Pan American Silver Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| PAAS Stock | CAD 32.00 0.64 2.04% |
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your slightly conservative level of risk, our recommendation regarding Pan American Silver is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Pan American's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Pan American Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Pan and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Pan American Silver. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
Pan |
Execute Pan American Buy or Sell Advice
The Pan recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Pan American Silver. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Pan American Silver or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Pan American's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Modest | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Moves indifferently to market moves | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
Pan American Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| The company reported the revenue of 2.32 B. Net Loss for the year was (104.9 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 319.27 M. | |
| About 62.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Pan American Silver Corp. A Top Silver Mining Stock to Buy Right Now - Insider Monkey |
Pan American Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Pan American's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Pan American's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Pan American daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Pan American Silver price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Pan American returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Pan American.
| Mean Return | 0.17 | Value At Risk | -3.85 | Potential Upside | 5.93 | Standard Deviation | 2.82 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Pan American historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Pan American Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 22.8M | (14.6M) | (82.9M) | (50.0M) | 38.5M | 40.4M | |
| Change In Cash | (17.9M) | 46.5M | 116.4M | (176.5M) | 292.6M | 307.2M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 74.7M | 283.8M | 148.6M | (242.8M) | 71.2M | 74.8M | |
| Depreciation | 253.5M | 272.4M | 303.0M | 316.0M | 484.2M | 508.4M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (130.4M) | (162.1M) | (89.9M) | 54.9M | (49.6M) | (47.1M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 207.4M | 178.6M | 243.5M | 274.7M | 379M | 398.0M | |
| Net Income | 111.2M | 176.5M | 98.6M | (340.1M) | (104.9M) | (99.7M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 120.6M | 167.1M | 283.6M | 107.0M | 399.6M | 419.6M | |
| Dividends Paid | 29.3M | 46.2M | 71.5M | 94.7M | 130.4M | 136.9M | |
| Investments | (402.2M) | (83.9M) | 1.9M | (255.4M) | 400.3M | 420.3M | |
| Net Borrowings | 130.7M | (288.1M) | (14.1M) | 147.0M | 169.1M | 177.5M | |
| Change To Netincome | (106.1M) | (93.3M) | 55.3M | (14.2M) | (12.8M) | (12.2M) |
Pan American Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Pan American or Metals & Mining sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Pan American's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Pan stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.88 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Pan American Volatility Alert
Pan American Silver currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.03 and Jensen Alpha of 0.17. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Pan American's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Pan American's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Pan American Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Pan American's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Pan American's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Pan American and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Pan American or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Pan American's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Pan American by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Pan American to competition |
| Fundamentals | Pan American | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.0132 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0165 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.02) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.21 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 11.87 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 363 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.07 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 61.66 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 2.16 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 146.23 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.76 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 4.26 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 2.32 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 319.27 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 561.1 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (104.9 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 107 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 1.10 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 801.6 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.06 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 2.62 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 12.76 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 450.2 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 3.17 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.28) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 7.96 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 26.87 | |
| Beta | 1.41 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 11.38 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 7.21 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (1.27 B) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 765.8 M | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 728.78 M | 9.34 B |
Pan American Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Pan . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Pan American Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Pan American Silver? Buying financial instruments such as Pan Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out Pan American Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.