Morgan Stanley Stock Market Outlook

MS Stock  USD 171.15  3.09  1.84%   
Slightly above 58% of all Morgan Stanley's private investors are looking to take a long position. The analysis of the overall prospects from investing in Morgan Stanley suggests that some traders are, at the present time, interested. Morgan Stanley's investing sentiment can be driven by a variety of factors including economic data, Morgan Stanley's earnings reports, geopolitical events, and overall market trends.

Comfort Level 58

 Interested

 
Panic
 
Confidence
Today, several news technology companies offer sentiment data to assist traders in manufacturing news sentiment indicators for investment decisions. We partner with these technology firms in helping retail investors build forecasting models that use Morgan Stanley's input sentiment indicators derived from textual data and news published on major financial information outlets and social sites. These indicators can be used to analyze time-dependent numerical information representing public perception toward Morgan Stanley.
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding Morgan Stanley is 'Strong Buy'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Morgan Stanley given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Morgan Stanley, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.

Execute Morgan Stanley Advice

The Morgan recommendation should be used to complement the investment advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Morgan Stanley. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Morgan Stanley or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Morgan Stanley's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Morgan StanleyBuy Morgan Stanley
Strong Buy

Market Performance

MildDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

TinyDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Morgan Stanley has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0416, Jensen Alpha of (0.02), Total Risk Alpha of (0.06), Sortino Ratio of 0.0047 and Treynor Ratio of 0.0459
Macroaxis provides trade recommendations on Morgan Stanley to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Morgan Stanley. Our advice engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Morgan Stanley is not overpriced, please verify all Morgan Stanley fundamentals, including its debt to equity, and the relationship between the gross profit and price to earnings to growth . Given that Morgan Stanley has a price to earning of 13.51 X, we recommend you to check Morgan Stanley market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Morgan Stanley Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Morgan Stanley has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 62.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 13th of February 2026 Morgan Stanley paid $ 1.0 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Versor Investments LP Acquires New Stake in Moelis Company MC

Morgan Stanley Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Morgan Stanley's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Morgan Stanley's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Morgan Stanley daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Morgan Stanley price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Morgan Stanley returns is essential to provide solid investment analysis for Morgan Stanley.
Mean Return
0.08
Value At Risk
-2.54
Potential Upside
2.55
Standard Deviation
1.75
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Morgan Stanley historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Morgan Stock Institutional Investors

The Morgan Stanley's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Morgan Stanley's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Bank Of America Corp2025-06-30
17.1 M
Norges Bank2025-06-30
15.9 M
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2025-06-30
15.8 M
Massachusetts Financial Services Company2025-06-30
13.7 M
Northern Trust Corp2025-06-30
13.7 M
Ameriprise Financial Inc2025-06-30
13.4 M
T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc.2025-06-30
12.2 M
Ubs Asset Mgmt Americas Inc2025-06-30
11.2 M
Ubs Group Ag2025-06-30
11.1 M
Mitsubishi Ufj Financial Group Inc Junk2025-06-30
377.1 M
Vanguard Group Inc2025-06-30
119.1 M
Note, although Morgan Stanley's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Morgan Stanley Cash Flow Accounts

202120222023202420252026 (projected)
Change In Cash22.1B402M(38.9B)16.2B18.6B19.5B
Free Cash Flow31.7B(9.5B)(36.9B)(2.1B)(2.4B)(2.5B)
Other Non Cash Items(143M)898M983M268M308.2M323.6M
Dividends Paid4.2B5.4B(5.8B)(6.1B)(5.5B)(5.2B)
Capital Expenditures2.3B3.1B3.4B3.5B4.0B4.2B
End Period Cash Flow127.7B128.1B89.2B105.4B121.2B127.3B
Depreciation4.2B4.0B4.3B5.2B5.9B6.2B
Change To Inventory14.7B(31.6B)7.8B3.3B3.0B3.1B
Investments(8.0B)(8.2B)(3.1B)(29.5B)(33.9B)(35.6B)
Change Receivables233M(29.8B)774M14.7B16.9B17.7B
Net Borrowings19.5B37.6B13.6B28.1B32.4B34.0B
Change To Netincome1.1B1.3B2.0B1.6B1.9B1.8B

Morgan Stanley Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Morgan Stanley or Capital Markets sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Morgan Stanley's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Morgan stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.49
σ
Overall volatility
1.71
Ir
Information ratio 0

Morgan Stanley Volatility Alert

Morgan Stanley has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.05 and kurtosis of 1.3. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Morgan Stanley's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Morgan Stanley's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Morgan Stanley Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Morgan Stanley's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Morgan Stanley's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Morgan Stanley and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Morgan Stanley or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Morgan Stanley's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Morgan Stanley by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Morgan Stanley to competition
FundamentalsMorgan StanleyPeer Average
Return On Equity0.16-0.31
Return On Asset0.0125-0.14
Profit Margin0.24 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.39 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation178.02 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding1.58 B571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders24.04 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions62.04 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted14.1 M4.71 M
Price To Earning13.51 X28.72 X
Price To Book2.70 X9.51 X
Price To Sales3.87 X11.42 X
Revenue116.11 B9.43 B
Gross Profit61.2 B27.38 B
EBITDA26.56 B3.9 B
Net Income13.53 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents100.95 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share325.70 X5.01 X
Total Debt360.49 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity3.42 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.00 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share62.98 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations1.36 B971.22 M
Short Ratio2.11 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share10.22 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.95 X4.89 X
Target Price195.52
Number Of Employees82.99 K18.84 K
Beta1.18-0.15
Market Capitalization272.01 B19.03 B
Total Asset1.22 T29.47 B
Retained Earnings104.99 B9.33 B
Annual Yield0.02 %
Note: Disposition of 1835 shares by Eric Grossman of Morgan Stanley subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Morgan Stanley Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Morgan . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

Morgan Stanley Target Price Consensus

Morgan target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Morgan Stanley's target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
   24  Buy
Most Morgan analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand Morgan stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of Morgan Stanley, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice   Exposure   Valuation

Morgan Stanley Target Price Projection

Morgan Stanley's current and average target prices are 171.15 and 195.52, respectively. The current price of Morgan Stanley is the price at which Morgan Stanley is currently trading. On the other hand, Morgan Stanley's target price is what analysts think the stock is worth. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.

Current Price

Morgan Stanley Market Quote on 15th of February 2026

Low Price163.59Odds
High Price171.49Odds

171.15

Target Price

Analyst Consensus On Morgan Stanley Target Price

Low Estimate177.93Odds
High Estimate217.03Odds

195.5238

Historical Lowest Forecast  177.93 Target Price  195.52 Highest Forecast  217.03
Note that most analysts generally publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with recommendations for the company's stock.Although price targets are often quoted in the financial news media, there could be a delay between the publication of the latest analyst outlook on Morgan Stanley and the information provided on this page.

Morgan Stanley Analyst Ratings

Morgan Stanley's analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Morgan Stanley stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Morgan Stanley's financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Morgan Stanley's historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.

Analyst Consensus Breakdown

Average Consensus Estimates

About Morgan Stanley Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Morgan Stanley? Buying financial instruments such as Morgan Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Morgan Stanley in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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FinTech
FinTech Theme
High long term potential financial entities that are ranging from payment processing, investment management to commercial and investment banking. The FinTech theme has 81 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize FinTech Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Morgan Stock Analysis

When running Morgan Stanley's price analysis, check to measure Morgan Stanley's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Morgan Stanley is operating at the current time. Most of Morgan Stanley's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Morgan Stanley's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Morgan Stanley's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Morgan Stanley to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.