Pagseguro Digital Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

PAGS Stock  USD 7.51  0.03  0.40%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding PagSeguro Digital is 'Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell PagSeguro Digital given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards PagSeguro Digital. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for PagSeguro Digital, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out PagSeguro Digital Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy PagSeguro Stock please use our How to Invest in PagSeguro Digital guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as PagSeguro and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. PagSeguro Digital. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.

Execute PagSeguro Digital Buy or Sell Advice

The PagSeguro recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on PagSeguro Digital. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in PagSeguro Digital or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute PagSeguro Digital's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell PagSeguro DigitalBuy PagSeguro Digital
Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very SmallDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon PagSeguro Digital has a Mean Deviation of 1.93, Standard Deviation of 2.81 and Variance of 7.9
We provide trade recommendations to complement the recent expert consensus on PagSeguro Digital. Our dynamic recommendation engine exercises a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure PagSeguro Digital is not overpriced, please check all PagSeguro Digital fundamentals, including its debt to equity, total asset, and the relationship between the ebitda and earnings per share . Given that PagSeguro Digital has a number of shares shorted of 21.39 M, we recommend you to check out PagSeguro Digital market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your recent risk tolerance and investing horizon.

PagSeguro Digital Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

PagSeguro Digital generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
PagSeguro Digital is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 86.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: PagSeguro Digital Price Target Cut to 16.00 by Analysts at Susquehanna - MarketBeat

PagSeguro Digital Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of PagSeguro Digital's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of PagSeguro Digital's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of PagSeguro Digital daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use PagSeguro Digital price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of PagSeguro Digital returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for PagSeguro Digital.
Mean Return
-0.95
Value At Risk
-5.23
Potential Upside
2.45
Standard Deviation
2.81
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of PagSeguro Digital historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

PagSeguro Stock Institutional Investors

The PagSeguro Digital's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase PagSeguro Digital's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Tekne Capital Management, Llc2024-06-30
3.9 M
Millennium Management Llc2024-06-30
3.8 M
Qube Research & Technologies2024-06-30
3.1 M
Clark Capital Management Group Inc2024-06-30
3.1 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
2.5 M
Voloridge Investment Management, Llc2024-06-30
2.5 M
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-06-30
2.3 M
American Century Companies Inc2024-09-30
2.1 M
Jane Street Group Llc2024-06-30
1.9 M
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
21.5 M
Fmr Inc2024-09-30
13.3 M
Note, although PagSeguro Digital's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

PagSeguro Digital Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory14.5M31.8M(137.0M)37.3M(19.7M)(20.7M)
Investments(1.1B)(1.9B)324.2M(2.2B)(2.0B)(1.9B)
Change In Cash(1.4B)236.1M158.6M40.1M1.1B1.1B
Free Cash Flow(218.0M)106.8M(883.5M)1.4B1.9B2.0B
Depreciation130.9M379.0M795.3M1.2B1.4B1.4B
Other Non Cash Items3.6B3.4B11.0B20.6B4.0B5.5B
Capital Expenditures707.1M2.1B1.8B2.2B1.9B1.0B
Net Income1.4B1.3B1.2B1.5B2.0B2.1B
End Period Cash Flow1.4B1.6B1.8B1.8B2.9B3.0B
Change To Netincome1.2B1.1B2.7B4.9B5.6B5.9B

PagSeguro Digital Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to PagSeguro Digital or Professional Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that PagSeguro Digital's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a PagSeguro stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-1.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.73
σ
Overall volatility
2.16
Ir
Information ratio -0.37

PagSeguro Digital Volatility Alert

PagSeguro Digital exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -2.05 and kurtosis of 7.76. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure PagSeguro Digital's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact PagSeguro Digital's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

PagSeguro Digital Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing PagSeguro Digital's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze PagSeguro Digital's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between PagSeguro Digital and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as PagSeguro Digital or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of PagSeguro Digital's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing PagSeguro Digital by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare PagSeguro Digital to competition
FundamentalsPagSeguro DigitalPeer Average
Return On Equity0.15-0.31
Return On Asset0.0665-0.14
Profit Margin0.11 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.34 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation7.86 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding191.53 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.40 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions85.84 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted21.39 M4.71 M
Price To Earning13.65 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.94 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.13 X11.42 X
Revenue15.68 B9.43 B
Gross Profit7.69 B27.38 B
EBITDA6.72 B3.9 B
Net Income2.02 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents1.19 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share3.64 X5.01 X
Total Debt16.38 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.12 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.38 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share45.49 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations4 B971.22 M
Short Ratio4.81 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share1.08 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth18.84 X4.89 X
Target Price78.28
Beta1.95-0.15
Market Capitalization2.36 B19.03 B
Total Asset55.11 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings7.89 B9.33 B
Working Capital14.3 B1.48 B
Current Asset4.72 B9.34 B

PagSeguro Digital Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as PagSeguro . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About PagSeguro Digital Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell PagSeguro Digital? Buying financial instruments such as PagSeguro Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having PagSeguro Digital in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Services
Services Theme
Companies involved in delivering services to business or consumers across different industries and sectors. The Services theme has 30 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Services Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for PagSeguro Stock Analysis

When running PagSeguro Digital's price analysis, check to measure PagSeguro Digital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PagSeguro Digital is operating at the current time. Most of PagSeguro Digital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PagSeguro Digital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PagSeguro Digital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PagSeguro Digital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.