Macom Technology Solutions Stock Price Prediction
| MTSI Stock | USD 145.41 2.64 1.85% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
43
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.141 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.75 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.4307 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.0122 | Wall Street Target Price 147.4615 |
Using MACOM Technology hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of MACOM Technology Solutions from the perspective of MACOM Technology response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards MACOM Technology using MACOM Technology's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards MACOM using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of MACOM Technology's stock price.
MACOM Technology Implied Volatility | 0.67 |
MACOM Technology's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of MACOM Technology Solutions stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if MACOM Technology's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that MACOM Technology stock will not fluctuate a lot when MACOM Technology's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in MACOM Technology to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying MACOM because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
MACOM Technology after-hype prediction price | USD 144.87 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current MACOM contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that MACOM Technology Solutions will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0419% per day over the life of the 2025-02-21 option contract. With MACOM Technology trading at USD 145.41, that is roughly USD 0.0609 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating MACOM Technology's daily price movement you should consider acquiring MACOM Technology Solutions options at the current volatility level of 0.67%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
MACOM |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of MACOM Technology's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
MACOM Technology After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of MACOM Technology at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in MACOM Technology or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of MACOM Technology, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
MACOM Technology Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting MACOM Technology's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on MACOM Technology's historical news coverage. MACOM Technology's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 141.97 and 147.77, respectively. We have considered MACOM Technology's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
MACOM Technology is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of MACOM Technology Sol is based on 3 months time horizon.
MACOM Technology Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as MACOM Technology is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading MACOM Technology backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with MACOM Technology, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.44 | 2.90 | 0.54 | 0.14 | 11 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
145.41 | 144.87 | 0.37 |
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MACOM Technology Hype Timeline
MACOM Technology Sol is now traded for 145.41. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.54, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.14. MACOM is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 144.87. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.37%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.44%. The volatility of related hype on MACOM Technology is about 903.68%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 145.55. About 18.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.83. MACOM Technology Sol had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 11 days. Check out MACOM Technology Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.MACOM Technology Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to MACOM Technology's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict MACOM Technology's future price movements. Getting to know how MACOM Technology's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how MACOM Technology may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| POWI | Power Integrations | (0.12) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 2.95 | (3.51) | 10.93 | |
| DIOD | Diodes Incorporated | 0.11 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 3.87 | (4.41) | 13.33 | |
| CRUS | Cirrus Logic | 1.73 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.65 | (4.01) | 10.09 | |
| AMKR | Amkor Technology | (0.17) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 3.20 | (4.44) | 7.97 | |
| SLAB | Silicon Laboratories | 4.20 | 10 per month | 2.52 | 0.08 | 5.45 | (4.19) | 15.52 | |
| FORM | FormFactor | (0.15) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.73 | (5.10) | 15.80 | |
| SIMO | Silicon Motion Technology | 0.21 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.71 | (4.30) | 14.21 | |
| SMTC | Semtech | (0.43) | 9 per month | 2.69 | 0.18 | 6.81 | (4.94) | 23.48 | |
| SGH | SGH Old | 0.32 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 4.26 | (6.44) | 13.97 | |
| AOSL | Alpha and Omega | (1.74) | 7 per month | 5.59 | 0.03 | 9.01 | (7.36) | 44.57 | |
| LSCC | Lattice Semiconductor | (0.43) | 10 per month | 2.59 | 0.05 | 5.11 | (4.15) | 12.76 |
MACOM Technology Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine MACOM price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for MACOM using various technical indicators. When you analyze MACOM charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About MACOM Technology Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of MACOM Technology stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as MACOM Technology Solutions, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of MACOM Technology based on analysis of MACOM Technology hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to MACOM Technology's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to MACOM Technology's related companies. | 2010 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.001612 | 2.53 | 2.66 | Price To Sales Ratio | 7.37 | 5.35 | 2.99 |
Story Coverage note for MACOM Technology
The number of cover stories for MACOM Technology depends on current market conditions and MACOM Technology's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that MACOM Technology is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about MACOM Technology's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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MACOM Technology Short Properties
MACOM Technology's future price predictability will typically decrease when MACOM Technology's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of MACOM Technology Solutions often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential MACOM Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MACOM Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 73.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 581.9 M |
Complementary Tools for MACOM Stock analysis
When running MACOM Technology's price analysis, check to measure MACOM Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MACOM Technology is operating at the current time. Most of MACOM Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MACOM Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MACOM Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MACOM Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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