Morgan Stanley Stock Technical Analysis
| MS Stock | USD 182.80 1.40 0.77% |
As of the 1st of February, Morgan Stanley secures the Downside Deviation of 1.39, mean deviation of 1.13, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0882. In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of Morgan Stanley, as well as the relationship between them. Please verify Morgan Stanley variance and potential upside to decide if Morgan Stanley is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its recent price of 182.8 per share. Given that Morgan Stanley has jensen alpha of 0.1146, we recommend you to check Morgan Stanley's last-minute market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.
Morgan Stanley Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Morgan, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to MorganMorgan Stanley's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Morgan Stanley Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Advice | # of Analysts | |
| 195.38 | Buy | 24 | Odds |
Most Morgan analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Morgan stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Morgan Stanley, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Morgan conference calls.
Is there potential for Investment Banking & Brokerage market expansion? Will Morgan introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Morgan Stanley. Expected growth trajectory for Morgan significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Morgan Stanley listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.207 | Dividend Share 3.925 | Earnings Share 10.24 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.11 |
Investors evaluate Morgan Stanley using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Morgan Stanley's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Morgan Stanley's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Morgan Stanley's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Morgan Stanley represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, Morgan Stanley's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.
Morgan Stanley 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Morgan Stanley's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Morgan Stanley.
| 11/03/2025 |
| 02/01/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Morgan Stanley on November 3, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Morgan Stanley or generate 0.0% return on investment in Morgan Stanley over 90 days. Morgan Stanley is related to or competes with Goldman Sachs, Riot Blockchain, Marathon Digital, Applied Digital, Hut 8, CleanSpark, and Bit Digital. Morgan Stanley, a financial holding company, provides various financial products and services to corporations, governmen... More
Morgan Stanley Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Morgan Stanley's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Morgan Stanley upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.39 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0853 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.47 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.21) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.55 |
Morgan Stanley Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Morgan Stanley's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Morgan Stanley's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Morgan Stanley historical prices to predict the future Morgan Stanley's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0882 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1146 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0913 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0933 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1146 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Morgan Stanley's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Morgan Stanley February 1, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0882 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1246 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.13 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.24 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.39 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 871.44 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.52 | |||
| Variance | 2.32 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0853 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1146 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0913 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0933 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1146 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.47 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.21) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.55 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.94 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.53 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.23) | |||
| Skewness | 0.5055 | |||
| Kurtosis | 2.1 |
Morgan Stanley Backtested Returns
Morgan Stanley appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Morgan Stanley has Sharpe Ratio of 0.13, which conveys that the firm had a 0.13 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Morgan Stanley, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please exercise Morgan Stanley's Mean Deviation of 1.13, risk adjusted performance of 0.0882, and Downside Deviation of 1.39 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Morgan Stanley holds a performance score of 10. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.44, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Morgan Stanley will likely underperform. Please check Morgan Stanley's potential upside, as well as the relationship between the accumulation distribution and price action indicator , to make a quick decision on whether Morgan Stanley's current price movements will revert.
Auto-correlation | -0.07 |
Very weak reverse predictability
Morgan Stanley has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Morgan Stanley time series from 3rd of November 2025 to 18th of December 2025 and 18th of December 2025 to 1st of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Morgan Stanley price movement. The serial correlation of -0.07 indicates that barely 7.0% of current Morgan Stanley price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.07 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.12 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 13.43 |
Morgan Stanley technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Morgan Stanley Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Morgan Stanley volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About Morgan Stanley Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Morgan Stanley on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Morgan Stanley based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Morgan Stanley price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Morgan Stanley. By analyzing Morgan Stanley's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Morgan Stanley's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Morgan Stanley specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.038 | 0.0307 | 0.0217 | 0.0386 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.72 | 1.94 | 2.4 | 2.52 |
Morgan Stanley February 1, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Morgan help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Morgan from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Morgan charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0882 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1246 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.13 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.24 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.39 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 871.44 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.52 | |||
| Variance | 2.32 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0853 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1146 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0913 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0933 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.1146 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.47 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.21) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.55 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.94 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.53 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.23) | |||
| Skewness | 0.5055 | |||
| Kurtosis | 2.1 |
Morgan Stanley February 1, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Morgan stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.02 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.45 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | ||
| Day Median Price | 181.58 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 181.99 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 1.92 | ||
| Market Facilitation Index | 3.14 |
Additional Tools for Morgan Stock Analysis
When running Morgan Stanley's price analysis, check to measure Morgan Stanley's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Morgan Stanley is operating at the current time. Most of Morgan Stanley's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Morgan Stanley's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Morgan Stanley's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Morgan Stanley to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.