Grocery Outlet Holding Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| GO Stock | USD 17.06 0.34 1.95% |
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding Grocery Outlet Holding is 'Buy'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Grocery Outlet's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Grocery Outlet Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Grocery and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Grocery Outlet Holding. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.
Grocery |
Execute Grocery Outlet Buy or Sell Advice
The Grocery recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Grocery Outlet Holding. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Grocery Outlet Holding or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Grocery Outlet's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Buy
Market Performance | Insignificant | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Hyperactively responds to market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Grocery Outlet Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Grocery Outlet had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from prnewswire.com: GO Airport Shuttle Launches Service for Tulum Airport |
Grocery Outlet Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Grocery Outlet's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Grocery Outlet's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Grocery Outlet daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Grocery Outlet Holding price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Grocery Outlet returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Grocery Outlet.
| Mean Return | 0.16 | Value At Risk | -4.86 | Potential Upside | 5.45 | Standard Deviation | 3.84 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Grocery Outlet historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Grocery Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Grocery Outlet, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Grocery Outlet Holding back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Solel Partners Lp | 2024-09-30 | 2.4 M | Jackson Square Partners, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 2.4 M | Millennium Management Llc | 2024-09-30 | 1.6 M | Marshall Wace Asset Management Ltd | 2024-09-30 | 1.6 M | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 1.6 M | Geneva Capital Management | 2024-09-30 | 1.6 M | Wcm Investment Management | 2024-09-30 | 1.3 M | Point72 Asset Management, L.p. | 2024-09-30 | 1.2 M | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 1.2 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 12.1 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 10.3 M |
Grocery Outlet Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (21.1M) | (25.7M) | (30.3M) | (58.8M) | (15.7M) | (16.5M) | |
| Investments | (108.0M) | (133.8M) | (136.7M) | (149.9M) | (181.7M) | (190.8M) | |
| Change In Cash | 7.0M | 77.2M | 34.8M | (37.4M) | 12.3M | 15.0M | |
| Net Borrowings | (415.7M) | (1.9M) | (1.2M) | (76.3M) | (68.6M) | (65.2M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 32.6M | 50.5M | 32.4M | 38.4M | 111.5M | 117.0M | |
| Depreciation | 50.1M | 58.1M | 71.1M | 78.3M | 88.0M | 65.0M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 12.7M | 4.6M | 6.7M | 16.0M | 15.8M | 11.6M | |
| Dividends Paid | 3.6M | 434K | 186K | 105K | 15K | 14.3K | |
| Capital Expenditures | 100.3M | 130.8M | 133.2M | 147.1M | 192.0M | 124.9M | |
| Net Income | 15.4M | 106.7M | 62.3M | 65.1M | 79.4M | 51.6M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 28.1M | 105.3M | 140.1M | 102.7M | 115.0M | 72.2M | |
| Change To Netincome | 42.5M | 20.5M | 38.7M | 48.4M | 55.7M | 33.5M |
Grocery Outlet Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Grocery Outlet or Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Grocery Outlet's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Grocery stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.47 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.89 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Grocery Outlet Volatility Alert
Grocery Outlet Holding shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Grocery Outlet's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Grocery Outlet's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Grocery Outlet Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Grocery Outlet's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Grocery Outlet's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Grocery Outlet and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Grocery Outlet or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Grocery Outlet's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Grocery Outlet by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Grocery Outlet to competition |
| Fundamentals | Grocery Outlet | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0422 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0194 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.01 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.04 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 3.2 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 97.14 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 4.01 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 10.00 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 9.21 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 54.12 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.38 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.40 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 3.97 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 1.09 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 216.04 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 79.44 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 107.28 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 1.10 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 1.39 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 1.30 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.63 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 12.43 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 303.45 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 3.33 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.51 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 2.48 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 17.21 | |
| Number Of Employees | 901 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.13 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 1.69 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 2.97 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 341.96 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 132.59 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 10389 shares by Robert Sheedy of Grocery Outlet at 3.81 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Grocery Outlet Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Grocery . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 50475.49 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.67) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 17.24 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 17.18 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.36) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.34) |
About Grocery Outlet Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Grocery Outlet Holding? Buying financial instruments such as Grocery Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
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Check out Grocery Outlet Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.
Is Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Grocery Outlet. If investors know Grocery will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Grocery Outlet listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.11) | Earnings Share 0.51 | Revenue Per Share 42.988 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.104 | Return On Assets 0.0194 |
The market value of Grocery Outlet Holding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Grocery that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Grocery Outlet's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Grocery Outlet's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Grocery Outlet's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Grocery Outlet's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Grocery Outlet's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Grocery Outlet is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Grocery Outlet's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.