Mgp Ingredients Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| MGPI Stock | USD 46.75 0.13 0.28% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your conservative attitude towards risk, our recommendation regarding MGP Ingredients is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of MGP Ingredients' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out MGP Ingredients Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more detail on how to invest in MGP Stock please use our How to Invest in MGP Ingredients guide. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as MGP and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards MGP Ingredients. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.
MGP |
Execute MGP Ingredients Buy or Sell Advice
The MGP recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on MGP Ingredients. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in MGP Ingredients or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute MGP Ingredients' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost mirrors the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
MGP Ingredients Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| MGP Ingredients generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| MGP Ingredients has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Over 80.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: MGPI Investigation Reminder Kessler Topaz Meltzer Check, - GlobeNewswire |
MGP Ingredients Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of MGP Ingredients' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of MGP Ingredients' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of MGP Ingredients daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use MGP Ingredients price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of MGP Ingredients returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for MGP Ingredients.
| Mean Return | -0.86 | Value At Risk | -5.26 | Potential Upside | 2.31 | Standard Deviation | 3.95 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of MGP Ingredients historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
MGP Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2024-06-30 | 352.7 K | Zeliff Wallace Jackson Invst Counsel Inc | 2024-09-30 | 293.6 K | Bank Of America Corp | 2024-06-30 | 283.7 K | American Century Companies Inc | 2024-09-30 | 254.6 K | Clark Capital Management Group Inc | 2024-06-30 | 249.1 K | Raymond James Finl Svs Advisors, Inc. | 2024-09-30 | 204.4 K | Marshall Wace Asset Management Ltd | 2024-06-30 | 204 K | Macquarie Group Ltd | 2024-06-30 | 196.7 K | Guggenheim Capital Llc | 2024-06-30 | 185.6 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 2.3 M | Champlain Investment Partners, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 1.5 M |
MGP Ingredients Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (1.7M) | 18.4M | (94K) | 26.3M | (29.5M) | (28.0M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 3.0M | 33.6M | 40.9M | 43.6M | 28.5M | 29.9M | |
| Depreciation | 11.6M | 13.0M | 19.1M | 21.5M | 22.1M | 13.2M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (116K) | 494K | (14.6M) | 2.4M | 27.6M | 28.9M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 16.7M | 19.7M | 47.4M | 45.3M | 55.3M | 58.0M | |
| Net Income | 38.8M | 40.3M | 90.8M | 108.9M | 107.1M | 112.5M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 3.3M | 21.7M | 21.6M | 47.9M | 18.4M | 11.4M | |
| Change To Inventory | (28.2M) | (3.9M) | (14.2M) | (44.4M) | (46.9M) | (44.6M) | |
| Dividends Paid | 6.9M | 8.2M | 10.0M | 10.6M | 10.7M | 11.2M | |
| Investments | (17.9M) | (19.6M) | (1.5M) | (47.8M) | (162.7M) | (154.6M) | |
| Change Receivables | (2.1M) | (16.2M) | (6.0M) | (16.8M) | (15.1M) | (14.4M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 8.9M | (2.7M) | 192.6M | (3.4M) | (3.9M) | (3.7M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 3.2M | 3.5M | 7.3M | 7.9M | 9.1M | 9.6M |
MGP Ingredients Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to MGP Ingredients or Beverages sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that MGP Ingredients' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a MGP stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.96 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.24 |
MGP Ingredients Volatility Alert
MGP Ingredients exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -3.96 and kurtosis of 20.06. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure MGP Ingredients' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact MGP Ingredients' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.MGP Ingredients Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing MGP Ingredients' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze MGP Ingredients' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between MGP Ingredients and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as MGP Ingredients or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of MGP Ingredients' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing MGP Ingredients by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare MGP Ingredients to competition |
| Fundamentals | MGP Ingredients | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.12 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0758 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.15 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.24 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 1.3 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 21.95 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 35.53 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 79.91 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 3.8 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 53.02 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.12 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.39 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 836.52 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 253.31 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 199.28 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 107.13 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 37.41 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 1.70 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 301.86 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.35 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 4.53 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 41.66 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 83.78 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 7.53 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 4.82 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.15 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 63.83 | |
| Number Of Employees | 705 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.65 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 1.02 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 1.39 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 539.88 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 400.19 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 7365 shares by Lux Donn S. of MGP Ingredients at 82.4975 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
MGP Ingredients Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as MGP . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About MGP Ingredients Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell MGP Ingredients? Buying financial instruments such as MGP Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out MGP Ingredients Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more detail on how to invest in MGP Stock please use our How to Invest in MGP Ingredients guide.You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.
Is Distillers & Vintners space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of MGP Ingredients. If investors know MGP will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about MGP Ingredients listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.845 | Dividend Share 0.48 | Earnings Share 4.82 | Revenue Per Share 33.38 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.24) |
The market value of MGP Ingredients is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of MGP that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of MGP Ingredients' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is MGP Ingredients' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because MGP Ingredients' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect MGP Ingredients' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between MGP Ingredients' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if MGP Ingredients is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, MGP Ingredients' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.