Northern Bear (UK) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| NTBR Stock | 53.50 0.50 0.93% |
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Northern Bear Plc is 'Strong Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Northern Bear Plc given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Northern Bear Plc, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out Northern Bear Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Northern and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Northern Bear Plc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
Northern |
Execute Northern Bear Buy or Sell Advice
The Northern recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Northern Bear Plc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Northern Bear Plc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Northern Bear's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Moves indifferently to market moves | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
Northern Bear Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Northern Bear Plc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 48.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Northern Bear Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Northern Bear's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Northern Bear's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Northern Bear daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Northern Bear Plc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Northern Bear returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Northern Bear.
| Mean Return | -0.19 | Value At Risk | -3.54 | Potential Upside | 1.80 | Standard Deviation | 1.53 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Northern Bear historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Northern Bear Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (275K) | 33K | (430K) | (40K) | (52K) | (54.6K) | |
| Change In Cash | 620K | (1.5M) | 1.1M | (83K) | (2.2M) | (2.1M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | (401K) | 2.2M | 248K | 1.1M | (1.3M) | (1.3M) | |
| Depreciation | 1.1M | 986K | 1.1M | 1.2M | 1.4M | 757.5K | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (963K) | 2.7M | 3.0M | 335K | 414K | 673.6K | |
| Capital Expenditures | 1.2M | 1.2M | 1.7M | 1.5M | 2M | 2.1M | |
| Net Income | 2.1M | (1.8M) | (1.3M) | 1.6M | 1.6M | 903.6K | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 3.7M | 2.1M | 3.2M | 3.2M | 978K | 1.0M | |
| Dividends Paid | 742K | 740K | 741K | 836K | 961.4K | 541.7K | |
| Net Borrowings | (1.8M) | 2.0M | (4.1M) | 316K | 284.4K | 298.6K | |
| Change To Netincome | (307K) | (374K) | 2.7M | 3.0M | 3.5M | 3.7M | |
| Investments | (1.4M) | (830K) | (1.2M) | (946K) | (1.2M) | (1.2M) |
Northern Bear Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Northern Bear or Household Durables sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Northern Bear's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Northern stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.2 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.65 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.17 |
Northern Bear Volatility Alert
Northern Bear Plc exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.28 and kurtosis of 8.2. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Northern Bear's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Northern Bear's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Northern Bear Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Northern Bear's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Northern Bear's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Northern Bear and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Northern Bear or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Northern Bear's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Northern Bear by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Northern Bear to competition |
| Fundamentals | Northern Bear | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0758 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0383 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.02 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.02 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 10.77 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 13.75 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 47.70 % | 10.09 % |
| Price To Book | 0.35 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.11 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 68.68 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 12.46 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 3.85 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 1.62 M | 570.98 M |
| Total Debt | 5.18 M | 5.32 B |
| Book Value Per Share | 1.47 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 683 K | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.11 X | 3.12 X |
| Number Of Employees | 411 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.48 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 7.36 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 39.35 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 5.19 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 2 M | 1.48 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.08 % | |
| Net Asset | 39.35 M |
Northern Bear Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Northern . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 873.38 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.36) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 53.7 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 53.63 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.45) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.50) |
About Northern Bear Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Northern Bear Plc? Buying financial instruments such as Northern Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Northern Bear in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Office Supplies Thematic Idea Now
Office Supplies
Companies producing and selling office supplies, and accessories. The Office Supplies theme has 43 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Office Supplies Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Northern Stock Analysis
When running Northern Bear's price analysis, check to measure Northern Bear's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Northern Bear is operating at the current time. Most of Northern Bear's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Northern Bear's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Northern Bear's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Northern Bear to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.