Macom Technology Solutions Stock Market Outlook

MTSI Stock  USD 244.16  5.17  2.16%   
Under 69 percent of all MACOM Technology's traders are curious in acquiring. The analysis of overall sentiment of trading MACOM Technology Solutions stock suggests that a large number of investors are confidant at this time. MACOM Technology's investing sentiment shows overall attitude of investors towards MACOM Technology Solutions.

Comfort Level 69

 Interested

 
Panic
 
Confidence
Today, several news technology companies offer sentiment data to assist traders in manufacturing news sentiment indicators for investment decisions. We partner with these technology firms in helping retail investors build forecasting models that use MACOM Technology's input sentiment indicators derived from textual data and news published on major financial information outlets and social sites. These indicators can be used to analyze time-dependent numerical information representing public perception toward MACOM Technology Solutions.
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding MACOM Technology Solutions is 'Strong Buy'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of MACOM Technology's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.

Execute MACOM Technology Advice

The MACOM recommendation should be used to complement the investment advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on MACOM Technology Solutions. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in MACOM Technology Solutions or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute MACOM Technology's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell MACOM TechnologyBuy MACOM Technology
Strong Buy

Market Performance

SolidDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

TinyDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon MACOM Technology Solutions has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1434, Jensen Alpha of 0.4689, Total Risk Alpha of 0.2825, Sortino Ratio of 0.1632 and Treynor Ratio of 0.6997
Macroaxis provides trade advice on MACOM Technology Solutions to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on MACOM Technology. Our advice engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure MACOM Technology Sol is not overpriced, please verify all MACOM Technology Solutions fundamentals, including its cash per share, number of employees, and the relationship between the revenue and cash flow from operations . Given that MACOM Technology Sol has a price to earning of 11.17 X, we recommend you to check MACOM Technology market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the future given your latest risk tolerance and investing horizon.

MACOM Technology Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

MACOM Technology Sol appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
MACOM Technology Sol is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 967.26 M. Net Loss for the year was (54.21 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 563.67 M.
Over 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from accessnewswire.com: CSPi Reports 14.6 percent Services Revenue Growth, Significantly Expands Gross Margin and Generates FY 2026 First Quarter Profit

MACOM Technology Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of MACOM Technology's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of MACOM Technology's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of MACOM Technology daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use MACOM Technology Solutions price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of MACOM Technology returns is essential to provide solid investment analysis for MACOM Technology.
Mean Return
0.52
Value At Risk
-4.73
Potential Upside
4.87
Standard Deviation
3.10
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of MACOM Technology historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

MACOM Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Alliancebernstein L.p.2025-06-30
1.3 M
Gw&k Investment Management, Llc2025-06-30
1.2 M
Geode Capital Management, Llc2025-06-30
1.2 M
Millennium Management Llc2025-06-30
1.1 M
Point72 Asset Management, L.p.2025-06-30
M
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2025-06-30
977.4 K
Polar Capital Holdings Plc2025-06-30
930.6 K
Neuberger Berman Group Llc2025-06-30
887.2 K
Macquarie Group Ltd2025-06-30
836 K
Vanguard Group Inc2025-06-30
6.7 M
Blackrock Inc2025-06-30
5.8 M
Note, although MACOM Technology's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

MACOM Technology Cash Flow Accounts

202120222023202420252026 (projected)
Change To Inventory(32.3M)(10.6M)(30.2M)(26.6M)(23.9M)(22.7M)
Change In Cash(36.6M)54M(27.1M)(34.7M)(31.2M)(29.6M)
Free Cash Flow150.5M142.2M140.2M192.8M221.7M232.8M
Depreciation57.2M52.2M67.2M63.3M72.8M60.2M
Other Non Cash Items(114.3M)(6.9M)(1.0M)175.3M201.6M211.7M
Capital Expenditures26.5M24.7M22.4M42.6M48.9M27.1M
Net Income440.0M91.6M76.9M(54.2M)(62.3M)(59.2M)
End Period Cash Flow120.0M174.0M146.8M112.1M129.0M132.5M
Dividends Paid4.6M1.0M8.1M5.6M5.0M4.8M
Net Borrowings(957K)(122.0M)(1.4M)114.1M102.7M107.8M
Change To Netincome59.1M52.3M(273.5M)49.0M44.1M22.2M
Investments(156.4M)36.3M(181.1M)(328.3M)(295.4M)(280.7M)

