Greenfirst Forest Products Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| GFP Stock | 5.61 0.03 0.54% |
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your slightly conservative level of risk, our recommendation regarding GreenFirst Forest Products is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of GreenFirst Forest's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out GreenFirst Forest Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as GreenFirst and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards GreenFirst Forest Products. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
GreenFirst |
Execute GreenFirst Forest Buy or Sell Advice
The GreenFirst recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on GreenFirst Forest Products. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in GreenFirst Forest Products or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute GreenFirst Forest's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Good | Details | |
Volatility | Unstable | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost mirrors the market | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
GreenFirst Forest Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| GreenFirst Forest is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| GreenFirst Forest appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the revenue of 409.62 M. Net Loss for the year was (48.8 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 88.92 M. | |
| GreenFirst Forest generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 32.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: GreenFirst Forest Products Inc. Reports Earnings Results for the First Quarter Ended March 30, 2024 - Marketscreener.com |
GreenFirst Forest Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of GreenFirst Forest's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of GreenFirst Forest's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of GreenFirst Forest daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use GreenFirst Forest Products price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of GreenFirst Forest returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for GreenFirst Forest.
| Mean Return | 1.05 | Value At Risk | -6.41 | Potential Upside | 11.22 | Standard Deviation | 5.79 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of GreenFirst Forest historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
GreenFirst Forest Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 11.1M | (7.6M) | 30.9M | (10.8M) | (22.9M) | (21.8M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | (1.3M) | (13.1M) | (2.2M) | 24.3M | (82.2M) | (78.1M) | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (993.7K) | (297.4K) | 2.5M | 41.3M | (21.4M) | (20.4M) | |
| Net Income | 47.4K | (2.2M) | (9.6M) | (910K) | (48.8M) | (46.4M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 12.9M | 5.3M | 36.2M | 25.4M | 2.4M | 2.3M |
GreenFirst Forest Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to GreenFirst Forest or Paper & Forest Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that GreenFirst Forest's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a GreenFirst stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.24 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.71 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.85 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.16 |
GreenFirst Forest Volatility Alert
GreenFirst Forest Products shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure GreenFirst Forest's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact GreenFirst Forest's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.GreenFirst Forest Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing GreenFirst Forest's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze GreenFirst Forest's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between GreenFirst Forest and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as GreenFirst Forest or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of GreenFirst Forest's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing GreenFirst Forest by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare GreenFirst Forest to competition |
| Fundamentals | GreenFirst Forest | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.27 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0924 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.12) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.17) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 142.69 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 18.2 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 32.01 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 44.77 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 10.89 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Book | 0.62 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.26 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 409.62 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 88.92 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (30.89 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (48.8 M) | 570.98 M |
| Total Debt | 25.63 M | 5.32 B |
| Book Value Per Share | 10.43 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (58.03 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 1.51 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.88) X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 2.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 1.1 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.15 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 102.09 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 296.29 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (82.65 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 53.44 M | 1.48 B |
| Net Asset | 296.29 M |
GreenFirst Forest Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as GreenFirst . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About GreenFirst Forest Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell GreenFirst Forest Products? Buying financial instruments such as GreenFirst Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Other Information on Investing in GreenFirst Stock
GreenFirst Forest financial ratios help investors to determine whether GreenFirst Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in GreenFirst with respect to the benefits of owning GreenFirst Forest security.