Federal National Mortgage Stock Price Prediction
| FNMFM Stock | USD 15.25 1.25 8.93% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
89
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Federal National hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Federal National Mortgage from the perspective of Federal National response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Federal National to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Federal because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Federal National after-hype prediction price | USD 15.25 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Federal |
Federal National After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Federal National at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Federal National or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Federal National, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Federal National Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Federal National's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Federal National's historical news coverage. Federal National's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5.66 and 24.84, respectively. We have considered Federal National's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Federal National is moderately volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Federal National Mortgage is based on 3 months time horizon.
Federal National Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Federal National is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Federal National backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Federal National, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.96 | 9.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
15.25 | 15.25 | 0.00 |
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Federal National Hype Timeline
Federal National Mortgage is currently traded for 15.25. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Federal is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 1.96%. %. The volatility of related hype on Federal National is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 15.25. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 360.0. Federal National Mortgage last dividend was issued on the 11th of September 2008. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Federal National Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Federal National Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Federal National's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Federal National's future price movements. Getting to know how Federal National's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Federal National may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FMCKP | Federal Home Loan | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.16 | 0.18 | 10.81 | (3.59) | 74.43 | |
| FMCCO | Federal Home Loan | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.90 | 0.18 | 9.21 | (3.90) | 69.34 | |
| FMCKK | Federal Home Loan | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.37 | 0.18 | 5.55 | (4.46) | 77.57 | |
| FMCCL | Federal Home Loan | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.76 | 0.18 | 11.37 | (6.67) | 80.93 | |
| FNMFO | Federal National Mortgage | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.30 | 0.10 | 16.28 | (8.65) | 118.39 | |
| FMCCI | Federal Home Loan | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.98 | 0.19 | 8.30 | (8.81) | 73.48 | |
| FMCCM | Federal Home Loan | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.64 | 0.17 | 7.40 | (7.81) | 93.09 | |
| FMCCH | Federal Home Loan | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.80 | 0.16 | 7.72 | (5.54) | 90.19 |
Federal National Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Federal price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Federal using various technical indicators. When you analyze Federal charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Federal National Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Federal National stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Federal National Mortgage, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Federal National based on analysis of Federal National hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Federal National's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Federal National's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Federal National
The number of cover stories for Federal National depends on current market conditions and Federal National's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Federal National is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Federal National's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Federal National Short Properties
Federal National's future price predictability will typically decrease when Federal National's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Federal National Mortgage often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Federal National's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Federal National's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 769.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 43.3 B |
Other Information on Investing in Federal Pink Sheet
Federal National financial ratios help investors to determine whether Federal Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Federal with respect to the benefits of owning Federal National security.