Five Point Holdings Stock Price Prediction
| FPH Stock | USD 3.89 0.07 1.77% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
42
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.29) | Wall Street Target Price 12 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.74) |
Using Five Point hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Five Point Holdings from the perspective of Five Point response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Five Point to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Five because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Five Point after-hype prediction price | USD 3.89 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Five |
Five Point After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Five Point at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Five Point or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Five Point, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Five Point Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Five Point's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Five Point's historical news coverage. Five Point's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.07 and 6.71, respectively. We have considered Five Point's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Five Point is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Five Point Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Five Point Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Five Point is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Five Point backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Five Point, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.37 | 2.82 | 0.00 | 0.15 | 8 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
3.89 | 3.89 | 0.00 |
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Five Point Hype Timeline
On the 25th of November Five Point Holdings is traded for 3.89. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.15. Five is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.37%. %. The volatility of related hype on Five Point is about 694.58%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.04. About 15.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.38. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Five Point Holdings had not issued any dividends in recent years. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Five Point Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Five Point Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Five Point's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Five Point's future price movements. Getting to know how Five Point's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Five Point may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LSEA | Landsea Homes Corp | (0.26) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 6.12 | (4.24) | 18.86 | |
| AXR | AMREP | 1.96 | 9 per month | 1.76 | 0.17 | 8.28 | (3.91) | 23.30 | |
| ARL | American Realty Investors | (0.12) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 4.97 | (5.49) | 16.57 | |
| FOR | Forestar Group | 0.49 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 3.51 | (3.60) | 8.47 | |
| GGE | GGE Old | (0.04) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 4.65 | (6.08) | 13.38 |
Five Point Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Five price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Five using various technical indicators. When you analyze Five charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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About Five Point Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Five Point stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Five Point Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Five Point based on analysis of Five Point hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Five Point's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Five Point's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 128.64 | 682.77 | 119.06 | 197.57 | PTB Ratio | 0.69 | 0.54 | 0.33 | 0.31 |
Story Coverage note for Five Point
The number of cover stories for Five Point depends on current market conditions and Five Point's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Five Point is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Five Point's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Five Point Short Properties
Five Point's future price predictability will typically decrease when Five Point's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Five Point Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Five Point's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Five Point's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 145.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 353.8 M |
Complementary Tools for Five Stock analysis
When running Five Point's price analysis, check to measure Five Point's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Five Point is operating at the current time. Most of Five Point's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Five Point's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Five Point's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Five Point to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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