Noodles Company Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

NDLS Stock  USD 0.69  0.06  8.00%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Noodles Company is 'Strong Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Noodles Company given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Noodles. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Noodles Company, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Noodles Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Noodles and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Noodles Company. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.

Execute Noodles Buy or Sell Advice

The Noodles recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Noodles Company. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Noodles Company or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Noodles' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell NoodlesBuy Noodles
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

DangerousDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Noodles Company has a Mean Deviation of 3.26, Standard Deviation of 4.57 and Variance of 20.89
We provide investment recommendation to complement the last-minute expert consensus on Noodles Company. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the entity's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Noodles Company is not overpriced, please verify all Noodles Company fundamentals, including its price to sales, book value per share, retained earnings, as well as the relationship between the cash and equivalents and target price . As Noodles Company appears to be a penny stock we also strongly suggest to check its price to earning numbers.

Noodles Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Noodles Company generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Noodles Company has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Noodles Company has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Noodles Company currently holds 300.41 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 7.43, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Noodles Company has a current ratio of 0.28, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Noodles' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 503.4 M. Net Loss for the year was (9.86 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 80.17 M.
Noodles Company has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 65.0% of Noodles shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from independent.co.uk: Noodles and wine are the secret ingredients for a strange new twist in Chinas doping saga

Noodles Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Noodles' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Noodles' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Noodles daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Noodles Company price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Noodles returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Noodles.
Mean Return
-1
Value At Risk
-8.43
Potential Upside
5.63
Standard Deviation
4.57
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Noodles historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Noodles Stock Institutional Investors

The Noodles' institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Noodles' securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-06-30
254.7 K
Jane Street Group Llc2024-06-30
174.9 K
Total Clarity Wealth Management, Inc2024-09-30
160.5 K
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2024-09-30
148.6 K
Amvescap Plc.2024-06-30
145.5 K
State Street Corp2024-06-30
138.8 K
Susquehanna International Group, Llp2024-06-30
134.6 K
Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
125.5 K
Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership2024-06-30
106.8 K
Mill Road Capital Management Llc2024-09-30
M
Nantahala Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
4.5 M
Note, although Noodles' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Noodles Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(625K)61K(382K)(743K)(303K)(318.2K)
Change In Cash5.8M(2.6M)(5.6M)(732K)1.5M1.6M
Free Cash Flow11.3M(2.7M)17.4M(24.3M)(24.5M)(23.3M)
Depreciation22.1M21.7M22.3M23.3M26.8M24.4M
Other Non Cash Items8.5M5.0M3.6M3.0M4.1M3.9M
Capital Expenditures18.8M11.8M18.8M33.9M52.0M28.3M
Net Income1.6M(23.3M)3.7M(3.3M)(9.9M)(10.3M)
End Period Cash Flow10.5M7.8M2.3M1.5M3.0M3.1M
Net Borrowings(4.9M)456K(21.6M)24.4M28.0M29.4M
Change To Netincome2.8M2.3M4.1M4.3M3.9M2.3M
Investments(18.4M)(10.9M)(18.4M)(32.3M)(48.0M)(45.6M)

Noodles Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Noodles or Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Noodles' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Noodles stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-1.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.91
σ
Overall volatility
4.75
Ir
Information ratio -0.25

Noodles Volatility Alert

Noodles Company exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.04 and kurtosis of 2.4. Noodles Company is a potential penny stock. Although Noodles may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny stocks are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Noodles Company. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on Noodles instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.

Noodles Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Noodles' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Noodles' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Noodles and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Noodles or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Noodles' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Noodles by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Noodles to competition
FundamentalsNoodlesPeer Average
Return On Equity-1.8-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0063-0.14
Profit Margin(0.07) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.02) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation319.92 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding45.68 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders10.81 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions64.60 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted499.08 K4.71 M
Price To Earning57.98 X28.72 X
Price To Book9.20 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.07 X11.42 X
Revenue503.4 M9.43 B
Gross Profit80.17 M27.38 B
EBITDA21.76 M3.9 B
Net Income(9.86 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents1.79 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.04 X5.01 X
Total Debt300.41 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity7.43 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.29 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share0.08 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations27.5 M971.22 M
Short Ratio3.40 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.71) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth(28.21) X4.89 X
Target Price3.0
Number Of Employees7 K18.84 K
Beta1.73-0.15
Market Capitalization34.36 M19.03 B
Total Asset368.1 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(148.24 M)9.33 B
Working Capital(44.89 M)1.48 B
Note: Insider Trading [view details]

Noodles Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Noodles . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Noodles Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Noodles Company? Buying financial instruments such as Noodles Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Noodles in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Target Outcome ETFs
Target Outcome ETFs Theme
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Target Outcome ETFs theme has 93 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Target Outcome ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Noodles Stock Analysis

When running Noodles' price analysis, check to measure Noodles' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Noodles is operating at the current time. Most of Noodles' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Noodles' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Noodles' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Noodles to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.