Geopark Stock Performance

GPRK Stock  USD 8.06  0.05  0.62%   
GeoPark has a performance score of 4 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.2, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning GeoPark are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, GeoPark is likely to outperform the market. GeoPark right now retains a risk of 2.52%. Please check out GeoPark expected short fall, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and rate of daily change , to decide if GeoPark will be following its current trending patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Soft

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in GeoPark are ranked lower than 4 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite uncertain basic indicators, GeoPark may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(4.36)
Five Day Return
(4.48)
Year To Date Return
11.25
Ten Year Return
159.94
All Time Return
(7.00)
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0142
Payout Ratio
1.3083
Last Split Factor
251:250
Forward Dividend Rate
0.12
Dividend Date
2025-12-04
1
Geopark Ltd GPRK Shares Purchased by Empirical Finance LLC - MarketBeat
11/21/2025
 
GeoPark dividend paid on 4th of December 2025
12/04/2025
2
Parex Resources halts acquisition talks with GeoPark over valuation gap
12/09/2025
3
GeoPark Tumbles as Acquisition Talks Come to a Halt
12/12/2025
4
Can GeoPark Limited stock sustain institutional interest - July 2025 Patterns High Accuracy Swing Trade Signals -
12/18/2025
5
Aug Selloffs How GeoPark Limited stock performs in rising dollar environment - July 2025 Action Fast Entry Momentum Trade Alerts - moha.gov.vn
12/23/2025
6
Geopark Ltd Short Interest Up 20.6 percent in December
01/20/2026
7
GeoPark stock energy minnow with a punchy chart and a cautious Wall Street gaze - AD HOC NEWS
01/26/2026
8
GeoPark Announces Acquisition of Frontera Energys Colombian EP Assets to Create Leading Independent EP Platform Across Colombia and Argentina
01/30/2026
9
Are Investors Undervaluing Geopark Right Now
02/02/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow133 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-226.9 M

GeoPark Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  770.00  in GeoPark on November 5, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  54.00  from holding GeoPark or generate 7.01% return on investment over 90 days. GeoPark is currently generating 0.1424% in daily expected returns and assumes 2.5219% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 22% of stocks are less volatile than GeoPark, and 98% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days GeoPark is expected to generate 3.32 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 3.32 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.06 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.1 per unit of risk.

GeoPark Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of GeoPark Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 8.06 90 days 8.06 
about 22.04
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GeoPark to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 22.04 (This GeoPark probability density function shows the probability of GeoPark Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days GeoPark has a beta of -0.2. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding GeoPark are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, GeoPark is likely to outperform the market. Additionally GeoPark has an alpha of 0.3378, implying that it can generate a 0.34 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   GeoPark Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for GeoPark

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GeoPark. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.728.2410.76
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.509.0211.54
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.688.2010.72
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
10.3011.3212.56
Details

GeoPark Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. GeoPark is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the GeoPark's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold GeoPark, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of GeoPark within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.34
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.2
σ
Overall volatility
0.48
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

GeoPark Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of GeoPark for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for GeoPark can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
GeoPark is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
GeoPark currently holds 540.26 M in liabilities. GeoPark has a current ratio of 0.94, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about GeoPark's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
GeoPark has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 43.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Are Investors Undervaluing Geopark Right Now

GeoPark Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of GeoPark Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential GeoPark's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GeoPark's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding53.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments296.8 M

GeoPark Fundamentals Growth

GeoPark Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of GeoPark, and GeoPark fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on GeoPark Stock performance.

About GeoPark Performance

By examining GeoPark's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into GeoPark's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that GeoPark is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 15.10  24.81 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.07  0.08 
Return On Capital Employed 0.30  0.31 
Return On Assets 0.07  0.08 
Return On Equity 0.43  0.45 

Things to note about GeoPark performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about GeoPark for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for GeoPark help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
GeoPark is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
GeoPark currently holds 540.26 M in liabilities. GeoPark has a current ratio of 0.94, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about GeoPark's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
GeoPark has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 43.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Are Investors Undervaluing Geopark Right Now
Evaluating GeoPark's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate GeoPark's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing GeoPark's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether GeoPark's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining GeoPark's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating GeoPark's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of GeoPark's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of GeoPark's stock. These opinions can provide insight into GeoPark's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating GeoPark's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact GeoPark's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether GeoPark is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if GeoPark Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Geopark Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Geopark Stock:
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in GeoPark. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in poverty.
For more information on how to buy GeoPark Stock please use our How to buy in GeoPark Stock guide.
You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Is Oil & Gas Exploration & Production space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of GeoPark. Market participants price GeoPark higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive GeoPark assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.38)
Dividend Share
0.471
Earnings Share
0.66
Revenue Per Share
10.214
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.22)
Understanding GeoPark requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects GeoPark's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what GeoPark's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push GeoPark's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between GeoPark's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if GeoPark is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, GeoPark's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.