National Healthcare Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| NHC Stock | USD 102.76 0.79 0.76% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding National HealthCare is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides National HealthCare buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding NHC positions.
Check out National HealthCare Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade National Stock refer to our How to Trade National Stock guide. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as National and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards National HealthCare. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in rate.
National |
Execute National HealthCare Buy or Sell Advice
The National recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on National HealthCare. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in National HealthCare or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute National HealthCare's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Sell | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
National HealthCare Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| National HealthCare generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| National HealthCare has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 61.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Disposition of 8000 shares by Timothy Shelly of National HealthCare at 94.1 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
National HealthCare Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of National HealthCare's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of National HealthCare's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of National HealthCare daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use National HealthCare price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of National HealthCare returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for National HealthCare.
| Mean Return | -0.38 | Value At Risk | -3.27 | Potential Upside | 2.15 | Standard Deviation | 1.65 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of National HealthCare historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
National HealthCare Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 97.5M | (38.8M) | (44.9M) | 51.1M | 46.0M | 48.3M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 181.4M | 23.0M | (21.5M) | 83.3M | 95.8M | 100.6M | |
| Depreciation | 42.0M | 40.7M | 40.5M | 42.0M | 48.3M | 25.7M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 17.0M | (73.0M) | 13.4M | (23.6M) | (21.2M) | (20.1M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 21.9M | 39.4M | 30.2M | 27.9M | 32.1M | 33.5M | |
| Net Income | 42.0M | 139.1M | 20.0M | 66.8M | 76.8M | 42.9M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 158.5M | 119.7M | 74.9M | 126.0M | 144.9M | 152.1M | |
| Change To Inventory | (1.2M) | 199K | 1.5M | (298K) | (342.7K) | (325.6K) | |
| Dividends Paid | 31.9M | 32.0M | 34.6M | 35.6M | 40.9M | 24.3M | |
| Investments | (89.4M) | (128.1M) | (6.0M) | (4.6M) | (4.1M) | (4.3M) | |
| Change Receivables | 4.3M | 4.5M | 4.1M | (3.9M) | (4.4M) | (4.7M) | |
| Net Borrowings | (45M) | (10M) | (4.4M) | (4.7M) | (4.2M) | (4.4M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 88K | (13.2M) | (89.4M) | 8.6M | 7.7M | 8.1M |
National HealthCare Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to National HealthCare or Health Care Providers & Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that National HealthCare's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a National stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.4 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.69 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.62 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.24 |
National HealthCare Volatility Alert
National HealthCare exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.54 and kurtosis of 0.93. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure National HealthCare's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact National HealthCare's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.National HealthCare Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing National HealthCare's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze National HealthCare's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between National HealthCare and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as National HealthCare or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of National HealthCare's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing National HealthCare by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare National HealthCare to competition |
| Fundamentals | National HealthCare | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.13 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0288 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.10 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.07 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 1.57 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 15.44 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 19.61 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 61.42 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 343.19 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 22.85 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.61 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.30 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 1.14 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 388.11 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 131.1 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 66.8 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 58.67 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 14.19 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 93.39 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.17 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.76 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 63.69 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 111.22 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 8.15 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 7.99 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 6.15 | |
| Number Of Employees | 13.12 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.43 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 1.9 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 1.31 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 687.6 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 191.76 M | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 164.61 M | 9.34 B |
Note: Disposition of 8000 shares by Timothy Shelly of National HealthCare at 94.1 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
National HealthCare Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as National . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0189 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.40) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 103.55 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 103.29 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 1.98 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.18) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.79) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 41.34 |
About National HealthCare Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell National HealthCare? Buying financial instruments such as National Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out National HealthCare Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade National Stock refer to our How to Trade National Stock guide.You can also try the Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.
Is Health Care Providers & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of National HealthCare. If investors know National will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about National HealthCare listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.021 | Dividend Share 2.4 | Earnings Share 7.99 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.179 |
The market value of National HealthCare is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of National that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of National HealthCare's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is National HealthCare's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because National HealthCare's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect National HealthCare's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between National HealthCare's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if National HealthCare is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, National HealthCare's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.