Five Point Holdings Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| FPH Stock | USD 3.96 0.06 1.54% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Five Point Holdings is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Five Point's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Five Point Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Five and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Five Point Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.
Five |
Execute Five Point Buy or Sell Advice
The Five recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Five Point Holdings. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Five Point Holdings or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Five Point's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Good | Details | |
Volatility | Slightly risky | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Small | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost neglects market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Sell | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
Five Point Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Five Point Holdings is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Five Point Holdings has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 15.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Five Point Sees Unusually-High Trading Volume Heres What Happened |
Five Point Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Five Point's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Five Point's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Five Point daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Five Point Holdings price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Five Point returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Five Point.
| Mean Return | 0.44 | Value At Risk | -3.3 | Potential Upside | 5.22 | Standard Deviation | 2.79 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Five Point historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Five Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Wellington Management Company Llp | 2024-06-30 | 953.6 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-06-30 | 810.3 K | Neuberger Berman Group Llc | 2024-06-30 | 775.4 K | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2024-09-30 | 749.8 K | Renaissance Technologies Corp | 2024-09-30 | 491.1 K | Sixth Street Partners Management Company, L.p. | 2024-06-30 | 414.7 K | Readystate Asset Management Lp | 2024-06-30 | 354.4 K | Raymond James & Associates | 2024-09-30 | 290.1 K | Wells Fargo & Co | 2024-06-30 | 286 K | Luxor Capital Group, Lp | 2024-06-30 | 10.2 M | Private Management Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 5 M |
Five Point Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (192.0M) | (99.2M) | (104.1M) | (140.4M) | 27.5M | 28.9M | |
| Investments | 2.0M | 53.4M | 74.4M | 64.1M | 91.6M | 96.2M | |
| Change In Cash | (148.5M) | (49.1M) | (32.7M) | (134.0M) | 222.0M | 233.1M | |
| Net Borrowings | 56.8M | (13.5M) | (20.1M) | (6.5M) | (5.9M) | (5.6M) | |
| Depreciation | 20.6M | 14.1M | 26.0M | 16.9M | 19.9M | 12.8M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 1.7M | 2.1M | 154K | 75K | 23K | 21.9K | |
| Net Income | 22.3M | 1.1M | 13.3M | (34.8M) | 55.6M | 58.4M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 348.6M | 299.5M | 266.8M | 132.8M | 354.8M | 337.8M | |
| Change To Netincome | (51.1M) | 49.1M | 2.1M | (16.4M) | (18.9M) | (19.8M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | (233.7M) | (80.6M) | (81.6M) | (188.4M) | 154.1M | 161.8M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (67.2M) | 36.6M | (7.2M) | (21.2M) | (18.4M) | (17.5M) | |
| Change Receivables | (19.4M) | (10.0M) | (383K) | 2.4M | 2.2M | 2.3M |
Five Point Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Five Point or Residential REITs sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Five Point's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Five stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.47 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.47 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.83 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
Five Point Volatility Alert
Five Point Holdings has relatively low volatility with skewness of 1.68 and kurtosis of 5.26. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Five Point's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Five Point's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Five Point Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Five Point's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Five Point's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Five Point and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Five Point or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Five Point's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Five Point by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Five Point to competition |
| Fundamentals | Five Point | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0575 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.01 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.26 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.02) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 580.67 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 69.36 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 15.04 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 54.70 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 110.1 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 68.44 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.39 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 2.94 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 211.73 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 15.2 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 46.1 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 55.65 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 131.77 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 1.85 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 692.54 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.37 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 64.62 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 10.12 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 76 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 0.41 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.70 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 12.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 90 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.48 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 579.6 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 2.97 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 88.78 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 2.38 B | 1.48 B |
| Net Asset | 2.97 B |
Note: Disposition of 11644 shares by William Browning of Five Point at 3.84 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Five Point Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Five . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Five Point Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Five Point Holdings? Buying financial instruments such as Five Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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In addition to having Five Point in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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An experimental equal-weighted index theme of selected equities generated based on Macroaxis rating and scoring system. The Macroaxis Index theme has 52 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Macroaxis Index Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Five Point Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.
Is Multi-Family Residential REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Five Point. If investors know Five will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Five Point listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.29) | Earnings Share 0.7 | Revenue Per Share 2.847 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.74) | Return On Assets 0.01 |
The market value of Five Point Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Five that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Five Point's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Five Point's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Five Point's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Five Point's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Five Point's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Five Point is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Five Point's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.