Gms Inc Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| GMS Stock | USD 99.09 0.79 0.80% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your conservative risk appetite, our recommendation regarding GMS Inc is 'Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell GMS Inc given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards GMS. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for GMS Inc, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out GMS Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as GMS and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. GMS Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.
GMS |
Execute GMS Buy or Sell Advice
The GMS recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on GMS Inc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in GMS Inc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute GMS's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Sell
Market Performance | Insignificant | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Small | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
GMS Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| GMS Inc is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: An Intrinsic Calculation For GMS Inc. Suggests Its 27 percent Undervalued |
GMS Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of GMS's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of GMS's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of GMS daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use GMS Inc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of GMS returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for GMS.
| Mean Return | 0.13 | Value At Risk | -3.29 | Potential Upside | 3.02 | Standard Deviation | 1.93 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of GMS historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
GMS Stock Institutional Investors
The GMS's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase GMS's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
| Shares | Coliseum Capital Management Llc | 2024-09-30 | 803.9 K | Capital World Investors | 2024-09-30 | 793.7 K | Westwood Holdings Group Inc | 2024-06-30 | 739.9 K | Lsv Asset Management | 2024-09-30 | 652.3 K | Capital Research & Mgmt Co - Division 3 | 2024-09-30 | 611.8 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 594.1 K | Reinhart Mahoney Capital Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 529.4 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-09-30 | 509.2 K | Amvescap Plc. | 2024-06-30 | 417.6 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 6.7 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 5.3 M |
GMS Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (4.6M) | (46.7M) | (156.3M) | (16.8M) | 17.1M | 17.9M | |
| Change In Cash | 163.6M | (43.9M) | (65.1M) | 62.8M | 1.4M | 1.3M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 277.9M | 123.4M | 138.5M | 389.1M | 376.0M | 394.8M | |
| Depreciation | 116.5M | 108.1M | 119.2M | 126.9M | 133.4M | 93.0M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 71.5M | 8.1M | 7.5M | 13.3M | 12.7M | 12.1M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 25.2M | 29.9M | 41.1M | 52.7M | 57.2M | 60.1M | |
| Net Income | 23.4M | 105.6M | 273.4M | 333.0M | 276.1M | 289.9M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 210.9M | 167.0M | 101.9M | 164.7M | 166.1M | 92.6M | |
| Investments | (47.1M) | (63.6M) | (387.2M) | (111.5M) | (430.8M) | (409.2M) | |
| Net Borrowings | (68.0M) | (135.0M) | 206.2M | (109.4M) | (98.5M) | (93.5M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 77.2M | 3.1M | 21.8M | 34.2M | 30.8M | 29.4M | |
| Change Receivables | 41.4M | (101.6M) | (162.1M) | (37.0M) | (33.3M) | (35.0M) | |
| Dividends Paid | 12.5M | 2.1M | 2.3M | 550.8M | 633.5M | 665.1M |
GMS Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to GMS or Trading Companies & Distributors sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that GMS's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a GMS stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0015 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.47 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.92 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
GMS Volatility Alert
GMS Inc currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.02 and Jensen Alpha of 0.0. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure GMS's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact GMS's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.GMS Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing GMS's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze GMS's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between GMS and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as GMS or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of GMS's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing GMS by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare GMS to competition |
| Fundamentals | GMS | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.17 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0714 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.04 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.07 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 5.48 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 39.29 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.67 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 99.33 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 1.16 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 69.15 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 2.63 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.70 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 5.5 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 1.49 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 577.84 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 276.08 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 164.75 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 2.56 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 1.53 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 1.23 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 2.30 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 37.43 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 433.25 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 4.19 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 6.08 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.73 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 93.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 7.62 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.68 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 3.86 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 3.76 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 1.16 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 882.27 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by Randolph Melville of 1350 shares of GMS subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
GMS Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as GMS . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About GMS Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell GMS Inc? Buying financial instruments such as GMS Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having GMS in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Cancer Fighters
Biotech and medical diagnostic companies that work on researching drugs or manufacturing of medical and therapeutics equipment that is directly related to the research, treatment, and detection of cancer or cancer related diseases. The Cancer Fighters theme has 59 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Cancer Fighters Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for GMS Stock Analysis
When running GMS's price analysis, check to measure GMS's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy GMS is operating at the current time. Most of GMS's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of GMS's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move GMS's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of GMS to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.