American Hotel Income Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

HOT-UN Stock  CAD 0.50  0.01  1.96%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding American Hotel Income is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides American Hotel buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding HOT-UN positions.
  
Check out American Hotel Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as American and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards American Hotel Income. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.

Execute American Hotel Buy or Sell Advice

The American recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on American Hotel Income. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in American Hotel Income or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute American Hotel's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell American HotelBuy American Hotel
Strong Sell

Market Performance

WeakDetails

Volatility

Abnormally volatileDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very HighDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves indifferently to market movesDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon American Hotel Income has a Mean Deviation of 2.66, Semi Deviation of 2.9, Standard Deviation of 3.83, Variance of 14.68, Downside Variance of 14.59 and Semi Variance of 8.4
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on American Hotel Income. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure American Hotel is not overpriced, please confirm all American Hotel Income fundamentals, including its shares owned by insiders, net income, short ratio, as well as the relationship between the price to sales and debt to equity .

American Hotel Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

American Hotel has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
American Hotel had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
American Hotel has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
American Hotel has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company reported the revenue of 280.52 M. Net Loss for the year was (73.92 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 89.15 M.

American Hotel Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of American Hotel's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of American Hotel's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of American Hotel daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use American Hotel Income price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of American Hotel returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for American Hotel.
Mean Return
0.19
Value At Risk
-5.63
Potential Upside
6.52
Standard Deviation
3.83
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of American Hotel historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

American Hotel Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash1.2M2.3M(5.4M)(1.8M)4.9M5.1M
Free Cash Flow23.1M(5.4M)11.7M16.7M5.6M5.3M
Other Non Cash Items5.8M20.7M1.8M36.8M80.1M84.1M
Capital Expenditures29.5M8.9M6.2M28.3M25.3M17.9M
Net Income2.2M(65.8M)(11.8M)(35.1M)(73.9M)(70.2M)
End Period Cash Flow17.8M20.1M14.7M12.9M17.8M16.6M
Net Borrowings130.6M16.1M(26.3M)(45.7M)(41.1M)(39.1M)
Depreciation38.0M43.4M43.1M38.0M34.9M34.5M
Dividends Paid50.7M12.7M3.0M11.8M11.8M18.3M
Change To Netincome11.7M14.7M5.5M38.4M44.2M46.4M
Investments(35.5M)(2.0M)(18.6M)15.3M2.6M2.8M

American Hotel Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to American Hotel or Diversified REITs sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that American Hotel's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a American stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.19
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.04
σ
Overall volatility
3.79
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

American Hotel Volatility Alert

American Hotel Income shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. American Hotel Income is a potential penny stock. Although American Hotel may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny stocks are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in American Hotel Income. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on American instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.

American Hotel Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing American Hotel's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze American Hotel's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between American Hotel and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as American Hotel or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of American Hotel's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing American Hotel by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare American Hotel to competition
FundamentalsAmerican HotelPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.34-0.31
Return On Asset0.021-0.14
Profit Margin(0.35) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.15 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation816.73 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding79.23 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders3.61 %10.09 %
Number Of Shares Shorted31.14 K4.71 M
Price To Earning84.88 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.16 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.15 X11.42 X
Revenue280.52 M9.43 B
Gross Profit89.15 M27.38 B
EBITDA77.44 M3.9 B
Net Income(73.92 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents12.34 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.16 X5.01 X
Total Debt645.66 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity162.40 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.02 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share2.23 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations30.85 M971.22 M
Short Ratio0.50 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(1.62) X3.12 X
Target Price0.52
Beta2.22-0.15
Market Capitalization40.41 M19.03 B
Total Asset954.89 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(436.55 M)9.33 B
Working Capital(83.95 M)1.48 B
Five Year Return9.32 %
Net Asset954.89 M
Last Dividend Paid0.045

American Hotel Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as American . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About American Hotel Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell American Hotel Income? Buying financial instruments such as American Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Retail
Retail Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Retail theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Retail Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Other Information on Investing in American Stock

American Hotel financial ratios help investors to determine whether American Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in American with respect to the benefits of owning American Hotel security.