Johnson Outdoors Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

JOUT Stock  USD 32.93  0.55  1.70%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and complete risk avoidance on your part, our recommendation regarding Johnson Outdoors is 'Strong Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Johnson Outdoors given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Johnson Outdoors, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Johnson Outdoors Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Johnson Stock please use our How to Invest in Johnson Outdoors guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Johnson and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Johnson Outdoors. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.

Execute Johnson Outdoors Buy or Sell Advice

The Johnson recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Johnson Outdoors. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Johnson Outdoors or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Johnson Outdoors' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Johnson OutdoorsBuy Johnson Outdoors
Strong Sell

Market Performance

WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong SellDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Johnson Outdoors has a Mean Deviation of 1.82, Semi Deviation of 2.38, Standard Deviation of 2.33, Variance of 5.42, Downside Variance of 5.87 and Semi Variance of 5.69
Our investment recommendation module can be used to complement Johnson Outdoors trade recommendations provided by average analyst sentiment. It analyzes the entity's potential to grow using fundamental, technical, data market data available at the time. To make sure Johnson Outdoors is not overpriced, please check out all Johnson Outdoors fundamentals, including its price to earning, book value per share, current asset, as well as the relationship between the net income and number of employees . Given that Johnson Outdoors has a price to earning of 8.34 X, we strongly advise you to confirm Johnson Outdoors market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your regular risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Johnson Outdoors Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 592.85 M. Net Loss for the year was (26.53 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 204.49 M.
Johnson Outdoors has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 82.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Scuba Diving Equipment Market in South Korea to Grow by USD 78.5 Million , Driven by E-Commerce Growth and AI-Driven Market Transformation - Technavio

Johnson Outdoors Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Johnson Outdoors' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Johnson Outdoors' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Johnson Outdoors daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Johnson Outdoors price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Johnson Outdoors returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Johnson Outdoors.
Mean Return
0.01
Value At Risk
-4.26
Potential Upside
3.95
Standard Deviation
2.33
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Johnson Outdoors historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Johnson Stock Institutional Investors

The Johnson Outdoors' institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Johnson Outdoors' securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
State Street Corp2024-09-30
129.9 K
Renaissance Technologies Corp2024-09-30
128 K
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
123.8 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-09-30
93.8 K
Kennedy Capital Management Inc2024-09-30
90.9 K
New York State Common Retirement Fund2024-09-30
83.3 K
Allspring Global Investments Holdings, Llc2024-09-30
75.5 K
Rice Hall James & Associates, Llc2024-09-30
72.2 K
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-09-30
66.8 K
Johnson Financial Group Inc2024-09-30
1.7 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2024-09-30
549.4 K
Note, although Johnson Outdoors' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Johnson Outdoors Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change To Inventory(69.6M)(89.3M)(28.4M)42.1M37.9M39.8M
Change In Cash28.0M(110.6M)(17.9M)33.6M38.7M40.6M
Free Cash Flow36.9M(93.8M)19.0M19.0M21.8M22.9M
Depreciation13.4M14.2M16.3M19.6M22.5M12.3M
Other Non Cash Items850K4.5M4.0M23.2M26.7M28.1M
Capital Expenditures21.4M31.7M22.7M22.0M19.8M12.5M
Net Income83.4M44.5M19.5M(26.5M)(30.5M)(29.0M)
End Period Cash Flow240.4M129.8M111.9M145.5M167.3M175.7M
Dividends Paid8.4M12.1M12.6M(13.4M)(15.4M)(14.7M)
Change Receivables(6.1M)(24.6M)(3.9M)(22.0M)(19.8M)(18.8M)
Change To Netincome4.5M6.5M2.3M11.5M13.2M13.9M
Investments(21.4M)(31.7M)(48.4M)5.0M5.8M6.1M

Johnson Outdoors Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Johnson Outdoors or Leisure Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Johnson Outdoors' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Johnson stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.35
σ
Overall volatility
2.40
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Johnson Outdoors Volatility Alert

Johnson Outdoors currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of -0.03 and Jensen Alpha of -0.03. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Johnson Outdoors' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Johnson Outdoors' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Johnson Outdoors Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Johnson Outdoors' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Johnson Outdoors' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Johnson Outdoors and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Johnson Outdoors or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Johnson Outdoors' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Johnson Outdoors by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Johnson Outdoors to competition
FundamentalsJohnson OutdoorsPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.0162-0.31
Return On Asset-0.021-0.14
Profit Margin(0.01) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation221.7 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding9.12 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders9.52 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions81.73 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted547.4 K4.71 M
Price To Earning8.34 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.72 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.57 X11.42 X
Revenue592.85 M9.43 B
Gross Profit204.49 M27.38 B
EBITDA(10.1 M)3.9 B
Net Income(26.53 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents117.57 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share11.65 X5.01 X
Total Debt49.33 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.11 %48.70 %
Current Ratio4.11 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share48.92 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations40.98 M971.22 M
Short Ratio13.23 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(2.60) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.60 X4.89 X
Target Price50.0
Number Of Employees1.4 K18.84 K
Beta0.71-0.15
Market Capitalization334.4 M19.03 B
Total Asset635.21 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings369.59 M9.33 B
Working Capital338.28 M1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 1000 shares by Fahey John M Jr of Johnson Outdoors at 96.77 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Johnson Outdoors Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Johnson . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Johnson Outdoors Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Johnson Outdoors? Buying financial instruments such as Johnson Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Additional Tools for Johnson Stock Analysis

When running Johnson Outdoors' price analysis, check to measure Johnson Outdoors' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Johnson Outdoors is operating at the current time. Most of Johnson Outdoors' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Johnson Outdoors' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Johnson Outdoors' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Johnson Outdoors to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.