Granite Point Mortgage Stock Performance

GPMT Stock  USD 1.47  -0.08  -5.16%   
Granite Point's price-return history is consolidated with risk-adjusted measures like Sharpe and alpha. The stock's expected return over 3 months is -0.41%, complemented by a 12.9% dividend yield.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
0High
0 · Weak
For the recent 90-day horizon, Granite Point Mortgage failed to convert its risk exposure into positive performance. This measure separates raw price movement from actual return efficiency on a risk-adjusted basis. Return data for Granite Point shows sustained downside pressure, with holders absorbing volatility without proportional compensation. Learn More
 Forward Dividend Yield
12.9%
 Payout Ratio
588.2%
 Forward Dividend Rate
0.2
 Dividend Date
2026-04-15
 Ex Dividend Date
2026-04-01

Performance Related Modules

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 209.00 in Granite Point Mortgage on February 7, 2026 and sold it today, you would have lost $ 54.00 , a decline of 25.84% over 90 days. Granite Point Mortgage does not currently generate positive expected returns and carries 3.56% risk (volatility on return distribution) over a 90-day horizon. In relative terms, Granite Point exhibits above-average volatility, exceeding roughly 69% of comparable stocks, and GPMT has trailed 99% of traded instruments in return over the 90-day horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This benchmark view frames the instrument through return capture and volatility trade-offs. It keeps the emphasis on benchmark context, not just standalone performance. Given a 90-day horizon, GPMT has been underperforming the market. Compounding this underperformance, GPMT is 3.86 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It converts risk into return at a rate of about -0.11%. Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.01% per unit of volatility.

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

Price behavior in Granite Point Stock may occasionally drift away from historical averages, particularly during periods of elevated market sentiment or uncertainty. However, deviations from historical norms do not necessarily imply that prices will quickly reverse.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
1.47 90 days 1.47
about 70.73 %
A normal distribution analysis suggests that the odds of Granite Point moving above the current price in 90 days from now are about 70.73 %. Recent return data has shown a distribution that skews above the current level over this window. (The chart shows where the base-case price path for Granite Point Stock has been concentrating over 90 days). Wider tails indicate a broader spread of plausible outcomes for Granite Point Stock.
Given a 90-day horizon, Granite Point has a beta of 0.13. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Granite Point's average returns tend to increase less than the benchmark. However, during a bear market, the loss from holding Granite Point Mortgage tends to be smaller as well. Additionally, Granite Point Mortgage has a negative alpha, implying that risk has not been adequately compensated by returns. GPMT is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Granite Point Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Granite Point

The stock market offers a wide variety of forecasting techniques applicable to instruments like Granite Point Mortgage. While no single technique guarantees accuracy, combining multiple methods often improves prediction reliability.
Mean reversion in Granite Point's price occurs when temporary dislocations correct back toward its historical intrinsic value estimate. This tendency of Granite Point's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion.
Sentiment
Range
LowSentimentHigh
0.071.455.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowIntrinsicHigh
0.071.505.06
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.294.86
Details
Analyst
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
1.501.651.83
Details
Peer benchmarking frames Granite Point's operating metrics and market pricing against comparable companies. Placing Granite Point's results in peer context distinguishes company-specific performance from industry-wide trends.

Primary Risk Indicators

The stock market has gone through extended turbulence over the past two decades, and Granite Point has not been immune. Sharp price drops and substantial rallies have shaped Granite Point's value during this period.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.3988
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.13
σ
Overall volatility
0.22
Ir
Information ratio -0.1122

Investor Alerts and Insights

Setting up alerts on Granite Point ensures that material changes in technical or fundamental conditions are not missed. Notifications for Granite Point Mortgage surface changes in technical patterns and fundamental metrics that could influence decisions.
Granite Point generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Granite Point may become a speculative penny stock
Granite Point has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Granite Point has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
GPMT reported previous year's revenue of $145.28 million. Net Loss for the year was -$41.15 million with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of $6.96 million.
Granite Point has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
On 15th of April 2026 Granite Point paid $ 0.05 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from fool.com: Granite Point Q 1 2026 Earnings Transcript

Price Density Drivers

The price behavior of Granite Point is influenced by tension between bullish and bearish positioning among market participants. The future price of Granite Point Stock depends on both market expectations and ongoing dynamics among participants.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding47.87 million
Cash And Short Term Investments65.96 million

Granite Point Fundamentals Growth

Granite Point's fundamentals serve as the primary lens through which investors evaluate Granite Point Stock. Key drivers such as revenue growth, earnings trends, and margin expansion directly influence Granite Point Stock valuation.

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

Benchmark comparison for Granite Point clarifies whether returns reflect stock-specific outcomes or market-wide trends. Benchmark-relative positioning reveals whether results stem from exposure choice or market direction. Granite Point shows ROE of -6.37%, ROA of -2.23%.

Granite Point Mortgage analytics rely on periodic company reporting and market reference feeds, with quality checks and normalization applied. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

Editorial review and methodology oversight provided by: Rifka Kats, Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board