Movida Participaes (Brazil) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

MOVI3 Stock  BRL 6.85  0.13  1.86%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your slightly conservative level of risk, our recommendation regarding Movida Participaes SA is 'Strong Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Movida Participaes SA given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Movida Participaes. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Movida Participaes SA, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Movida Participaes Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Movida and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Movida Participaes SA. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute Movida Participaes Buy or Sell Advice

The Movida recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Movida Participaes SA. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Movida Participaes SA or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Movida Participaes' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Movida ParticipaesBuy Movida Participaes
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Slightly riskyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Movida Participaes SA has a Mean Deviation of 2.55, Standard Deviation of 3.46 and Variance of 11.99
We provide investment recommendation to complement the last-minute expert consensus on Movida Participaes SA. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the entity's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Movida Participaes is not overpriced, please verify all Movida Participaes SA fundamentals, including its gross profit, net income, and the relationship between the revenue and ebitda .

Movida Participaes Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Movida Participaes generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Movida Participaes has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Movida Participaes has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Movida Participaes SA has accumulated 14.01 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 136.6, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Movida Participaes has a current ratio of 0.85, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Movida Participaes until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Movida Participaes' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Movida Participaes sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Movida to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Movida Participaes' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Movida Participaes SA has accumulated about 110.14 M in cash with (8.27 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.1.
Roughly 65.0% of Movida Participaes outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Movida Participaes Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Movida Participaes' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Movida Participaes' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Movida Participaes daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Movida Participaes SA price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Movida Participaes returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Movida Participaes.
Mean Return
-0.04
Value At Risk
-4.95
Potential Upside
4.80
Standard Deviation
3.46
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Movida Participaes historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Movida Participaes Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Movida Participaes or Road & Rail sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Movida Participaes' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Movida stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.10
σ
Overall volatility
3.49
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Movida Participaes Volatility Alert

Movida Participaes SA exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.98 and kurtosis of 2.23. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Movida Participaes' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Movida Participaes' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Movida Participaes Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Movida Participaes' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Movida Participaes' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Movida Participaes and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Movida Participaes or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Movida Participaes' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Movida Participaes by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Movida Participaes to competition
FundamentalsMovida ParticipaesPeer Average
Return On Equity0.27-0.31
Return On Asset0.069-0.14
Profit Margin0.09 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.29 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation14.52 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding361.65 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders65.00 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions15.63 %39.21 %
Price To Earning14.75 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.96 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.27 X11.42 X
Revenue5.33 B9.43 B
Gross Profit2.39 B27.38 B
EBITDA2.35 B3.9 B
Net Income819.44 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents110.14 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share3.10 X5.01 X
Total Debt14.01 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity136.60 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.87 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share7.68 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(8.27 B)971.22 M
Earnings Per Share2.41 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.50 X4.89 X
Target Price15.75
Number Of Employees1018.84 K
Beta0.8-0.15
Market Capitalization2.39 B19.03 B
Total Asset21.72 B29.47 B
Annual Yield0.11 %
Net Asset21.72 B
Last Dividend Paid1.42

Movida Participaes Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Movida . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Movida Participaes Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Movida Participaes SA? Buying financial instruments such as Movida Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Additional Tools for Movida Stock Analysis

When running Movida Participaes' price analysis, check to measure Movida Participaes' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Movida Participaes is operating at the current time. Most of Movida Participaes' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Movida Participaes' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Movida Participaes' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Movida Participaes to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.