Medpace Holdings Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

MEDP Stock  USD 337.35  0.53  0.16%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Medpace Holdings is 'Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated analysis based on historical performance and your stated risk tolerance. It serves as guidance on whether to purchase or sell Medpace Holdings within the specified time frame.
  
Check out Medpace Holdings Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in Medpace Stock, please use our How to Invest in Medpace Holdings guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Medpace and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Medpace Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment.

Execute Medpace Holdings Buy or Sell Advice

The Medpace recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Medpace Holdings. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Medpace Holdings or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Medpace Holdings' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Medpace HoldingsBuy Medpace Holdings
Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Medpace Holdings has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0), Jensen Alpha of (0.06), Total Risk Alpha of (0.11) and Treynor Ratio of (0.06)
Macroaxis provides trade recommendations on Medpace Holdings to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Medpace Holdings. Our advice engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Medpace Holdings is not overpriced, please verify all Medpace Holdings fundamentals, including its cash per share, number of employees, and the relationship between the revenue and cash flow from operations . Given that Medpace Holdings has a price to earning of 49.07 X, we recommend you to check Medpace Holdings market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Medpace Holdings Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Medpace Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Medpace Holdings currently holds 142.12 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.85, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Medpace Holdings has a current ratio of 0.4, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Medpace Holdings' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
Medpace Holdings has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 85.0% of Medpace Holdings shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from zacks.com: Centene Expands Care in Hawaii With a Residential Program

Medpace Holdings Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Medpace Holdings' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Medpace Holdings' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Medpace Holdings daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Medpace Holdings price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Medpace Holdings returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Medpace Holdings.
Mean Return
-0.04
Value At Risk
-5.99
Potential Upside
3.53
Standard Deviation
2.66
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Medpace Holdings historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Medpace Stock Institutional Investors

The Medpace Holdings' institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Medpace Holdings' securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Findlay Park Partners Llp2024-09-30
470.9 K
Capital World Investors2024-09-30
438.4 K
Clearbridge Advisors, Llc2024-09-30
417.9 K
Td Global Investment Solutions – Td Epoch2024-09-30
416.2 K
Wellington Management Company Llp2024-09-30
415.3 K
American Capital Management Inc2024-09-30
380.6 K
Aqr Capital Management Llc2024-09-30
365.8 K
Norges Bank2024-06-30
279.6 K
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2024-09-30
277.4 K
Blackrock Inc2024-09-30
2.7 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
2.5 M
Note, although Medpace Holdings' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Medpace Holdings Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change In Cash145.8M183.5M(433.0M)217.2M249.8M262.2M
Free Cash Flow227.3M235.1M351.2M396.7M456.2M479.0M
Depreciation19.5M21.1M22.3M26.3M23.7M30.8M
Other Non Cash Items13.2M16.3M15.9M22.4M25.7M27.0M
Capital Expenditures31.3M28.3M36.9M36.6M42.1M44.3M
Net Income145.4M181.8M245.4M282.8M325.2M341.5M
End Period Cash Flow277.8M461.3M28.3M245.4M282.3M296.4M
Change To Netincome32.5M14.3M(22.0M)(3.1M)(2.8M)(2.7M)
Change To Inventory21.3M5.5M25.0M66.2M76.1M79.9M
Investments(31.2M)(31.4M)(38.7M)(35.9M)(32.3M)(33.9M)
Change Receivables(21.3M)(5.5M)(25.0M)(66.9M)(60.2M)(57.2M)

Medpace Holdings Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Medpace Holdings or Life Sciences Tools & Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Medpace Holdings' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Medpace stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.78
σ
Overall volatility
2.71
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Medpace Holdings Volatility Alert

Medpace Holdings exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.42 and kurtosis of 3.36. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Medpace Holdings' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Medpace Holdings' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Medpace Holdings Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Medpace Holdings' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Medpace Holdings' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Medpace Holdings and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Medpace Holdings or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Medpace Holdings' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Medpace Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Medpace Holdings to competition
FundamentalsMedpace HoldingsPeer Average
Return On Equity0.54-0.31
Return On Asset0.14-0.14
Profit Margin0.18 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.21 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation9.96 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding31.08 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders17.82 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions85.44 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted1.15 M4.71 M
Price To Earning49.07 X28.72 X
Price To Book11.88 X9.51 X
Price To Sales5.06 X11.42 X
Revenue1.89 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.39 B27.38 B
EBITDA363.15 M3.9 B
Net Income282.81 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents31.01 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.00 X5.01 X
Total Debt142.12 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.85 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.41 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share28.42 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations433.37 M971.22 M
Short Ratio4.77 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share11.44 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.60 X4.89 X
Target Price347.92
Number Of Employees5.9 K18.84 K
Beta1.37-0.15
Market Capitalization10.49 B19.03 B
Total Asset1.66 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(221.65 M)9.33 B
Working Capital(331.3 M)1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 15000 shares by Geiger Jesse J of Medpace Holdings at 32.05 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Medpace Holdings Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Medpace . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Medpace Holdings Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Medpace Holdings? Buying financial instruments such as Medpace Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Additional Tools for Medpace Stock Analysis

When running Medpace Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Medpace Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Medpace Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Medpace Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Medpace Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Medpace Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Medpace Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.