Lions Gate Entertainment Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

LGF-A Stock  USD 8.16  0.23  2.90%   
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Lions Gate Entertainment is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Lions Gate buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding LGF-A positions.
  
Check out Lions Gate Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Lions and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Lions Gate Entertainment. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Lions Gate Buy or Sell Advice

The Lions recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Lions Gate Entertainment. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Lions Gate Entertainment or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Lions Gate's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Lions GateBuy Lions Gate
Strong Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Lions Gate Entertainment has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0051, Jensen Alpha of (0.08), Total Risk Alpha of (0.31) and Treynor Ratio of (0.02)
We provide investment recommendation to complement the last-minute expert consensus on Lions Gate Entertainment. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the entity's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Lions Gate Entertainment is not overpriced, please verify all Lions Gate Entertainment fundamentals, including its shares owned by institutions, price to earning, price to sales, as well as the relationship between the number of shares shorted and price to book . Given that Lions Gate Entertainment has a number of shares shorted of 6.44 M, we recommend you to check Lions Gate market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Lions Gate Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Lions Gate generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Lions Gate has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Lions Gate Entertainment has accumulated 4.42 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 99.9, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Lions Gate Entertainment has a current ratio of 0.82, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Note, when we think about Lions Gate's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 4.02 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.12 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.54 B.
Lions Gate has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 92.0% of Lions Gate shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from bnnbloomberg.ca: Hasbros Gamer CEO Refocuses on Play After Selling Film Business

Lions Gate Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Lions Gate's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Lions Gate's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Lions Gate daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Lions Gate Entertainment price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Lions Gate returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Lions Gate.
Mean Return
-0.0067
Value At Risk
-3.67
Potential Upside
3.51
Standard Deviation
2.57
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Lions Gate historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Lions Gate Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash133.9M210.5M(144.1M)(71.6M)58.4M61.3M
Free Cash Flow583.5M(35.5M)(694M)(163.3M)362.1M380.2M
Depreciation2.0B1.5B1.8B1.9B1.8B1.9B
Other Non Cash Items(1.5B)(1.6B)(2.1B)(6.5M)(382.5M)(401.6M)
Capital Expenditures31.1M35M33.1M49M34.7M18.4M
Net Income(206.4M)(34.5M)(205.4M)(2.0B)(1.1B)(1.1B)
End Period Cash Flow318.2M528.7M384.6M313M371.4M390.0M
Change To Inventory31.8M(32.7M)(1.4M)(2.0B)(1.4B)(1.3B)
Investments(51.7M)3.9M(5.3M)(18.3M)(376.8M)(358.0M)
Net Borrowings(181.3M)51.2M541.6M(357.8M)(411.5M)(390.9M)
Change To Netincome61.4M54.4M112.2M1.9B2.2B2.3B

Lions Gate Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Lions Gate or Entertainment sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Lions Gate's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Lions stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.79
σ
Overall volatility
2.49
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Lions Gate Volatility Alert

Lions Gate Entertainment exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.47 and kurtosis of 3.08. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Lions Gate's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Lions Gate's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Lions Gate Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Lions Gate's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Lions Gate's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Lions Gate and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Lions Gate or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Lions Gate's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lions Gate by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Lions Gate to competition
FundamentalsLions GatePeer Average
Return On Equity-11.98-0.31
Return On Asset0.0148-0.14
Profit Margin(0.1) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.08) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation5.93 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding83.58 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders7.95 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions92.05 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted6.44 M4.71 M
Price To Earning27.61 X28.72 X
Price To Book133.61 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.46 X11.42 X
Revenue4.02 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.54 B27.38 B
EBITDA912 M3.9 B
Net Income(1.12 B)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents184.3 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.85 X5.01 X
Total Debt4.42 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity99.90 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.84 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share(0.59) X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations396.8 M971.22 M
Short Ratio9.46 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(1.59) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.03 X4.89 X
Target Price10.42
Number Of Employees1.72 K18.84 K
Beta1.34-0.15
Market Capitalization1.76 B19.03 B
Total Asset7.09 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(3.58 B)9.33 B
Working Capital(2.53 B)1.48 B
Note: Acquisition by Rachesky Mark H Md of 4220 shares of Lions Gate at 10.19 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Lions Gate Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Lions . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Lions Gate Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Lions Gate Entertainment? Buying financial instruments such as Lions Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Other Information on Investing in Lions Stock

Lions Gate financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lions Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lions with respect to the benefits of owning Lions Gate security.