Granite Point Mortgage Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

GPMT Stock  USD 2.79  0.02  0.71%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Granite Point Mortgage is 'Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Granite Point Mortgage given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Granite Point Mortgage, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Granite Point Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Granite and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Granite Point Mortgage. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.

Execute Granite Point Buy or Sell Advice

The Granite recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Granite Point Mortgage. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Granite Point Mortgage or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Granite Point's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

2  Years

Risk Tolerance

I am an educated risk taker
Execute Advice
Sell Granite PointBuy Granite Point
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15
Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Moderately volatileDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Above AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Granite Point Mortgage has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.08), Jensen Alpha of (0.24), Total Risk Alpha of (0.05) and Treynor Ratio of (0.35)
We provide advice to complement the regular expert consensus on Granite Point. Our dynamic recommendation engine utilizes a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Granite Point Mortgage is not overpriced, please check out all Granite Point fundamentals, including its debt to equity, working capital, and the relationship between the gross profit and target price . Please also validate Granite Point Mortgage price to book to confirm your buy or sell decision is consistent with all fundamental data available and that the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle.

Granite Point Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Granite Point generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Granite Point has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 185.55 M. Net Loss for the year was (207.05 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (170.88 M).
Granite Point has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
On 15th of January 2025 Granite Point paid $ 0.05 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Short Interest in Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc. Rises By 21.7 percent - MarketBeat

Granite Point Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Granite Point's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Granite Point's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Granite Point daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Granite Point Mortgage price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Granite Point returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Granite Point.
Mean Return
-0.29
Value At Risk
-3.82
Potential Upside
3.91
Standard Deviation
2.63
   Return Density   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15-10.63-7.94-5.25-2.69-0.132.444.897.4610.0312.6VARUpside 0.010.020.030.040.05
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15GOOGLE
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Granite Point historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Granite Stock Institutional Investors

The Granite Point's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Granite Point's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Northern Trust Corp2024-12-31
526.5 K
Balyasny Asset Management Llc2024-12-31
498.4 K
Wolverine Asset Management Llc2024-12-31
493.8 K
D. E. Shaw & Co Lp2024-12-31
434 K
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2024-12-31
391.4 K
Amvescap Plc.2024-12-31
303.9 K
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-12-31
248.4 K
Jane Street Group Llc2024-12-31
243.3 K
Camelot Funds, Llc2024-12-31
231.6 K
Blackrock Inc2024-12-31
5.1 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-12-31
2.8 M
Note, although Granite Point's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Granite Point Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change In Cash169.4M(124.9M)(64.1M)59.1M(84.7M)(80.5M)
Net Borrowings(182.7M)52.3M713.9M(874.1M)(786.7M)(747.4M)
Free Cash Flow20.3M60.3M58.9M52.1M8.8M9.2M
Depreciation6.4M16.6M12.4M3.5M5.4M4.9M
Other Non Cash Items61.1M(19.7M)78.2M104.8M206.1M216.4M
Dividends Paid34.2M66.8M65.9M57.3M14.4M13.7M
Net Income(40.4M)68.4M(40.8M)(63.2M)(207.1M)(196.7M)
End Period Cash Flow329.2M204.3M140.2M199.2M114.5M164.3M
Change To Netincome4.8M22.2M7.6M8.7M10.0M10.5M
Investments341.6M143.9M409.3M625.3M435.2M457.0M
Change Receivables(1.1M)(1.1M)1.7M(2.7M)(3.1M)(3.3M)

Granite Point Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Granite Point or Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Granite Point's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Granite stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.24
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.86
σ
Overall volatility
2.66
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Granite Point Volatility Alert

Granite Point Mortgage exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.36 and kurtosis of 0.98. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Granite Point's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Granite Point's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Granite Point Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Granite Point's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Granite Point's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Granite Point and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Granite Point or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Granite Point's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Granite Point by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Granite Point to competition
FundamentalsGranite PointPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.28-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0835-0.14
Operating Margin1.31 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation1.52 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding48.85 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders3.18 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions53.50 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted1.04 M4.71 M
Price To Earning37.88 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.22 X9.51 X
Price To Sales8.76 X11.42 X
Revenue185.55 M9.43 B
Gross Profit(170.88 M)27.38 B
EBITDA121.89 M3.9 B
Net Income(207.05 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents150.19 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share2.87 X5.01 X
Total Debt875.09 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity2.88 %48.70 %
Current Ratio66.98 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share12.68 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations8.76 M971.22 M
Short Ratio3.09 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(4.39) X3.12 X
Target Price3.42
Number Of Employees3318.84 K
Beta1.93-0.15
Market Capitalization137.27 M19.03 B
Total Asset2.12 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(577.3 M)9.33 B
Working Capital(1.07 B)1.48 B
Current Asset111.04 M9.34 B
Current Liabilities1.18 B7.9 B
Note: Disposition of 22489 shares by Michael Karber of Granite Point subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Granite Point Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Granite . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Granite Point Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Granite Point Mortgage? Buying financial instruments such as Granite Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Additional Tools for Granite Stock Analysis

When running Granite Point's price analysis, check to measure Granite Point's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Granite Point is operating at the current time. Most of Granite Point's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Granite Point's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Granite Point's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Granite Point to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.