Hercules Capital Stock Volatility

HTGC Stock  USD 18.68  0.15  0.81%   
At this point, Hercules Capital is very steady. Hercules Capital holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.12, which attests that the entity had a 0.12 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Hercules Capital, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please check out Hercules Capital's Downside Deviation of 1.06, risk adjusted performance of 0.0929, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2291 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.12%.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.1227

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Based on monthly moving average Hercules Capital is performing at about 9% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Hercules Capital by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.
Key indicators related to Hercules Capital's volatility include:
90 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
90 Days Economic Sensitivity
Hercules Capital Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Hercules daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Hercules's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Hercules Capital volatility.

ESG Sustainability

While most ESG disclosures are voluntary, Hercules Capital's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Hercules Capital's managers and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Hercules Capital can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game as hey may decide to buy additional stocks of Hercules Capital at lower prices to lower their average cost per share. Similarly, when the prices of Hercules Capital's stock rise, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Main indicators related to Hercules Capital's market risk premium analysis include:
Beta
0.54
Alpha
0.0902
Risk
0.98
Sharpe Ratio
0.12
Expected Return
0.12

Moving together with Hercules Stock

  0.85BK Bank of New YorkPairCorr
  0.77BX Blackstone GroupPairCorr
  0.76AMG Affiliated Managers Earnings Call This WeekPairCorr
  0.8AMP Ameriprise FinancialPairCorr
  0.69BEN Franklin Resources Earnings Call TodayPairCorr
  0.84FHI Federated InvestorsPairCorr
  0.85IVZ Invesco PlcPairCorr
  0.77JHG Janus Henderson GroupPairCorr
  0.74PAX Patria Investments Downward RallyPairCorr
  0.61SII Sprott IncPairCorr
  0.84STT State Street CorpPairCorr
  0.83MAIN Main Street CapitalPairCorr
  0.76NTRS Northern TrustPairCorr
  0.77PFLT PennantPark Floating RatePairCorr
  0.62BBUC Brookfield Business CorpPairCorr
  0.68TROW T Rowe Price Earnings Call This WeekPairCorr
  0.84CSWC Capital Southwest Earnings Call This WeekPairCorr

Moving against Hercules Stock

  0.64ANII Aberdeen New IndiaPairCorr
  0.43NVDA NVIDIA Aggressive PushPairCorr
  0.36TY Tri Continental ClosedPairCorr

Hercules Capital Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Hercules Capital's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Hercules stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Hercules stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Hercules Capital's beta of 0.54 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Hercules Capital stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Hercules Capital has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.1 and kurtosis of -0.03. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Hercules Capital's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Hercules Capital's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
Check current 90 days Hercules Capital correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)
α0.09   β0.54
3 Months Beta |Analyze Hercules Capital Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Hercules Capital correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)

Hercules Capital Volatility and Downside Risk

Hercules standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Using Hercules Put Option to Manage Risk

Put options written on Hercules Capital grant holders of the option the right to sell a specified amount of Hercules Capital at a specified price within a specified time frame. The put buyer has a limited loss and, while not fully unlimited gains, as the price of Hercules Stock cannot fall below zero, the put buyer does gain as the price drops. So, one way investors can hedge Hercules Capital's position is by buying a put option against it. The put option used this way is usually referred to as insurance. If an undesired outcome occurs and loss on holding Hercules Capital will be realized, the loss incurred will be offset by the profits made with the option trade.

