Intercontinental Hotels Group Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

IHG Stock  USD 135.40  1.26  0.94%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding InterContinental Hotels Group is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides InterContinental buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding IHG positions.
  
Check out InterContinental Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as InterContinental and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. InterContinental Hotels Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in rate.

Execute InterContinental Buy or Sell Advice

The InterContinental recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on InterContinental Hotels Group. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in InterContinental Hotels Group or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute InterContinental's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell InterContinentalBuy InterContinental
Strong Buy

Market Performance

SolidDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon InterContinental Hotels Group has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2177, Jensen Alpha of 0.2525, Total Risk Alpha of 0.1718, Sortino Ratio of 0.2056 and Treynor Ratio of 1.24
Macroaxis provides investment recommendation on InterContinental to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on InterContinental Hotels. Our trade recommendations engine determines the entity's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure InterContinental Hotels Group is not overpriced, please check out all InterContinental fundamentals, including its ebitda, current ratio, target price, as well as the relationship between the cash per share and short ratio . Given that InterContinental Hotels has a revenue of 4.62 B, we strongly advise you to confirm InterContinental Hotels market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your regular risk tolerance and investing horizon.

InterContinental Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

InterContinental has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from news.google.com: Are You Looking for a Top Momentum Pick Why InterContinental Hotels is a Great Choice - Yahoo Finance

InterContinental Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of InterContinental's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of InterContinental's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of InterContinental daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use InterContinental Hotels Group price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of InterContinental returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for InterContinental.
Mean Return
0.28
Value At Risk
-1.2
Potential Upside
1.87
Standard Deviation
1.09
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of InterContinental historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

InterContinental Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2024-09-30
176.6 K
Millennium Management Llc2024-09-30
156.1 K
Renaissance Technologies Corp2024-09-30
139 K
Henry James International Management Inc.2024-09-30
115.2 K
Envestnet Asset Management Inc2024-09-30
112.6 K
Raymond James & Associates2024-09-30
106.8 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
90.9 K
Voloridge Investment Management, Llc2024-09-30
86.1 K
Wells Fargo & Co2024-09-30
84.8 K
Fmr Inc2024-09-30
6.4 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-09-30
872.2 K
Note, although InterContinental's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

InterContinental Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change In Cash1.5B(233M)(470M)357M410.6M431.1M
Free Cash Flow61M584M547M811M932.7M979.3M
Depreciation172M192M154M67M60.3M57.3M
Other Non Cash Items169M193M(31M)(59M)(67.9M)(64.5M)
Dividends Paid199M721M233M(245M)(220.5M)(209.5M)
Capital Expenditures76M52M99M82M73.8M70.1M
Net Income(260M)265M376M750M675M371.5M
End Period Cash Flow1.6B1.4B921M1.3B1.5B1.5B
Investments(61M)9M(78M)(137M)(123.3M)(129.5M)
Net Borrowings68M1.4B(860M)(245M)(220.5M)(209.5M)
Change To Netincome165M318M60M102M117.3M123.2M

InterContinental Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to InterContinental or Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that InterContinental's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a InterContinental stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.25
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.22
σ
Overall volatility
1.11
Ir
Information ratio 0.18

InterContinental Volatility Alert

InterContinental Hotels Group has low volatility with Treynor Ratio of 1.24, Maximum Drawdown of 7.04 and kurtosis of 3.97. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure InterContinental's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact InterContinental's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

InterContinental Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing InterContinental's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze InterContinental's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between InterContinental and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as InterContinental or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of InterContinental's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing InterContinental by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare InterContinental to competition
FundamentalsInterContinentalPeer Average
Return On Asset0.14-0.14
Profit Margin0.17 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.23 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation23.51 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding157.66 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Institutions8.60 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted305.08 K4.71 M
Price To Earning22.00 X28.72 X
Price To Sales5.53 X11.42 X
Revenue4.62 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.91 B27.38 B
EBITDA1.27 B3.9 B
Net Income750 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents976 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share7.40 X5.01 X
Total Debt3.59 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity5.22 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.35 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share(13.50) X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations893 M971.22 M
Short Ratio2.89 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share3.88 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth2.02 X4.89 X
Target Price125.0
Number Of Employees13.46 K18.84 K
Beta0.96-0.15
Market Capitalization21.15 B19.03 B
Total Asset4.81 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings396 M9.33 B
Working Capital(61 M)1.48 B
Current Asset1.61 B9.34 B
Current Liabilities1.37 B7.9 B
Annual Yield0.01 %

InterContinental Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as InterContinental . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About InterContinental Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell InterContinental Hotels Group? Buying financial instruments such as InterContinental Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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When determining whether InterContinental Hotels is a strong investment it is important to analyze InterContinental's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact InterContinental's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding InterContinental Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out InterContinental Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
Is Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of InterContinental. If investors know InterContinental will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about InterContinental listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.20)
Dividend Share
1.572
Earnings Share
3.88
Revenue Per Share
3.8904
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.043
The market value of InterContinental Hotels is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of InterContinental that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of InterContinental's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is InterContinental's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because InterContinental's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect InterContinental's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between InterContinental's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if InterContinental is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, InterContinental's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.