The Mosaic Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

MOS Stock  USD 26.05  0.61  2.40%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your below-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding The Mosaic is 'Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell The Mosaic given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Mosaic. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for The Mosaic, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Mosaic Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Mosaic and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. The Mosaic. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.

Execute Mosaic Buy or Sell Advice

The Mosaic recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on The Mosaic. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in The Mosaic or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Mosaic's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell MosaicBuy Mosaic
Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon The Mosaic has a Mean Deviation of 1.71, Standard Deviation of 2.3 and Variance of 5.31
Our advice module complements current analysts and expert consensus on Mosaic. It analyzes the company potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available at the time. To make sure Mosaic is not overpriced, please verify all The Mosaic fundamentals, including its price to earning, book value per share, current asset, as well as the relationship between the net income and number of employees . Given that Mosaic has a price to earning of 19.24 X, we recommend you to check Mosaic market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Mosaic Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Mosaic generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Mosaic has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 88.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from insidermonkey.com: Is The Mosaic Company the Best Fertilizer Stock to Buy

Mosaic Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Mosaic's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Mosaic's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Mosaic daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use The Mosaic price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Mosaic returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Mosaic.
Mean Return
-0.07
Value At Risk
-3.92
Potential Upside
4.43
Standard Deviation
2.30
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Mosaic historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Mosaic Stock Institutional Investors

The Mosaic's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Mosaic's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
D. E. Shaw & Co Lp2024-06-30
4.1 M
Amundi2024-06-30
4.1 M
Norges Bank2024-06-30
3.7 M
Balyasny Asset Management Llc2024-06-30
3.6 M
Aqr Capital Management Llc2024-06-30
3.3 M
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-09-30
3.2 M
Thompson, Siegel & Walmsley Llc2024-09-30
2.9 M
Citadel Advisors Llc2024-06-30
2.8 M
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-06-30
2.6 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
39.4 M
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
28.3 M
Note, although Mosaic's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Mosaic Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory128.1M191.4M(1.1B)(749.6M)1.1B1.1B
Change In Cash(338.7M)62.1M191.9M(32.2M)(393.3M)(373.6M)
Free Cash Flow(176.8M)412M898.4M2.7B1.0B1.1B
Depreciation1.5B948.5M810.1M933.9M960.6M1.0B
Other Non Cash Items943.6M107.8M243.4M7.9M63.9M60.7M
Capital Expenditures1.3B1.2B1.3B1.2B1.4B1.5B
Net Income(1.1B)665.6M1.6B3.6B1.2B635.6M
End Period Cash Flow532.3M594.4M786.3M754.1M360.8M342.8M
Dividends Paid67.2M75.8M103.7M197.7M351.6M369.2M
Investments(37.6M)(1.2B)(2.4M)(1.3B)(1.3B)(1.2B)
Change Receivables(91.2M)5.9M34.6M(215.2M)(247.5M)(235.1M)
Net Borrowings135.6M(83.6M)(336.9M)(407.1M)(366.4M)(348.1M)
Change To Netincome376.4M(447M)556.4M350.6M403.2M234.8M

Mosaic Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Mosaic or Chemicals sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Mosaic's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Mosaic stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.71
σ
Overall volatility
2.32
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Mosaic Volatility Alert

The Mosaic exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.31 and kurtosis of 1.39. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Mosaic's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Mosaic's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Mosaic Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Mosaic's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Mosaic's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Mosaic and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Mosaic or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Mosaic's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mosaic by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Mosaic to competition
FundamentalsMosaicPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0335-0.31
Return On Asset0.0218-0.14
Profit Margin0.03 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.04 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation12.06 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding317.64 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.67 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions88.00 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted8.19 M4.71 M
Price To Earning19.24 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.68 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.71 X11.42 X
Revenue13.7 B9.43 B
Gross Profit5.78 B27.38 B
EBITDA2.34 B3.9 B
Net Income1.21 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents735.4 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share2.43 X5.01 X
Total Debt3.99 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.35 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.30 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share37.15 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations2.41 B971.22 M
Short Ratio2.25 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share1.13 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth5.15 X4.89 X
Target Price32.74
Number Of Employees14.05 K18.84 K
Beta1.36-0.15
Market Capitalization8.08 B19.03 B
Total Asset23.03 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings14.24 B9.33 B
Working Capital871.3 M1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 800 shares by Kelvin Westbrook of Mosaic at 27.325 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Mosaic Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Mosaic . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Mosaic Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell The Mosaic? Buying financial instruments such as Mosaic Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Mosaic in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Precious Metals ETFs Thematic Idea Now

Precious Metals ETFs
Precious Metals ETFs Theme
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Precious Metals ETFs theme has 28 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Precious Metals ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Mosaic Stock Analysis

When running Mosaic's price analysis, check to measure Mosaic's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mosaic is operating at the current time. Most of Mosaic's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mosaic's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mosaic's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mosaic to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.