Hillgrove Resources (Australia) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

HGO Stock   0.05  0  1.82%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Hillgrove Resources is 'Strong Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Hillgrove Resources given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Hillgrove Resources, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Hillgrove Resources Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Hillgrove and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Hillgrove Resources. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Hillgrove Resources Buy or Sell Advice

The Hillgrove recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Hillgrove Resources. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Hillgrove Resources or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Hillgrove Resources' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Hillgrove ResourcesBuy Hillgrove Resources
Strong Sell

Market Performance

WeakDetails

Volatility

Out of controlDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Above AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Hillgrove Resources has a Mean Deviation of 2.37, Semi Deviation of 2.46, Standard Deviation of 3.26, Variance of 10.62, Downside Variance of 10.05 and Semi Variance of 6.05
We provide advice to complement the regular expert consensus on Hillgrove Resources. Our dynamic recommendation engine utilizes a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Hillgrove Resources is not overpriced, please check out all Hillgrove Resources fundamentals, including its shares owned by insiders, price to book, revenue, as well as the relationship between the shares owned by institutions and price to sales .

Hillgrove Resources Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Hillgrove Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Hillgrove Resources had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Hillgrove Resources has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 40.25 M. Net Loss for the year was (16.33 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (4.54 M).
Hillgrove Resources generates negative cash flow from operations
About 30.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Hillgrove Resources Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Hillgrove Resources' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Hillgrove Resources' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Hillgrove Resources daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Hillgrove Resources price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Hillgrove Resources returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Hillgrove Resources.
Mean Return
0.08
Value At Risk
-4.08
Potential Upside
5.60
Standard Deviation
3.26
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Hillgrove Resources historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Hillgrove Resources Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash6.9M(3.7M)5.1M(5.4M)4.9M5.2M
Free Cash Flow(5.5M)(6.0M)(14.3M)(13.6M)(31.3M)(29.7M)
Other Non Cash Items(4.6M)13.9M1.5M3.1M625K656.3K
Capital Expenditures5.5M3.0M9.4M7.9M22.5M14.9M
Net Income(10.0M)(7.5M)(5.9M)(6.0M)(16.3M)(15.5M)
End Period Cash Flow9.3M5.6M10.7M5.3M10.2M14.5M
Depreciation14.7M1.8M2K165K991K941.5K
Change To Inventory(23.9K)(12.5K)176.0(61.0)1.8K1.7K
Investments(5.4M)(2.8M)(9.4M)(5.6M)(22.5M)(21.3M)
Net Borrowings(8.3M)(655K)(206K)5.9M6.7M7.1M
Change To Netincome3.5M684K1.1M1.9M1.7M1.7M

Hillgrove Resources Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Hillgrove Resources or Metals & Mining sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Hillgrove Resources' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Hillgrove stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.51
σ
Overall volatility
3.28
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Hillgrove Resources Volatility Alert

Hillgrove Resources shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Hillgrove Resources is a penny stock. Although Hillgrove Resources may be in fact a good investment, many penny stocks are subject to artificial price hype. Make sure you completely understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Hillgrove Resources. We encourage investors to look for signals such as message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, email spams, sudden volume upswings, and other similar hype indicators. We also encourage traders to check biographies and work history of company officers before investing in instruments with high volatility. You can indeed make money on Hillgrove instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.

Hillgrove Resources Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Hillgrove Resources' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Hillgrove Resources' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Hillgrove Resources and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Hillgrove Resources or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Hillgrove Resources' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hillgrove Resources by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Hillgrove Resources to competition
FundamentalsHillgrove ResourcesPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.27-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0903-0.14
Profit Margin(0.43) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.07) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation123.64 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding2.1 B571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders30.07 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions11.00 %39.21 %
Price To Book1.88 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.81 X11.42 X
Revenue40.25 M9.43 B
Gross Profit(4.54 M)27.38 B
EBITDA(12.68 M)3.9 B
Net Income(16.33 M)570.98 M
Total Debt11.82 M5.32 B
Book Value Per Share0.03 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(8.78 M)971.22 M
Earnings Per Share(0.01) X3.12 X
Target Price0.1
Beta1.36-0.15
Market Capitalization113.16 M19.03 B
Total Asset101.06 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(269.24 M)9.33 B
Working Capital(8.85 M)1.48 B
Net Asset101.06 M

Hillgrove Resources Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Hillgrove . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Hillgrove Resources Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Hillgrove Resources? Buying financial instruments such as Hillgrove Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Hillgrove Resources in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Recreation
Recreation Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Recreation theme has 34 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Recreation Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Hillgrove Stock Analysis

When running Hillgrove Resources' price analysis, check to measure Hillgrove Resources' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hillgrove Resources is operating at the current time. Most of Hillgrove Resources' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hillgrove Resources' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hillgrove Resources' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hillgrove Resources to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.