Geopark Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| GPRK Stock | USD 10.45 0.31 2.88% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding GeoPark is 'Strong Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of GeoPark's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out GeoPark Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more information on how to buy GeoPark Stock please use our How to buy in GeoPark Stock guide. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as GeoPark and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. GeoPark. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
GeoPark |
Execute GeoPark Buy or Sell Advice
The GeoPark recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on GeoPark. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in GeoPark or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute GeoPark's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | OK | Details | |
Volatility | Somewhat reliable | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Slowly supersedes the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
GeoPark Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| GeoPark had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| GeoPark is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| GeoPark currently holds 533.28 M in liabilities. GeoPark has a current ratio of 0.94, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about GeoPark's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| GeoPark has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 27.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: GeoPark Ltd Shares Gap Down to 11.0376 on Jan 16 |
GeoPark Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of GeoPark's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of GeoPark's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of GeoPark daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use GeoPark price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of GeoPark returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for GeoPark.
| Mean Return | 0.44 | Value At Risk | -4.11 | Potential Upside | 7.32 | Standard Deviation | 3.48 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of GeoPark historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
GeoPark Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-09-30 | 350.3 K | Mackenzie Investments | 2024-09-30 | 340.5 K | Compass Group Llc | 2024-09-30 | 305.5 K | Trexquant Investment Lp | 2024-09-30 | 285.5 K | Bank Of America Corp | 2024-09-30 | 271 K | U.s. Bancorp | 2024-09-30 | 254.8 K | Corecommodity Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 245 K | Vr Advisory Services Ltd | 2024-09-30 | 234.7 K | Jpmorgan Chase & Co | 2024-09-30 | 218.8 K | Renaissance Technologies Corp | 2024-09-30 | 3 M | Captrust Financial Advisors | 2024-09-30 | 1.7 M |
GeoPark Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 1.2M | 1.2M | (6.7M) | (1.3M) | (1.2M) | (1.1M) | |
| Change In Cash | 90.7M | (101.3M) | 28.2M | 4.2M | 3.8M | 5.6M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 93.4M | 87.5M | 298.7M | 101.9M | 117.2M | 123.0M | |
| Depreciation | 118.1M | 89.0M | 96.7M | 120.9M | 139.1M | 75.7M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 232.5M | 2.1M | 4.9M | 64.8M | 74.6M | 47.6M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 75.3M | 129.3M | 168.8M | 199.0M | 228.9M | 116.0M | |
| Net Income | (233.0M) | 61.1M | 224.4M | 111.1M | 127.7M | 134.1M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 201.9M | 100.6M | 128.8M | 133.0M | 153.0M | 96.8M | |
| Net Borrowings | (14.6M) | 337.0M | (110.3M) | (180.4M) | (162.3M) | (154.2M) | |
| Dividends Paid | 4.9M | 7.2M | 24.3M | 29.7M | 26.7M | 31.9M | |
| Change To Netincome | 87.8M | 154.2M | 59.1M | 158.0M | 181.7M | 190.7M | |
| Investments | (347.6M) | (126.6M) | (153.7M) | (186.0M) | (167.4M) | (175.8M) |
GeoPark Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to GeoPark or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that GeoPark's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a GeoPark stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.43 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.22 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.55 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
GeoPark Volatility Alert
GeoPark currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.12 and Jensen Alpha of 0.43. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure GeoPark's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact GeoPark's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.GeoPark Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing GeoPark's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze GeoPark's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between GeoPark and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as GeoPark or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of GeoPark's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing GeoPark by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare GeoPark to competition |
| Fundamentals | GeoPark | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.61 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.17 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.15 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.33 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 985.13 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 51.19 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 26.70 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 45.73 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 1.01 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 7.72 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 3.01 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.77 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 756.62 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 540.45 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 381.26 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 111.07 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 122.52 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 2.06 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 533.28 M | 5.32 B |
| Current Ratio | 0.96 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 3.79 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 273.44 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 1.24 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 1.97 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 16.58 | |
| Number Of Employees | 470 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.31 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 550.84 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 1.02 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 29.53 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 39.18 M | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 109 M | 9.34 B |
| Current Liabilities | 74 M | 7.9 B |
GeoPark Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as GeoPark . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 112172.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.26) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.97 | |||
| Day Median Price | 10.6 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 10.55 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.30) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.31) |
About GeoPark Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell GeoPark? Buying financial instruments such as GeoPark Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out GeoPark Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more information on how to buy GeoPark Stock please use our How to buy in GeoPark Stock guide.You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
Is Oil & Gas Exploration & Production space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of GeoPark. If investors know GeoPark will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about GeoPark listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.091 | Dividend Share 0.577 | Earnings Share 1.97 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.17) |
The market value of GeoPark is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of GeoPark that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of GeoPark's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is GeoPark's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because GeoPark's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect GeoPark's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between GeoPark's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if GeoPark is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, GeoPark's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.