Indian Railway (India) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| IRCTC Stock | 791.10 11.90 1.53% |
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Indian Railway Catering is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Indian Railway's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Indian Railway Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Indian and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Indian Railway Catering. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
Indian |
Execute Indian Railway Buy or Sell Advice
The Indian recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Indian Railway Catering. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Indian Railway Catering or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Indian Railway's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Small | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Moves indifferently to market moves | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
Indian Railway Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Indian Railway generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Indian Railway is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 62.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: IRCTC Share Price Highlights IRCTC closed today at 779.4, up 2.14 percent from yesterdays 763.1 Stock Market News - Mint |
Indian Railway Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Indian Railway's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Indian Railway's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Indian Railway daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Indian Railway Catering price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Indian Railway returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Indian Railway.
| Mean Return | -0.19 | Value At Risk | -2.94 | Potential Upside | 2.10 | Standard Deviation | 1.54 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Indian Railway historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Indian Railway Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 32.2M | (13.9M) | (16.8M) | (13.6M) | (15.6M) | (14.8M) | |
| Change In Cash | (2.5B) | 231.8M | 606.4M | 2.8B | 3.2B | 3.4B | |
| Free Cash Flow | 1.7B | 5.0B | 7.4B | 6.5B | 7.5B | 7.8B | |
| Depreciation | 462.8M | 489.9M | 537.3M | 572.2M | 658.0M | 362.4M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (1.3B) | (3.4B) | (5.1B) | (1.8B) | (1.6B) | (1.7B) | |
| Dividends Paid | 400M | 2.4B | 4B | 3.6B | 4.1B | 4.3B | |
| Capital Expenditures | 773.4M | 219.1M | 675.6M | 2.3B | 2.7B | 2.8B | |
| Net Income | 2.6B | 8.9B | 13.5B | 11.1B | 12.8B | 13.4B | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 3.5B | 3.7B | 4.3B | 7.1B | 8.1B | 4.7B | |
| Investments | (4.2B) | (2.5B) | (3.2B) | (2.0B) | (1.8B) | (1.9B) | |
| Change To Netincome | (885.6M) | (590.7M) | (1.1B) | (1.6B) | (1.4B) | (1.4B) |
Indian Railway Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Indian Railway or Ground Transportation sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Indian Railway's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Indian stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.2 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.15 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.46 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
Indian Railway Volatility Alert
Indian Railway Catering exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.27 and kurtosis of -0.07. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Indian Railway's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Indian Railway's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Indian Railway Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Indian Railway's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Indian Railway's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Indian Railway and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Indian Railway or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Indian Railway's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Indian Railway by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Indian Railway to competition |
| Fundamentals | Indian Railway | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.38 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.15 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.27 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.34 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 596.83 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 800 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 62.40 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 16.98 % | 39.21 % |
| Price To Book | 17.69 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 13.95 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 42.7 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 16.99 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 15.59 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 11.11 B | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 15.05 B | 2.7 B |
| Total Debt | 603.5 M | 5.32 B |
| Book Value Per Share | 44.06 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 8.82 B | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | 14.96 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 844.13 | |
| Number Of Employees | 1.41 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.41 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 623.52 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 60.91 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 24.4 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 25.12 B | 1.48 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.01 % | |
| Net Asset | 60.91 B | |
| Last Dividend Paid | 8.0 |
Indian Railway Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Indian . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 44840.18 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.4658 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
| Day Median Price | 787.98 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 789.02 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 9.07 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 11.9 |
About Indian Railway Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Indian Railway Catering? Buying financial instruments such as Indian Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Other Information on Investing in Indian Stock
Indian Railway financial ratios help investors to determine whether Indian Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Indian with respect to the benefits of owning Indian Railway security.