Golden Ocean Group Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

GOGL Stock  USD 11.14  0.05  0.45%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Golden Ocean Group is 'Cautious Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Golden Ocean's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Golden Ocean Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Golden and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Golden Ocean Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.

Execute Golden Ocean Buy or Sell Advice

The Golden recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Golden Ocean Group. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Golden Ocean Group or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Golden Ocean's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Golden OceanBuy Golden Ocean
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Golden Ocean Group has a Mean Deviation of 1.7, Standard Deviation of 2.28 and Variance of 5.21
Our advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Golden Ocean and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Golden Ocean Group is not overpriced, please check out all Golden Ocean fundamentals, including its cash and equivalents, earnings per share, and the relationship between the revenue and current ratio . Given that Golden Ocean Group has a price to earning of 2.55 X, we strongly advise you to confirm Golden Ocean Group market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your regular risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Golden Ocean Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Golden Ocean Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Golden Ocean Group has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 40.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Golden Ocean Group Given Hold Rating at Pareto Securities

Golden Ocean Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Golden Ocean's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Golden Ocean's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Golden Ocean daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Golden Ocean Group price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Golden Ocean returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Golden Ocean.
Mean Return
-0.06
Value At Risk
-4.16
Potential Upside
3.81
Standard Deviation
2.28
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Golden Ocean historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Golden Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Voloridge Investment Management, Llc2024-09-30
1.4 M
Hosking Partners Llp2024-09-30
1.3 M
Hsbc Holdings Plc2024-06-30
1.2 M
Empowered Funds, Llc2024-06-30
882.5 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
863.1 K
Barclays Plc2024-06-30
722.8 K
Acadian Asset Management Llc2024-06-30
697.7 K
Jacobs Levy Equity Management, Inc.2024-09-30
694.3 K
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-06-30
661.8 K
Folketrygdfondet2024-09-30
7.5 M
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
6.5 M
Note, although Golden Ocean's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Golden Ocean Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash(209.4M)11.9M34.9M(71.9M)(19.4M)(18.5M)
Free Cash Flow114.3M115.4M115.4M442.4M(211.2M)(200.6M)
Depreciation93.8M111.3M123.7M129.8M135.5M142.3M
Other Non Cash Items29.0M16.2M(3.6M)(101.5M)291.7M306.3M
Dividends Paid46.6M7.2M320.7M471.7M100.0M77.4M
Capital Expenditures44.1M25.3M445.0M61.0M477.5M501.4M
Net Income37.2M(137.7M)527.2M461.8M112.3M117.9M
End Period Cash Flow163.2M175.1M210.0M138.1M118.6M95.9M
Change To Inventory(81K)3.1M(18.2M)(2.1M)3.5M3.7M
Investments(73.1M)(19.2M)(390.0M)72.8M(402.0M)(381.9M)
Net Borrowings(237.0M)(99.6M)(163.2M)(171.3M)(154.1M)(146.4M)
Change To Netincome(11.9M)112.9M(55.0M)(114.8M)(103.4M)(98.2M)

Golden Ocean Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Golden Ocean or Marine Transportation sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Golden Ocean's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Golden stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.66
σ
Overall volatility
2.30
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Golden Ocean Volatility Alert

Golden Ocean Group exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.2 and kurtosis of 0.95. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Golden Ocean's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Golden Ocean's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Golden Ocean Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Golden Ocean's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Golden Ocean's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Golden Ocean and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Golden Ocean or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Golden Ocean's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Golden Ocean by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Golden Ocean to competition
FundamentalsGolden OceanPeer Average
Return On Equity0.11-0.31
Return On Asset0.0541-0.14
Profit Margin0.22 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.34 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation3.55 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding200.03 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders39.54 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions38.93 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted4.36 M4.71 M
Price To Earning2.55 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.15 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.29 X11.42 X
Revenue885.77 M9.43 B
Gross Profit551.12 M27.38 B
EBITDA326.75 M3.9 B
Net Income112.27 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents163.98 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.82 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.47 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.69 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.54 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share9.65 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations266.34 M971.22 M
Short Ratio3.43 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share1.07 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth131.35 X4.89 X
Target Price15.01
Number Of Employees3818.84 K
Beta1.23-0.15
Market Capitalization2.23 B19.03 B
Total Asset3.49 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings339.98 M9.33 B
Working Capital52.73 M1.48 B

Golden Ocean Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Golden . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Golden Ocean Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Golden Ocean Group? Buying financial instruments such as Golden Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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In addition to having Golden Ocean in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Developed Markets Basket ETFs Theme
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When determining whether Golden Ocean Group is a strong investment it is important to analyze Golden Ocean's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Golden Ocean's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Golden Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Golden Ocean Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.
Is Marine Transportation space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Golden Ocean. If investors know Golden will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Golden Ocean listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.822
Dividend Share
1
Earnings Share
1.07
Revenue Per Share
4.871
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.172
The market value of Golden Ocean Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Golden that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Golden Ocean's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Golden Ocean's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Golden Ocean's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Golden Ocean's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Golden Ocean's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Golden Ocean is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Golden Ocean's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.