TAL Education (Germany) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

IZZ Stock  EUR 9.25  0.10  1.09%   
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your slightly conservative level of risk, our recommendation regarding TAL Education Group is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides TAL Education buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding IZZ positions.
  
Check out TAL Education Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as TAL and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. TAL Education Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute TAL Education Buy or Sell Advice

The TAL recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on TAL Education Group. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in TAL Education Group or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute TAL Education's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell TAL EducationBuy TAL Education
Strong Sell

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Moderately volatileDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

About AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon TAL Education Group has a Mean Deviation of 3.82, Semi Deviation of 4.42, Standard Deviation of 5.64, Variance of 31.76, Downside Variance of 26.66 and Semi Variance of 19.5
We provide advice to complement the current expert consensus on TAL Education. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available now. To make sure TAL Education Group is not overpriced, please validate all TAL Education fundamentals, including its price to earning, gross profit, cash per share, as well as the relationship between the price to sales and net income .

TAL Education Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

TAL Education Group is way too risky over 90 days horizon
TAL Education Group appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the revenue of 4.39 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.14 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.19 B.
TAL Education Group has accumulated about 1.91 B in cash with (939.18 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.23.
Roughly 62.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

TAL Education Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of TAL Education's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of TAL Education's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of TAL Education daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use TAL Education Group price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of TAL Education returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for TAL Education.
Mean Return
0.48
Value At Risk
-7.89
Potential Upside
11.96
Standard Deviation
5.64
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of TAL Education historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

TAL Education Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to TAL Education or Consumer Defensive sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that TAL Education's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a TAL stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.47
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.05
σ
Overall volatility
5.64
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

TAL Education Volatility Alert

TAL Education Group exhibits above-average semi-deviation for your current time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure TAL Education's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact TAL Education's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

TAL Education Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing TAL Education's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze TAL Education's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between TAL Education and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as TAL Education or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of TAL Education's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing TAL Education by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare TAL Education to competition
FundamentalsTAL EducationPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.0517-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0014-0.14
Profit Margin(0.16) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.01) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation(2.62 B)16.62 B
Shares Outstanding648.86 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Institutions62.41 %39.21 %
Price To Earning58.31 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.91 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.96 X11.42 X
Revenue4.39 B9.43 B
Gross Profit2.19 B27.38 B
EBITDA(770.26 M)3.9 B
Net Income(1.14 B)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents1.91 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share3.23 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.07 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity41.30 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.27 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share5.99 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(939.18 M)971.22 M
Earnings Per Share(0.30) X3.12 X
Target Price44.27
Number Of Employees16.2 K18.84 K
Beta-0.12-0.15
Market Capitalization4.46 B19.03 B
Total Asset5.08 B29.47 B
Z Score2.48.72
Net Asset5.08 B

TAL Education Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as TAL . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About TAL Education Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell TAL Education Group? Buying financial instruments such as TAL Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Run Defense Thematic Idea Now

Defense
Defense Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Defense theme has 16 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Defense Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in TAL Stock

When determining whether TAL Education Group is a strong investment it is important to analyze TAL Education's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact TAL Education's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding TAL Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out TAL Education Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Please note, there is a significant difference between TAL Education's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if TAL Education is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, TAL Education's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.