Newmarket Stock Performance

NEU Stock  USD 664.47  12.92  1.98%   
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.9, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. NewMarket returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, NewMarket is expected to follow. At this point, NewMarket has a negative expected return of -0.25%. Please make sure to verify NewMarket's value at risk, daily balance of power, as well as the relationship between the Daily Balance Of Power and price action indicator , to decide if NewMarket performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days NewMarket has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of unsteady performance in the last few months, the Stock's technical and fundamental indicators remain comparatively stable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The newest uproar may also be a sign of mid-term up-swing for the firm private investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
0.0645
Five Day Return
1.24
Year To Date Return
(5.26)
Ten Year Return
71.79
All Time Return
8.4 K
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0184
Payout Ratio
0.2942
Last Split Factor
1:5
Forward Dividend Rate
12
Dividend Date
2026-01-02
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Begin Period Cash Flow111.9 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-738.8 M

NewMarket Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  76,484  in NewMarket on October 31, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (11,329) from holding NewMarket or give up 14.81% of portfolio value over 90 days. NewMarket is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 1.7562% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 15% of stocks are less volatile than NewMarket, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon NewMarket is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.33 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.14 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

NewMarket Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of NewMarket Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 664.47 90 days 664.47 
under 95
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NewMarket to move above the current price in 90 days from now is under 95 (This NewMarket probability density function shows the probability of NewMarket Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon NewMarket has a beta of 0.9. This indicates NewMarket market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, NewMarket is expected to follow. Additionally NewMarket has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   NewMarket Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for NewMarket

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NewMarket. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of NewMarket's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
635.22636.98716.71
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
561.72563.48716.71
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
636.80638.56640.31
Details
0 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
409.50450.00499.50
Details

NewMarket Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NewMarket is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NewMarket's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NewMarket, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NewMarket within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.27
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.90
σ
Overall volatility
41.07
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

NewMarket Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NewMarket for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NewMarket can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NewMarket generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
NewMarket has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 67.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 2nd of January 2026 NewMarket paid $ 3.0 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Potential Upside For NewMarket Corporation Not Without Risk

NewMarket Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of NewMarket Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential NewMarket's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NewMarket's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding9.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments77.5 M

NewMarket Fundamentals Growth

NewMarket Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of NewMarket, and NewMarket fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on NewMarket Stock performance.

About NewMarket Performance

Assessing NewMarket's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into NewMarket's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the NewMarket is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 87.38  63.54 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.17  0.18 
Return On Capital Employed 0.19  0.14 
Return On Assets 0.13  0.08 
Return On Equity 0.28  0.22 

Things to note about NewMarket performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about NewMarket for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for NewMarket help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NewMarket generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
NewMarket has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 67.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 2nd of January 2026 NewMarket paid $ 3.0 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Potential Upside For NewMarket Corporation Not Without Risk
Evaluating NewMarket's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate NewMarket's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing NewMarket's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether NewMarket's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining NewMarket's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating NewMarket's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of NewMarket's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of NewMarket's stock. These opinions can provide insight into NewMarket's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating NewMarket's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact NewMarket's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for NewMarket Stock Analysis

When running NewMarket's price analysis, check to measure NewMarket's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NewMarket is operating at the current time. Most of NewMarket's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NewMarket's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NewMarket's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NewMarket to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.