Hercules Capital's PUT expiring on 2026-04-17

   Profit   
       Hercules Capital Price At Expiration  

Current Hercules Capital Insurance Chain

DeltaGammaOpen IntExpirationCurrent SpreadLast Price
Put
HTGC260417P00022000-0.97870.0032192502026-04-172.35 - 4.70.0View
Put
HTGC260417P00021000-0.8288460.10362592026-04-171.4 - 4.00.0View
Put
HTGC260417P00020000-0.8487890.160133792026-04-170.6 - 2.650.0View
Put
HTGC260417P00019000-0.5940060.216168942026-04-171.0 - 1.250.0View
Put
HTGC260417P00018000-0.3812160.1866589972026-04-170.5 - 0.650.0View
Put
HTGC260417P00017000-0.2216750.13368619052026-04-170.25 - 0.350.0View
Put
HTGC260417P00016000-0.1385170.0828248242026-04-170.15 - 0.250.0View
Put
HTGC260417P00015000-0.1301720.055019992026-04-170.05 - 0.50.0View
Put
HTGC260417P00014000-0.1508540.038741352026-04-170.0 - 0.550.0View
Put
HTGC260417P00013000-0.1749790.02553810202026-04-170.0 - 1.250.0View
Put
HTGC260417P00012000-0.1430410.02170272026-04-170.0 - 1.00.0View
View All Hercules Capital Options

Hercules Capital Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Hercules Capital stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Hercules Capital's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Hercules Capital's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Hercules Capital's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures Hercules Capital's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Hercules Capital's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Hercules Capital's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Hercules Capital's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Hercules Capital Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

Hercules Capital Projected Return Density Against Market

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Hercules Capital has a beta of 0.5373 . This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Hercules Capital average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Hercules Capital will be expected to be much smaller as well.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Hercules Capital or Capital Markets sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Hercules Capital's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Hercules stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Hercules Capital has an alpha of 0.0902, implying that it can generate a 0.0902 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Hercules Capital's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how hercules stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a Hercules Capital Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Hercules Capital Stock Risk Measures

Given the investment horizon of 90 days the coefficient of variation of Hercules Capital is 815.16. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 0.96 and standard deviation of 0.98. The mean deviation of Hercules Capital is currently at 0.77. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.73
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.54
σ
Overall volatility
0.98
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Hercules Capital Stock Return Volatility

Hercules Capital historical daily return volatility represents how much of Hercules Capital stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm inherits 0.9799% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7517% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

Related Correlations Analysis


Correlation Matchups

Over a given time period, the two securities move together when the Correlation Coefficient is positive. Conversely, the two assets move in opposite directions when the Correlation Coefficient is negative. Determining your positions' relationship to each other is valuable for analyzing and projecting your portfolio's future expected return and risk.

High positive correlations

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AAMRK
CCHBFAA
AAOVL
KNBWYMRK
CCHBFOVL
  

High negative correlations

TDMMFCCHBF
TDMMFGBDC
TDMMFKNBWY
TDMMFMRK
TDMMFOVL
GBDCKNBWY

Risk-Adjusted Indicators

There is a big difference between Hercules Stock performing well and Hercules Capital Company doing well as a business compared to the competition. There are so many exceptions to the norm that investors cannot definitively determine what's good or bad unless they analyze Hercules Capital's multiple risk-adjusted performance indicators across the competitive landscape. These indicators are quantitative in nature and help investors forecast volatility and risk-adjusted expected returns across various positions.

About Hercules Capital Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Hercules Capital or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Hercules Capital may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Hercules's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Hercules Capital and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Hercules Capital fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Selling And Marketing Expenses49 M43.5 M
Market Cap2.2 B2.3 B
Hercules Capital's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Hercules Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Hercules Capital's price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Hercules Capital's volatility to invest better

Higher Hercules Capital's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Hercules Capital stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Hercules Capital stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Hercules Capital investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Hercules Capital's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Hercules Capital's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Hercules Capital Investment Opportunity

Hercules Capital has a volatility of 0.98 and is 1.31 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 8 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Hercules Capital. You can use Hercules Capital to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The stock experiences a moderate upward volatility. Check odds of Hercules Capital to be traded at $20.55 in 90 days.

Poor diversification

The correlation between Hercules Capital and DJI is 0.75 (i.e., Poor diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Hercules Capital and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Hercules Capital Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Hercules Capital's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hercules Capital's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Hercules Capital stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Hercules Capital Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Hercules Capital as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Hercules Capital's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Hercules Capital's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Hercules Capital.

Complementary Tools for Hercules Stock analysis

When running Hercules Capital's price analysis, check to measure Hercules Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hercules Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Hercules Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hercules Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hercules Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hercules Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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