PagSeguro Digital (Brazil) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

PAGS34 Stock  BRL 9.11  0.54  5.60%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding PagSeguro Digital is 'Buy'. Macroaxis provides PagSeguro Digital buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding PAGS34 positions.
  
Check out PagSeguro Digital Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade PagSeguro Stock refer to our How to Trade PagSeguro Stock guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as PagSeguro and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards PagSeguro Digital. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute PagSeguro Digital Buy or Sell Advice

The PagSeguro recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on PagSeguro Digital. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in PagSeguro Digital or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute PagSeguro Digital's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell PagSeguro DigitalBuy PagSeguro Digital
Buy

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon PagSeguro Digital has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.11), Jensen Alpha of (0.43), Total Risk Alpha of (0.82) and Treynor Ratio of (2.44)
We provide trade recommendations to complement the recent expert consensus on PagSeguro Digital. Our dynamic recommendation engine exercises a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure PagSeguro Digital is not overpriced, please check all PagSeguro Digital fundamentals, including its price to earning, price to sales, and the relationship between the shares owned by institutions and price to book .

PagSeguro Digital Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

PagSeguro Digital generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

PagSeguro Digital Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of PagSeguro Digital's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of PagSeguro Digital's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of PagSeguro Digital daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use PagSeguro Digital price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of PagSeguro Digital returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for PagSeguro Digital.
Mean Return
-0.4
Value At Risk
-4.5
Potential Upside
2.96
Standard Deviation
2.59
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of PagSeguro Digital historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

PagSeguro Digital Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to PagSeguro Digital or Technology sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that PagSeguro Digital's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a PagSeguro stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.43
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.17
σ
Overall volatility
2.68
Ir
Information ratio -0.2

PagSeguro Digital Volatility Alert

PagSeguro Digital exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.22 and kurtosis of 2.16. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure PagSeguro Digital's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact PagSeguro Digital's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

PagSeguro Digital Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing PagSeguro Digital's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze PagSeguro Digital's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between PagSeguro Digital and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as PagSeguro Digital or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of PagSeguro Digital's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing PagSeguro Digital by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare PagSeguro Digital to competition
FundamentalsPagSeguro DigitalPeer Average
Return On Equity0.13-0.31
Return On Asset0.0787-0.14
Profit Margin0.1 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.31 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation12.94 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding1.64 B571.82 M
Shares Owned By Institutions0.01 %39.21 %
Price To Earning9.63 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.25 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.96 X11.42 X
Revenue6.78 B9.43 B
Gross Profit4.67 B27.38 B
EBITDA3.05 B3.9 B
Net Income1.17 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents1.2 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.73 X5.01 X
Total Debt48.97 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.64 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share7.06 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations898.01 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share0.84 X3.12 X
Number Of Employees6.75 K18.84 K
Beta1.48-0.15
Market Capitalization16.16 B19.03 B
Total Asset31.08 B29.47 B
Net Asset31.08 B

PagSeguro Digital Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as PagSeguro . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About PagSeguro Digital Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell PagSeguro Digital? Buying financial instruments such as PagSeguro Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having PagSeguro Digital in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Penny Thematic Idea Now

Penny
Penny Theme
Solid stocks, funds or ETFs with below average market capitalization and typicl daily price below 2. The Penny theme has 56 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Penny Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in PagSeguro Stock

When determining whether PagSeguro Digital is a strong investment it is important to analyze PagSeguro Digital's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact PagSeguro Digital's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding PagSeguro Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out PagSeguro Digital Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade PagSeguro Stock refer to our How to Trade PagSeguro Stock guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.
Please note, there is a significant difference between PagSeguro Digital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if PagSeguro Digital is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, PagSeguro Digital's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.