MACOM Technology Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to MACOM Technology or Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that MACOM Technology's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a MACOM stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.47
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.73
σ
Overall volatility
3.07
Ir
Information ratio 0.15

MACOM Technology Volatility Alert

MACOM Technology Solutions currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.15 and Jensen Alpha of 0.47. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure MACOM Technology's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact MACOM Technology's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

MACOM Technology Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing MACOM Technology's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze MACOM Technology's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between MACOM Technology and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as MACOM Technology or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of MACOM Technology's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing MACOM Technology by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare MACOM Technology to competition
FundamentalsMACOM TechnologyPeer Average
Return On Equity0.13-0.31
Return On Asset0.0492-0.14
Profit Margin0.16 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.16 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation18.08 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding75.01 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders10.96 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions95.39 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted3.48 M4.71 M
Price To Earning11.17 X28.72 X
Price To Book13.54 X9.51 X
Price To Sales17.94 X11.42 X
Revenue967.26 M9.43 B
Gross Profit563.67 M27.38 B
EBITDA39.79 M3.9 B
Net Income(54.21 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents586.53 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share8.38 X5.01 X
Total Debt537.99 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.72 %48.70 %
Current Ratio8.36 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share18.04 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations235.37 M971.22 M
Short Ratio2.40 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share2.22 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.83 X4.89 X
Target Price255.73
Number Of Employees2 K18.84 K
Beta1.43-0.15
Market Capitalization18.31 B19.03 B
Total Asset2.1 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(240.06 M)9.33 B
Working Capital879.97 M1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 454 shares by Wayne Struble of MACOM Technology at 170.03 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

MACOM Technology Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as MACOM . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

MACOM Technology Target Price Consensus

MACOM target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. MACOM Technology's target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
   16  Strong Buy
Most MACOM analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand MACOM stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of MACOM Technology Sol, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice   Exposure   Valuation

MACOM Technology Target Price Projection

MACOM Technology's current and average target prices are 244.16 and 255.73, respectively. The current price of MACOM Technology is the price at which MACOM Technology Solutions is currently trading. On the other hand, MACOM Technology's target price is what analysts think the stock is worth. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.

Current Price

MACOM Technology Market Quote on 17th of February 2026

Low Price233.52Odds
High Price245.47Odds

244.16

Target Price

Analyst Consensus On MACOM Technology Target Price

Low Estimate232.72Odds
High Estimate283.86Odds

255.7333

Historical Lowest Forecast  232.72 Target Price  255.73 Highest Forecast  283.86
Note that most analysts generally publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with recommendations for the company's stock.Although price targets are often quoted in the financial news media, there could be a delay between the publication of the latest analyst outlook on MACOM Technology Solutions and the information provided on this page.

MACOM Technology Analyst Ratings

MACOM Technology's analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about MACOM Technology stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of MACOM Technology's financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. MACOM Technology's historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.

Analyst Consensus Breakdown

Average Consensus Estimates

About MACOM Technology Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell MACOM Technology Solutions? Buying financial instruments such as MACOM Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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When determining whether MACOM Technology Sol offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of MACOM Technology's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Macom Technology Solutions Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Macom Technology Solutions Stock:
Check out MACOM Technology Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.
Is there potential for Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment market expansion? Will MACOM introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of MACOM Technology. Expected growth trajectory for MACOM significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about MACOM Technology listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.544
Earnings Share
2.22
Revenue Per Share
13.702
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.245
Return On Assets
0.0492
Investors evaluate MACOM Technology Sol using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating MACOM Technology's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause MACOM Technology's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that MACOM Technology's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether MACOM Technology represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, MACOM Technology's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.