The Mosaic Stock Market Outlook
| MOS Stock | USD 30.12 0.56 1.89% |
Slightly above 67 percent of all Mosaic's private investors are curious in acquiring. The analysis of overall sentiment of trading The Mosaic stock suggests that a large number of investors are confidant at this time. Mosaic's investing sentiment can be driven by a variety of factors including economic data, Mosaic's earnings reports, geopolitical events, and overall market trends.
Comfort Level 67
Interested
Panic | Confidence |
Today, several news technology companies offer sentiment data to assist traders in manufacturing news sentiment indicators for investment decisions. We partner with these technology firms in helping retail investors build forecasting models that use Mosaic's input sentiment indicators derived from textual data and news published on major financial information outlets and social sites. These indicators can be used to analyze time-dependent numerical information representing public perception toward The Mosaic.
News SentimentBullish | Hype SentimentBullish | Insider SentimentDisposing |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding The Mosaic is 'Cautious Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell The Mosaic given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for The Mosaic, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Execute Mosaic Advice
The Mosaic recommendation should be used to complement the investment advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on The Mosaic. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in The Mosaic or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Mosaic's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | Fair | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Tiny | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
For the selected time horizon The Mosaic has a Mean Deviation of 1.88, Semi Deviation of 2.39, Standard Deviation of 2.5, Variance of 6.25, Downside Variance of 6.33 and Semi Variance of 5.72Our trade recommendations module can be used to complement Mosaic advice provided by average analyst sentiment. It analyzes the firm's potential to grow using fundamental, technical, data market data available at the time. To make sure Mosaic is not overpriced, please verify all The Mosaic fundamentals, including its price to earning, book value per share, current asset, as well as the relationship between the net income and number of employees . Given that Mosaic has a price to earning of 19.24 X, we recommend you to check Mosaic market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.
Mosaic Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Mosaic has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 18th of December 2025 Mosaic paid $ 0.22 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Top Fertilizer Stocks To Watch Now February 4th |
Mosaic Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Mosaic's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Mosaic's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Mosaic daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use The Mosaic price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Mosaic returns is essential to provide solid investment analysis for Mosaic.
| Mean Return | 0.21 | Value At Risk | -4.97 | Potential Upside | 4.05 | Standard Deviation | 2.50 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Mosaic historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Mosaic Stock Institutional Investors
The Mosaic's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Mosaic's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
| Shares | Norges Bank | 2025-06-30 | 4.3 M | Bank Of America Corp | 2025-06-30 | 4.1 M | Two Sigma Advisers, Llc | 2025-06-30 | 3.8 M | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2025-06-30 | 3.8 M | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2025-06-30 | 3.7 M | Ubs Group Ag | 2025-06-30 | 3.6 M | Amundi | 2025-06-30 | 3.1 M | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2025-06-30 | 3.1 M | Deutsche Bank Ag | 2025-06-30 | 3.1 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2025-06-30 | 38.5 M | Blackrock Inc | 2025-06-30 | 25 M |
Mosaic Cash Flow Accounts
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (1.1B) | (749.6M) | 1.1B | (275.6M) | (248.0M) | (235.6M) | |
| Change In Cash | 191.9M | (32.2M) | (393.3M) | (55.8M) | (50.2M) | (47.7M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 898.4M | 2.7B | 1.0B | 47.4M | 54.5M | 51.8M | |
| Depreciation | 810.1M | 933.9M | 960.6M | 1.0B | 1.2B | 1.2B | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 243.4M | 7.9M | 103.4M | 1.2B | 1.4B | 1.4B | |
| Capital Expenditures | 1.3B | 1.2B | 1.4B | 1.3B | 1.4B | 1.5B | |
| Net Income | 1.6B | 3.6B | 1.2B | 202M | 232.3M | 220.7M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 786.3M | 754.1M | 360.8M | 305M | 350.8M | 333.2M | |
| Dividends Paid | 103.7M | 197.7M | (351.6M) | (270.7M) | (311.3M) | (295.7M) | |
| Investments | (2.4M) | (1.3B) | (1.3B) | (1.3B) | (1.1B) | (1.1B) | |
| Net Borrowings | (336.9M) | (407.1M) | 79.8M | 256.3M | 230.7M | 242.2M | |
| Change To Netincome | 376.4M | (447M) | 556.4M | 350.6M | 403.2M | 234.8M |
Mosaic Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Mosaic or Chemicals sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Mosaic's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Mosaic stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.70 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.48 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Mosaic Volatility Alert
The Mosaic currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.04 and Jensen Alpha of 0.14. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Mosaic's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Mosaic's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Mosaic Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Mosaic's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Mosaic's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Mosaic and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Mosaic or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Mosaic's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mosaic by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Mosaic to competition |
| Fundamentals | Mosaic | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.1 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0286 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.10 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.12 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 13.73 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 317.41 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.46 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 96.90 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 15.52 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 19.24 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.71 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.76 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 11.12 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 1.86 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 1.57 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 202 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 272.8 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 2.43 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 4.45 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.35 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.30 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 40.27 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 1.3 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.14 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 3.86 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.24 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 32.27 | |
| Number Of Employees | 13.77 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.96 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 9.08 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 22.92 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 13.93 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 327 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 4609 shares by Teixeira Joao Roberto Goncalves of Mosaic subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Mosaic Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Mosaic . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 112537.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.9032 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
| Day Median Price | 29.9 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 29.97 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.5 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.56 |
Mosaic Target Price Consensus
Mosaic target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Mosaic's target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
| 20 | Buy |
Most Mosaic analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand Mosaic stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of Mosaic, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice Exposure ValuationMosaic Target Price Projection
Mosaic's current and average target prices are 30.12 and 32.27, respectively. The current price of Mosaic is the price at which The Mosaic is currently trading. On the other hand, Mosaic's target price is what analysts think the stock is worth. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.Target Price
Analyst Consensus On Mosaic Target Price
Mosaic Analyst Ratings
Mosaic's analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Mosaic stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Mosaic's financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Mosaic's historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.Analyst Consensus Breakdown
Average Consensus Estimates
About Mosaic Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell The Mosaic? Buying financial instruments such as Mosaic Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Additional Tools for Mosaic Stock Analysis
When running Mosaic's price analysis, check to measure Mosaic's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mosaic is operating at the current time. Most of Mosaic's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mosaic's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mosaic's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mosaic to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.