Newmarket Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

NEU Stock  USD 536.33  2.03  0.38%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding NewMarket is 'Strong Buy'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell NewMarket given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards NewMarket. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for NewMarket, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out NewMarket Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy NewMarket Stock please use our How to Invest in NewMarket guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as NewMarket and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. NewMarket. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in income.

Execute NewMarket Buy or Sell Advice

The NewMarket recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on NewMarket. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in NewMarket or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute NewMarket's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell NewMarketBuy NewMarket
Strong Buy

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong SellDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon NewMarket has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.01), Jensen Alpha of (0.18), Total Risk Alpha of (0.27) and Treynor Ratio of (0.04)
Macroaxis provides trade recommendations on NewMarket to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on NewMarket. Our advice engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure NewMarket is not overpriced, please verify all NewMarket fundamentals, including its ebitda, earnings per share, current liabilities, as well as the relationship between the debt to equity and market capitalization . Given that NewMarket has a price to earning of 13.63 X, we recommend you to check NewMarket market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

NewMarket Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

NewMarket generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 64.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 1st of October 2024 NewMarket paid $ 2.5 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from fool.com.au: My 2 best ASX growth shares to buy in November

NewMarket Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of NewMarket's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of NewMarket's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of NewMarket daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use NewMarket price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of NewMarket returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for NewMarket.
Mean Return
-0.04
Value At Risk
-1.93
Potential Upside
2.47
Standard Deviation
1.72
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of NewMarket historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

NewMarket Stock Institutional Investors

The NewMarket's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase NewMarket's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
First Trust Advisors L.p.2024-06-30
123.8 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-06-30
101.7 K
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-06-30
85.7 K
Norges Bank2024-06-30
79.9 K
Aqr Capital Management Llc2024-06-30
79.8 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-09-30
78.7 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
64.7 K
Davenport & Company Llc2024-09-30
51.8 K
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2024-06-30
49.9 K
Bank Of America Corp2024-06-30
1.1 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
722.4 K
Note, although NewMarket's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

NewMarket Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory31.9M(33.1M)(96.2M)(166.6M)192.5M202.1M
Change In Cash71.4M(19.2M)(41.9M)(14.6M)43.2M45.4M
Free Cash Flow284.6M190.8M86.4M59.1M528.5M555.0M
Depreciation87.6M84.0M84.3M82.3M78.0M49.4M
Other Non Cash Items(9.9M)(7.4M)(3.0M)774K(9.6M)(9.1M)
Dividends Paid81.7M83.4M85.9M84.3M85.0M79.4M
Capital Expenditures59.4M93.3M78.9M56.2M48.3M57.6M
Net Income254.3M270.6M190.9M279.5M388.9M408.3M
End Period Cash Flow144.4M125.2M83.3M68.7M111.9M77.5M
Change To Netincome(9.4M)(16.3M)(924K)(51.5M)(46.4M)(44.1M)
Change Receivables(22.6M)2.6M(54.0M)(73.1M)(65.8M)(62.5M)
Net Borrowings(123.5M)(44.7M)543.1M(144.1M)(165.7M)(157.4M)
Investments(59.4M)(74.2M)(382.5M)315.9M(50.6M)(53.1M)

NewMarket Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to NewMarket or Chemicals sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that NewMarket's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a NewMarket stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.34
σ
Overall volatility
1.73
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

NewMarket Volatility Alert

NewMarket exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 2.27 and kurtosis of 8.26. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure NewMarket's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact NewMarket's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

NewMarket Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing NewMarket's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze NewMarket's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between NewMarket and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as NewMarket or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of NewMarket's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing NewMarket by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare NewMarket to competition
FundamentalsNewMarketPeer Average
Return On Equity0.37-0.31
Return On Asset0.14-0.14
Profit Margin0.16 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.25 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation6.24 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding9.6 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders20.42 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions64.21 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted80.06 K4.71 M
Price To Earning13.63 X28.72 X
Price To Book3.79 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.85 X11.42 X
Revenue2.7 B9.43 B
Gross Profit640.5 M27.38 B
EBITDA483.05 M3.9 B
Net Income388.86 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents68.71 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share7.29 X5.01 X
Total Debt733.6 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.61 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.76 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share142.19 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations576.82 M971.22 M
Short Ratio3.34 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share45.05 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth5.09 X4.89 X
Target Price450.0
Number Of Employees2 K18.84 K
Beta0.51-0.15
Market Capitalization5.15 B19.03 B
Total Asset2.31 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings1.1 B9.33 B
Working Capital675.41 M1.48 B
Note: Acquisition by Thomas Gottwald of 198 shares of NewMarket subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

NewMarket Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as NewMarket . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About NewMarket Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell NewMarket? Buying financial instruments such as NewMarket Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having NewMarket in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Stores Thematic Idea Now

Stores
Stores Theme
Companies providing different types of retail and wholesale services. The Stores theme has 39 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Stores Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for NewMarket Stock Analysis

When running NewMarket's price analysis, check to measure NewMarket's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NewMarket is operating at the current time. Most of NewMarket's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NewMarket's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NewMarket's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NewMarket to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.