MGP Ingredients Valuation

MGPI Stock  USD 24.90  0.26  1.03%   
At this time, the firm appears to be undervalued. MGP Ingredients secures a last-minute Real Value of $28.79 per share. The latest price of the firm is $24.9. Our model forecasts the value of MGP Ingredients from inspecting the firm fundamentals such as return on equity of -0.0172, and Profit Margin of (0.03) % as well as reviewing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting MGP Ingredients' valuation include:
Price Book
0.6228
Enterprise Value
799.3 M
Enterprise Value Ebitda
22.7374
Price Sales
0.92
Forward PE
9.0253
Undervalued
Today
24.90
Please note that MGP Ingredients' price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of MGP Ingredients is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing MGP Ingredients' time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since MGP Ingredients is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of MGP Stock. However, MGP Ingredients' intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  24.9 Real  28.79 Target  34.8 Hype  24.91 Naive  26.39
The intrinsic value of MGP Ingredients' stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow or dividend analysis. That value may differ from its market price, which is determined by factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, headlines, and other external factors that may influence MGP Ingredients' stock price.
28.79
Real Value
31.08
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of MGP Ingredients helps investors to forecast how MGP stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of MGP Ingredients more accurately as focusing exclusively on MGP Ingredients' fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
0.270.390.56
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.6224.9127.20
Details
Potential
Annual Dividend
LowForecastedHigh
0.270.280.29
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
31.6734.8038.63
Details
When choosing an evaluation method for MGP Ingredients, ensure it is appropriate for the firm given its current financial situation and market classification. If more than one evaluation category is relevant, we suggest using all methods to arrive at a better estimate.

MGP Ingredients Cash

30.52 Million

MGP Revenue by Product

MGP Ingredients Total Value Analysis

MGP Ingredients is now projected to have valuation of 799.33 M with market capitalization of 532.57 M, debt of 339.64 M, and cash on hands of 37.41 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the MGP Ingredients fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
799.33 M
532.57 M
339.64 M
37.41 M

MGP Ingredients Investor Information

About 32.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.62. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. MGP Ingredients has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.13. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.63. The firm last dividend was issued on the 14th of November 2025. MGP Ingredients had 2:1 split on the 16th of July 2004. Based on the key indicators related to MGP Ingredients' liquidity, profitability, solvency, and operating efficiency, MGP Ingredients is doing better financially today then in previous quarter. It has a moderate probability of reporting better financial numbers in February.

MGP Ingredients Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. MGP Ingredients has an asset utilization ratio of 50.05 percent. This signifies that the Company is making $0.5 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that MGP Ingredients is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

MGP Ingredients Profitability Analysis

Based on MGP Ingredients' profitability indicators, MGP Ingredients' profitability may be sliding down. It has an above-average probability of reporting lower numbers next quarter. Profitability indicators assess MGP Ingredients' ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
1987-09-30
Previous Quarter
14.4 M
Current Value
15.4 M
Quarterly Volatility
10.1 M
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
As of now, MGP Ingredients' Gross Profit is increasing as compared to previous years. The MGP Ingredients' current Gross Profit Margin is estimated to increase to 0.38, while Pretax Profit Margin is projected to decrease to 0.05.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.380.37
Fairly Up
Slightly volatile
For MGP Ingredients profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of MGP Ingredients to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well MGP Ingredients utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between MGP Ingredients's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of MGP Ingredients over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

MGP Ingredients Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

The next projected EPS of MGP Ingredients is estimated to be 0.394 with future projections ranging from a low of 0.27 to a high of 0.56. MGP Ingredients' most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at -0.63. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for MGP Ingredients is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
MGP Ingredients is projected to generate 0.394 in earnings per share on the 31st of March 2026. MGP Ingredients earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected MGP Ingredients EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on MGP Ingredients' historical volatility. Many public companies, such as MGP Ingredients, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

MGP Ingredients Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of MGP Ingredients' earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of MGP Ingredients is estimated to be 0.394 with the future projection ranging from a low of 0.27 to a high of 0.56. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for MGP Ingredients is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
0.0
0.27
Lowest
Expected EPS
0.394
0.56
Highest

MGP Ingredients Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of MGP Ingredients' value are higher than the current market price of the MGP Ingredients stock. In this case, investors may conclude that MGP Ingredients is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and MGP Ingredients' stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of March 2026Current EPS (TTM)
576.68%
0.0
0.394
-0.63

MGP Ingredients Ownership Allocation

MGP Ingredients maintains a total of 21.29 Million outstanding shares. Over half of MGP Ingredients' outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. These institutional investors are typically referred to as corporate investors that shop for positions in a given instrument to benefit from reduced trade commissions. On October 22, 2025, Representative Lisa McClain of US Congress acquired under $15k worth of MGP Ingredients's common stock.

MGP Ingredients Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 703.62 M. Net Income was 34.47 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 225.62 M.

MGP Ingredients Past Distributions to stockholders

About MGP Ingredients Valuation

An absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to MGP Stock, attempts to find the value of MGP Ingredients based on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing MGP Ingredients's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, such as dividends, operating cash flow, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of MGP Ingredients's intrinsic value. In some cases, mostly for established, large-cap companies, we also incorporate more traditional valuation methods such as dividend discount, discounted cash flow, or asset-based models. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of MGP Ingredients. We calculate exposure to MGP Ingredients's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of MGP Ingredients's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit329.3 M345.7 M
Pretax Profit Margin 0.09  0.05 
Operating Profit Margin 0.10  0.05 
Net Profit Margin 0.04  0.04 
Gross Profit Margin 0.37  0.38 

MGP Ingredients Quarterly Retained Earnings

582.97 Million

MGP Ingredients' stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether MGP Ingredients' value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of MGP Ingredients can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of MGP Ingredients represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of MGP, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

MGP Ingredients Dividends Analysis For Valuation

As of now, MGP Ingredients' Dividend Yield is decreasing as compared to previous years. The MGP Ingredients' current Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio is estimated to increase to 1.20, while Dividends Paid is forecasted to increase to (9.1 M). . As of now, MGP Ingredients' Retained Earnings are increasing as compared to previous years. The MGP Ingredients' current Retained Earnings Total Equity is estimated to increase to about 535 M, while Price Earnings Ratio is projected to decrease to 11.46.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid-9.6 M-9.1 M
Dividend Yield 0.01  0.01 
Dividend Payout Ratio 0.35  0.23 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 1.13  1.20 
There are various types of dividends MGP Ingredients can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of MGP shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from MGP Ingredients directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When MGP pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of MGP Ingredients by the value of the dividends paid out.

MGP Ingredients Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding22 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.336
Forward Price Earnings9.0253

MGP Ingredients Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of MGP Ingredients and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value MGP we look at many different elements of the entity such as MGP's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as MGP Ingredients, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use MGP Ingredients' valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes MGP Ingredients' worth.

Complementary Tools for MGP Stock analysis

When running MGP Ingredients' price analysis, check to measure MGP Ingredients' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MGP Ingredients is operating at the current time. Most of MGP Ingredients' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MGP Ingredients' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MGP Ingredients' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MGP Ingredients to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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