Netgear Stock Price Patterns
| NTGR Stock | USD 20.17 0.78 3.72% |
Momentum 25
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.69) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.01) | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.25 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.555 | Wall Street Target Price 39 |
Using NETGEAR hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of NETGEAR from the perspective of NETGEAR response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards NETGEAR using NETGEAR's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards NETGEAR using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of NETGEAR's stock price.
NETGEAR Short Interest
An investor who is long NETGEAR may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about NETGEAR and may potentially protect profits, hedge NETGEAR with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 27.3925 | Short Percent 0.0589 | Short Ratio 3.68 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.5 M | 50 Day MA 23.8402 |
NETGEAR Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to NETGEAR's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in NETGEAR. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding NETGEAR can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around NETGEAR. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of NETGEAR's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about NETGEAR.
NETGEAR Implied Volatility | 0.79 |
NETGEAR's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of NETGEAR stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if NETGEAR's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that NETGEAR stock will not fluctuate a lot when NETGEAR's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in NETGEAR to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying NETGEAR because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
NETGEAR after-hype prediction price | USD 20.01 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current NETGEAR contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that NETGEAR will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0494% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With NETGEAR trading at USD 20.17, that is roughly USD 0.009959 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating NETGEAR's daily price movement you should consider acquiring NETGEAR options at the current volatility level of 0.79%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out NETGEAR Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. NETGEAR After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of NETGEAR at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in NETGEAR or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of NETGEAR, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
NETGEAR Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting NETGEAR's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on NETGEAR's historical news coverage. NETGEAR's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.79 and 22.23, respectively. We have considered NETGEAR's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
NETGEAR is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of NETGEAR is based on 3 months time horizon.
NETGEAR Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as NETGEAR is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading NETGEAR backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with NETGEAR, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.60 | 2.23 | 0.17 | 0.01 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
20.17 | 20.01 | 0.79 |
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NETGEAR Hype Timeline
NETGEAR is now traded for 20.17. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.17, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. NETGEAR is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 20.01. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.79%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.6%. The volatility of related hype on NETGEAR is about 13937.5%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.16. About 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.17. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. NETGEAR has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.84. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.9. The firm had not issued any dividends in recent years. NETGEAR had 1612:1000 split on the 2nd of January 2019. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out NETGEAR Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.NETGEAR Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to NETGEAR's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict NETGEAR's future price movements. Getting to know how NETGEAR's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how NETGEAR may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ADTN | ADTRAN Inc | (0.16) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.76 | (4.26) | 24.26 | |
| GILT | Gilat Satellite Networks | 0.21 | 10 per month | 2.94 | 0.11 | 5.49 | (4.88) | 16.75 | |
| ITRN | Ituran Location and | (0.33) | 8 per month | 1.22 | 0.11 | 4.15 | (2.35) | 8.15 | |
| SCSC | ScanSource | 1.02 | 12 per month | 1.79 | 0.01 | 2.75 | (2.86) | 9.34 | |
| AIOT | PowerFleet | (0.1) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 4.91 | (3.52) | 13.44 | |
| ALNT | Allient | (0.27) | 10 per month | 2.45 | 0.06 | 4.95 | (4.40) | 11.43 | |
| SSYS | Stratasys | (0.87) | 9 per month | 2.53 | (0.01) | 4.15 | (4.13) | 19.51 | |
| DAKT | Daktronics | 0.57 | 10 per month | 2.09 | 0.11 | 3.59 | (2.85) | 24.79 | |
| HLIT | Harmonic | (0.22) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.24 | (3.80) | 11.35 | |
| CRSR | Corsair Gaming | (0.01) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 3.87 | (4.94) | 15.17 |
NETGEAR Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine NETGEAR price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for NETGEAR using various technical indicators. When you analyze NETGEAR charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About NETGEAR Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of NETGEAR stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as NETGEAR, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of NETGEAR based on analysis of NETGEAR hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to NETGEAR's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to NETGEAR's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 10.49 | 8.17 | 9.4 | 9.76 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 184.77 | 124.16 | 111.74 | 74.21 |
Pair Trading with NETGEAR
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if NETGEAR position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in NETGEAR will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against NETGEAR Stock
| 0.88 | OBYCF | Obayashi Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.82 | ET | Evertz Technologies | PairCorr |
| 0.82 | FMCB | Farmers Merchants Bancorp | PairCorr |
| 0.76 | BNKHF | BOC Hong Kong | PairCorr |
| 0.73 | NFPDF | Nissin Foods Holdings | PairCorr |
| 0.7 | MWE | MTI Wireless Edge | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to NETGEAR could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace NETGEAR when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back NETGEAR - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling NETGEAR to buy it.
The correlation of NETGEAR is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as NETGEAR moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if NETGEAR moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for NETGEAR can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for NETGEAR Stock Analysis
When running NETGEAR's price analysis, check to measure NETGEAR's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NETGEAR is operating at the current time. Most of NETGEAR's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NETGEAR's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NETGEAR's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NETGEAR to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.