Netgear Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

NTGR Stock  USD 27.76  1.27  4.79%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and complete risk avoidance on your part, our recommendation regarding NETGEAR is 'Cautious Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated analysis based on historical performance and your stated risk tolerance. It serves as guidance on whether to purchase or sell NETGEAR within the specified time frame.
  
Check out NETGEAR Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in NETGEAR Stock, please use our How to Invest in NETGEAR guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as NETGEAR and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. NETGEAR. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.

Execute NETGEAR Buy or Sell Advice

The NETGEAR recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on NETGEAR. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in NETGEAR or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute NETGEAR's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell NETGEARBuy NETGEAR
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon NETGEAR has a Mean Deviation of 1.84, Semi Deviation of 1.98, Standard Deviation of 2.37, Variance of 5.64, Downside Variance of 5.44 and Semi Variance of 3.93
Our advice module complements current analysts and expert consensus on NETGEAR. It analyzes the company potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available now. To make sure NETGEAR is not overpriced, please verify all NETGEAR fundamentals, including its gross profit, short ratio, current asset, as well as the relationship between the total debt and beta . Given that NETGEAR has a price to earning of 7.07 X, we recommend you to check NETGEAR market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself next year given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

NETGEAR Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 740.84 M. Net Loss for the year was (104.77 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 202.18 M.
NETGEAR has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 86.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Is It Time To Consider Buying NETGEAR, Inc. - Simply Wall St

NETGEAR Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of NETGEAR's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of NETGEAR's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of NETGEAR daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use NETGEAR price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of NETGEAR returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for NETGEAR.
Mean Return
0.38
Value At Risk
-3.05
Potential Upside
4.41
Standard Deviation
2.37
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of NETGEAR historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

NETGEAR Stock Institutional Investors

The NETGEAR's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase NETGEAR's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
D. E. Shaw & Co Lp2024-09-30
326.5 K
Donald Smith & Co Inc2024-09-30
306.8 K
Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership2024-09-30
298.2 K
Renaissance Technologies Corp2024-09-30
292 K
Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
274.9 K
Garnet Capital Holdings, Inc.2024-09-30
272 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
254.8 K
Aqr Capital Management Llc2024-09-30
186.4 K
Citadel Advisors Llc2024-09-30
184.3 K
Blackrock Inc2024-09-30
4.3 M
Brandes Investment Partners & Co2024-09-30
3.9 M
Note, although NETGEAR's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

NETGEAR Cash Flow Accounts

202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Change To Inventory55.5M(147.4M)12.4M47.6M42.8M45.0M
Capital Expenditures10.3M9.9M5.8M5.8M6.7M10.4M
End Period Cash Flow346.5M263.8M146.5M176.7M203.2M171.4M
Change In Cash156.3M(82.7M)(117.3M)30.2M27.2M28.6M
Free Cash Flow170.9M(14.4M)(19.5M)51.1M58.7M42.2M
Depreciation18.9M13.9M10.1M7.2M8.2M7.8M
Other Non Cash Items11.2M2.2M48.0M1.0M1.2M1.1M
Net Income58.3M49.4M(69.0M)(104.8M)(94.3M)(89.6M)
Change To Netincome31.7M32.4M32.7M43.9M50.5M53.0M
Investments(6.5M)(685K)(79.5M)2.1M1.9M2.7M
Change Receivables26.5M(59.9M)75.9M(16.3M)(18.8M)(19.7M)

NETGEAR Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to NETGEAR or Communications Equipment sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that NETGEAR's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a NETGEAR stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.36
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.20
σ
Overall volatility
2.35
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

NETGEAR Volatility Alert

NETGEAR currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.13 and Jensen Alpha of 0.36. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure NETGEAR's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact NETGEAR's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

NETGEAR Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing NETGEAR's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze NETGEAR's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between NETGEAR and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as NETGEAR or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of NETGEAR's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing NETGEAR by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare NETGEAR to competition
FundamentalsNETGEARPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0362-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0463-0.14
Profit Margin0.03 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.02) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation399.93 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding28.77 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders6.77 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions85.74 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted796.27 K4.71 M
Price To Earning7.07 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.38 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.13 X11.42 X
Revenue740.84 M9.43 B
Gross Profit202.18 M27.38 B
EBITDA(33.27 M)3.9 B
Net Income(104.77 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents233.2 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share8.07 X5.01 X
Total Debt41.57 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.05 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.51 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share19.13 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations56.85 M971.22 M
Short Ratio2.15 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.67 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth2.84 X4.89 X
Target Price22.0
Number Of Employees63818.84 K
Beta0.83-0.15
Market Capitalization766.72 M19.03 B
Total Asset847.14 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(432.32 M)9.33 B
Working Capital483.63 M1.48 B
Note: Acquisition by Michael Werdann of 6250 shares of NETGEAR subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

NETGEAR Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as NETGEAR . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About NETGEAR Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell NETGEAR? Buying financial instruments such as NETGEAR Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having NETGEAR in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Soft Drinks Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for NETGEAR Stock Analysis

When running NETGEAR's price analysis, check to measure NETGEAR's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NETGEAR is operating at the current time. Most of NETGEAR's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NETGEAR's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NETGEAR's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NETGEAR to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.