Pan American Silver Stock Price Prediction
| PAAS Stock | CAD 88.34 3.27 3.84% |
Momentum 69
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.817 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.7199 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.2176 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.4657 | Wall Street Target Price 72.8395 |
Using Pan American hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Pan American Silver from the perspective of Pan American response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Pan American to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Pan because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Pan American after-hype prediction price | CAD 88.34 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Pan |
Pan American After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Pan American at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Pan American or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Pan American, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Pan American Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Pan American's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Pan American's historical news coverage. Pan American's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 85.21 and 91.47, respectively. We have considered Pan American's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Pan American is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Pan American Silver is based on 3 months time horizon.
Pan American Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Pan American is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Pan American backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Pan American, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.01 | 3.11 | 2.23 | 0.53 | 10 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
88.34 | 88.34 | 0.00 |
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Pan American Hype Timeline
Pan American Silver is at this time traded for 88.34on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -2.23, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.53. Pan is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 140.72%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 1.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Pan American is about 593.51%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 88.87. About 68.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Pan American was at this time reported as 21.61. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 146.23. Pan American Silver last dividend was issued on the 24th of November 2025. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Pan American Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Pan American Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Pan American's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Pan American's future price movements. Getting to know how Pan American's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Pan American may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AGI | Alamos Gold | 2.26 | 3 per month | 2.04 | 0.16 | 4.79 | (3.29) | 11.97 | |
| IVN | Ivanhoe Mines | (0.1) | 9 per month | 2.68 | 0.07 | 5.98 | (4.62) | 14.03 | |
| LUN | Lundin Mining | 0.08 | 6 per month | 2.42 | 0.24 | 5.26 | (3.35) | 18.85 | |
| EDV | Endeavour Mining Corp | 0.24 | 7 per month | 2.04 | 0.19 | 4.78 | (3.75) | 12.37 | |
| LUG | Lundin Gold | 1.93 | 9 per month | 2.32 | 0.11 | 5.95 | (3.64) | 15.29 | |
| FVI | Fortuna Silver Mines | (0.48) | 7 per month | 1.55 | 0.19 | 4.66 | (2.68) | 13.71 | |
| SVM | Silvercorp Metals | 0.28 | 6 per month | 2.09 | 0.30 | 7.27 | (4.80) | 14.18 | |
| AG | First Majestic Silver | 0.78 | 10 per month | 2.81 | 0.24 | 8.63 | (5.31) | 16.66 | |
| CGG | China Gold International | 0.08 | 5 per month | 1.98 | 0.27 | 5.29 | (4.04) | 15.34 | |
| CS | Capstone Mining Corp | 0.17 | 6 per month | 2.67 | 0.15 | 7.47 | (5.97) | 15.37 |
Pan American Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Pan price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Pan using various technical indicators. When you analyze Pan charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Pan American Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Pan American stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Pan American Silver, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Pan American based on analysis of Pan American hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Pan American's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Pan American's related companies. | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0198 | 0.0178 | 0.013 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.61 | 3.0 | 5.87 |
Pair Trading with Pan American
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Pan American position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Pan American will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Pan Stock
| 0.95 | AG | First Majestic Silver | PairCorr |
| 0.8 | IE | Ivanhoe Energy | PairCorr |
| 0.95 | ORE | Orezone Gold Corp | PairCorr |
| 0.82 | FDR | Flinders Resources | PairCorr |
| 0.89 | FDY | Faraday Copper Corp | PairCorr |
Moving against Pan Stock
| 0.73 | RCI-A | Rogers Communications Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.64 | DII-A | Dorel Industries ClA | PairCorr |
| 0.59 | ORC-A | Orca Energy Group | PairCorr |
| 0.46 | INFM | Infinico Metals Corp | PairCorr |
| 0.4 | AML | Argus Metals Corp | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Pan American could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Pan American when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Pan American - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Pan American Silver to buy it.
The correlation of Pan American is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Pan American moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Pan American Silver moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Pan American can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Pan American Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.