Lions Gate Entertainment Stock Price Prediction
| LGF-A Stock | USD 7.94 0.22 2.70% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
64
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.15 | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.37) | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.07 | Wall Street Target Price 10.4167 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.64) |
Using Lions Gate hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lions Gate Entertainment from the perspective of Lions Gate response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Lions Gate to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Lions because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Lions Gate after-hype prediction price | USD 7.91 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Lions |
Lions Gate After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Lions Gate at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lions Gate or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Lions Gate, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Lions Gate Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Lions Gate's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lions Gate's historical news coverage. Lions Gate's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5.46 and 10.36, respectively. We have considered Lions Gate's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Lions Gate is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lions Gate Entertainment is based on 3 months time horizon.
Lions Gate Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lions Gate is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lions Gate backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lions Gate, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.10 | 2.45 | 0.03 | 0.02 | 11 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
7.94 | 7.91 | 0.38 |
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Lions Gate Hype Timeline
Lions Gate Entertainment is now traded for 7.94. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Lions is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 7.91. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -0.38%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.1%. The volatility of related hype on Lions Gate is about 1093.75%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.92. About 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.03. Lions Gate Entertainment recorded a loss per share of 1.59. The entity last dividend was issued on the 27th of September 2018. The firm had 1:2 split on the 9th of December 2016. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Lions Gate Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Lions Gate Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Lions Gate's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lions Gate's future price movements. Getting to know how Lions Gate's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lions Gate may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LGF-B | Lions Gate Entertainment | 0.01 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.55 | (3.84) | 14.54 | |
| AMCX | AMC Networks | (0.14) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 6.36 | (5.20) | 16.63 | |
| ATUS | Altice USA | (0.13) | 12 per month | 2.44 | 0.11 | 7.02 | (4.30) | 21.00 | |
| LBRDA | Liberty Broadband Srs | (0.72) | 9 per month | 1.49 | 0.12 | 4.70 | (3.19) | 33.07 | |
| LBRDK | Liberty Broadband Srs | (0.14) | 8 per month | 1.51 | 0.12 | 4.96 | (3.20) | 30.97 |
Lions Gate Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Lions price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lions using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lions charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About Lions Gate Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Lions Gate stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Lions Gate Entertainment, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Lions Gate based on analysis of Lions Gate hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Lions Gate's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Lions Gate's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.016 | 0.0281 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.54 | 0.51 |
Story Coverage note for Lions Gate
The number of cover stories for Lions Gate depends on current market conditions and Lions Gate's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lions Gate is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lions Gate's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Lions Gate Short Properties
Lions Gate's future price predictability will typically decrease when Lions Gate's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Lions Gate Entertainment often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Lions Gate's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lions Gate's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 233.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 314 M |
Complementary Tools for Lions Stock analysis
When running Lions Gate's price analysis, check to measure Lions Gate's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lions Gate is operating at the current time. Most of Lions Gate's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lions Gate's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lions Gate's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lions Gate to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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