Grocery Outlet Earnings Estimate

GO Stock  USD 10.32  0.28  2.79%   
The next projected EPS of Grocery Outlet is estimated to be 0.206225 with future projections ranging from a low of 0.1825 to a high of 0.245. Grocery Outlet's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at -0.04. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Grocery Outlet Holding is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
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Grocery Outlet is projected to generate 0.206225 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2026. Grocery Outlet earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Grocery Outlet Holding EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Grocery Outlet's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Grocery Outlet, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Grocery Outlet Revenue Breakdown by Earning Segment

By analyzing Grocery Outlet's earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across Grocery Outlet's analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current estimates against different timeframes. As of the 19th of February 2026, Gross Profit is likely to drop to about 1 B. In addition to that, Pretax Profit Margin is likely to drop to 0.01Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Grocery Outlet Holding. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.

Grocery Outlet Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of Grocery Outlet's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Grocery Outlet is estimated to be 0.206225 with the future projection ranging from a low of 0.1825 to a high of 0.245. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Grocery Outlet Holding is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
0.0
0.18
Lowest
Expected EPS
0.206225
0.24
Highest

Grocery Outlet Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of Grocery Outlet's value are higher than the current market price of the Grocery Outlet stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Grocery Outlet is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Grocery Outlet's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of December 2026Current EPS (TTM)
1470.02%
0.0
0.206225
-0.04

Grocery Outlet Earnings History

Earnings estimate consensus by Grocery Outlet Holding analysts from Wall Street is used by the market to judge Grocery Outlet's stock performance. Investors also use these earnings estimates to evaluate and project the stock performance into the future in order to make their investment decisions. However, we suggest analyzing not only Grocery Outlet's upcoming profit reports and earnings-per-share forecasts but also comparing them to our different valuation methods.

Grocery Outlet Quarterly Gross Profit

355.14 Million

At this time, Grocery Outlet's Retained Earnings are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 19th of February 2026, Retained Earnings Total Equity is likely to grow to about 317 M, while Earnings Yield is likely to drop 0.01. As of the 19th of February 2026, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 98.1 M. In addition to that, Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to drop to about 46.5 M.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.0410.3212.60
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.9212.2014.48
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.1910.4612.74
Details
14 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
12.7013.9615.50
Details
Note that many institutional investors and large investment bankers can move markets due to the volume of Grocery assets they manage. They also follow analysts to some degree and often drive overall investor sentiments towards Grocery Outlet. With so many stockholders watching consensus numbers, the difference between actual and projected earnings is one of the most critical factors driving Grocery Outlet's stock price in the short term.

Grocery Outlet Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

Actual Earning per Share of Grocery Outlet refers to what the company shows during its earnings calls or quarterly reports. The Expected EPS is what analysts covering Grocery Outlet Holding predict the company's earnings will be in the future. The higher the earnings per share of Grocery Outlet, the better is its profitability. While calculating the Earning per Share, we use the weighted ratio, as the number of shares outstanding can change over time.

Grocery Outlet Estimated Months Earnings per Share

For an investor who is primarily interested in generating an income out of investing in entities such as Grocery Outlet, the EPS ratio can tell if the company is intending to increase its current dividend. Although EPS is an essential tool for investors, it should not be used in isolation. EPS of Grocery Outlet should always be considered in relation to other companies to make a more educated investment decision.

Grocery Quarterly Analyst Estimates and Surprise Metrics

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Grocery Outlet's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
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nullnullnullnull
null
nullnullnullnull
2025-11-04
2025-09-300.190.210.0210 
2025-08-06
2025-06-300.170.05-0.1270 
2025-05-05
2025-03-310.07110.130.058982 
2025-02-25
2024-12-310.16720.15-0.017210 
2024-11-05
2024-09-300.270.280.01
2024-08-06
2024-06-300.20.250.0525 
2024-05-07
2024-03-310.180.09-0.0950 
2024-02-27
2023-12-310.160.180.0212 
2023-11-07
2023-09-300.270.310.0414 
2023-08-08
2023-06-300.260.320.0623 
2023-05-09
2023-03-310.230.270.0417 
2023-02-28
2022-12-310.230.250.02
2022-11-08
2022-09-300.260.270.01
2022-08-09
2022-06-300.240.290.0520 
2022-05-10
2022-03-310.20.220.0210 
2022-03-01
2021-12-310.20.20.0
2021-11-09
2021-09-300.220.240.02
2021-08-10
2021-06-300.240.23-0.01
2021-05-11
2021-03-310.220.230.01
2021-03-02
2020-12-310.230.240.01
2020-11-10
2020-09-300.230.50.27117 
2020-08-10
2020-06-300.230.420.1982 
2020-05-11
2020-03-310.290.360.0724 
2020-03-24
2019-12-310.180.210.0316 
2019-11-11
2019-09-300.190.220.0315 
2019-08-13
2019-06-300.130.20.0753 
2019-06-20
2019-03-3100.190.19

About Grocery Outlet Earnings Estimate

The earnings estimate module is a useful tool to check what professional financial analysts are assuming about the future of Grocery Outlet earnings. We show available consensus EPS estimates for the upcoming years and quarters. Investors can also examine how these consensus opinions have evolved historically. We show current Grocery Outlet estimates, future projections, as well as estimates 1, 2, and three years ago. Investors can search for a specific entity to conduct investment planning and build diversified portfolios. Please note, earnings estimates provided by Macroaxis are the average expectations of expert analysts that we track. If a given stock such as Grocery Outlet fails to match professional earnings estimates, it usually performs purely. Wall Street refers to that as a 'negative surprise.' If a company 'beats' future estimates, it's usually called an 'upside surprise.'
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Retained Earnings438.6 M460.6 M
Retained Earnings Total Equity301.9 M317 M
Earnings Yield 0.03  0.01 
Price Earnings Ratio 38.53  36.60 
Price Earnings To Growth Ratio 1.55  1.63 

Pair Trading with Grocery Outlet

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Grocery Outlet position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Grocery Outlet will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Grocery Stock

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to Grocery Outlet could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Grocery Outlet when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Grocery Outlet - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Grocery Outlet Holding to buy it.
The correlation of Grocery Outlet is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Grocery Outlet moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Grocery Outlet Holding moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Grocery Outlet can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Grocery Outlet Holding. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.
Will Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail sector continue expanding? Could Grocery diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Grocery Outlet. Market participants price Grocery higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Grocery Outlet data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.51)
Earnings Share
(0.04)
Revenue Per Share
46.745
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.054
Return On Assets
0.019
Investors evaluate Grocery Outlet Holding using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Grocery Outlet's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Grocery Outlet's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Grocery Outlet's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Grocery Outlet is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Grocery Outlet's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.