal National's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Federal National Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Federal and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Federal National Mortgage. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.

Execute Federal National Buy or Sell Advice

The Federal recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Federal National Mortgage. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Federal National Mortgage or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Federal National's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Federal NationalBuy Federal National
Strong Hold

Market Performance

SolidDetails

Volatility

Moderately volatileDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Hyperactively responds to market trendsDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Federal National Mortgage has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1694, Jensen Alpha of 1.13, Total Risk Alpha of 0.5003, Sortino Ratio of 0.2508 and Treynor Ratio of 0.2803
Our trade advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Federal National Mortgage and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Federal National is not overpriced, please confirm all Federal National Mortgage fundamentals, including its price to earning, total debt, total asset, as well as the relationship between the ebitda and earnings per share . Given that Federal National Mortgage has a price to earning of 360.00 X, we urge you to verify Federal National Mortgage market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Federal National Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Federal National is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Federal National appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues

Federal National Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Federal National's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Federal National's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Federal National daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Federal National Mortgage price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Federal National returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Federal National.
Mean Return
1.97
Value At Risk
-5.86
Potential Upside
8.93
Standard Deviation
9.37
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Federal National historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Federal National Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Federal National or Financial Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Federal National's price will be affected by overall pink sheet market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Federal pink sheet's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones6.97
σ
Overall volatility
9.59
Ir
Information ratio 0.20

Federal National Volatility Alert

Federal National Mortgage is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Federal National's pink sheet risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Federal National's pink sheet price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Federal National Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Federal National's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Federal National's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Federal National and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Federal National or determine the pink sheets which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Federal National's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Federal National by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Federal National to competition
FundamentalsFederal NationalPeer Average
Return On Equity0.33-0.31
Return On Asset0.0039-0.14
Current Valuation4.07 T16.62 B
Shares Outstanding5.74 B571.82 M
Shares Owned By Institutions0.25 %39.21 %
Price To Earning360.00 X28.72 X
Price To Sales0.09 X11.42 X
Revenue31.45 B9.43 B
Gross Profit24.45 B27.38 B
EBITDA98.04 B3.9 B
Net Income22.18 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents118.91 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share20.72 X5.01 X
Total Debt4.16 T5.32 B
Current Ratio242.68 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share(14.14) X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations47.21 B971.22 M
Earnings Per Share0.01 X3.12 X
Number Of Employees7.4 K18.84 K
Beta2.06-0.15
Market Capitalization2.54 B19.03 B
Total Asset4.23 T29.47 B
Net Asset4.23 T

Federal National Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Federal . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Federal National Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Federal National Mortgage? Buying financial instruments such as Federal Pink Sheet isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Other Information on Investing in Federal Pink Sheet

Federal National financial ratios help investors to determine whether Federal Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Federal with respect to the benefits of owning Federal National security.