Hercules Capital Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| HTGC Stock | USD 18.70 0.14 0.75% |
About 51% of Hercules Capital's investor base is interested to short. The analysis of overall sentiment of trading Hercules Capital stock suggests that many investors are impartial at this time. The current market sentiment, together with Hercules Capital's historical and current headlines, can help investors time the market. In addition, many technical investors use Hercules Capital stock news signals to limit their universe of possible portfolio assets.
Comfort Level 49
Impartial
Panic | Confidence |
Today, several news technology companies offer sentiment data to assist traders in manufacturing news sentiment indicators for investment decisions. We partner with these technology firms in helping retail investors build forecasting models that use Hercules Capital's input sentiment indicators derived from textual data and news published on major financial information outlets and social sites. These indicators can be used to analyze time-dependent numerical information representing public perception toward Hercules Capital.
News SentimentNeutral | Hype SentimentNeutral | Insider SentimentWaiting |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Hercules Capital is 'Buy'. Macroaxis provides Hercules Capital buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding HTGC positions.
Execute Hercules Capital Buy or Sell Advice
The Hercules recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Hercules Capital. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Hercules Capital or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Hercules Capital's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Buy
Market Performance | Fair | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unavailable | Details |
Hercules Capital Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Hercules Capital currently holds about 115.31 M in cash with (118.09 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.92. | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: ASA Gold and Precious Metals Major Shareholder Acquires 4,541 Shares |
Hercules Capital Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Hercules Capital's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Hercules Capital's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Hercules Capital daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Hercules Capital price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Hercules Capital returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Hercules Capital.
| Mean Return | 0.13 | Value At Risk | -1.48 | Potential Upside | 1.67 | Standard Deviation | 1.01 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Hercules Capital historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Hercules Capital Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Hercules Capital or Capital Markets sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Hercules Capital's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Hercules stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.51 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Hercules Capital Volatility Alert
Hercules Capital has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.1 and kurtosis of 0.16. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Hercules Capital's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Hercules Capital's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Hercules Capital Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Hercules Capital's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Hercules Capital's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Hercules Capital and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Hercules Capital or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Hercules Capital's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hercules Capital by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Hercules Capital to competition |
| Fundamentals | Hercules Capital | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.15 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0671 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.60 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.84 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 5.47 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 181.72 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 1.73 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 28.60 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 4.96 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 5.16 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.55 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 6.53 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 430.9 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 516.85 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 263.43 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 31.49 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 115.31 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.92 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 1.79 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 1.13 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 3.65 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 12.20 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (118.09 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 4.39 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 1.74 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.52 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 20.92 | |
| Number Of Employees | 100 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.78 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 3.37 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 3.83 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 88.92 M | 9.33 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.10 % |
Note: Disposition of 50081 shares by Scott Bluestein of Hercules Capital at 18.59 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Hercules Capital Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Hercules . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Hercules Capital Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Hercules Capital? Buying financial instruments such as Hercules Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Hercules Capital in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Military Industrial Thematic Idea Now
Military Industrial
A collection of large United States defense contractors including companies involved in production or distribution of aircraft, ships, vehicles, weaponry, and electronic systems in cooperation with the government. The Military Industrial theme has 33 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Military Industrial Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
| View All Next | Launch |
Check out Hercules Capital Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade Hercules Stock refer to our How to Trade Hercules Stock guide.You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hercules Capital. If investors know Hercules will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hercules Capital listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Hercules Capital is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hercules that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hercules Capital's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hercules Capital's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hercules Capital's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hercules Capital's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hercules Capital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hercules Capital is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hercules Capital's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.